HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>For development strategy, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphamab-oncology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28213:1" rel="noopener">Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK) </a>may lack the foundation of strategic certainty of expectation. It is also not sure about the commercialization performance of KN035 brought by Simcere.</li>
<li>Although the management’s thinking mode of business operation has improved, it still cannot dispel the doubts about whether the Company can catch up with top-level biopharmaceutical enterprises in the future.</li>
<li>Even with the concerns, it does not rule out that investors can long this stock at an undervalued or a reasonable price to get a good return.</li>
</ul>


For development strategy, Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK) may lack the foundation of strategic certainty of expectation. It is also not sure about the commercialization performance of KN035 brought by Simcere.
Although the management’s thinking mode of business operation has improved, it still cannot dispel the doubts about whether the Company can catch up with top-level biopharmaceutical enterprises in the future.
Even with the concerns, it does not rule out that investors can long this stock at an undervalued or a reasonable price to get a good return.


Alphamab Co Ltd (9966.HK) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Equity Capital Markets

<p>The PD-1/L1 market is one of the most competitive drug markets in the world. After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lepu-biopharma-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33231:1" rel="noopener">Lepu Biopharma (LBP HK)</a>, whose core product is PD-1, officially started its IPO process in HKEX in April this year, another bio-pharmaceutical company, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3d-medicines-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33790:1" rel="noopener">3D Medicines (3DM HK)</a> (“3DMed”) submitted its prospectus to the HKEX on June, 30, 2021 based on its core product PD-1 as well. 3DMed is committed to the development and commercialization of a new generation of immuno-oncology therapies with differentiated clinical profile in response to the trend of treating cancer as a chronic disease. This insight mainly analyzed its core product and the pipeline.</p>

The PD-1/L1 market is one of the most competitive drug markets in the world. After Lepu Biopharma (LBP HK), whose core product is PD-1, officially started its IPO process in HKEX in April this year, another bio-pharmaceutical company, 3D Medicines (3DM HK) (“3DMed”) submitted its prospectus to the HKEX on June, 30, 2021 based on its core product PD-1 as well. 3DMed is committed to the development and commercialization of a new generation of immuno-oncology therapies with differentiated clinical profile in response to the trend of treating cancer as a chronic disease. This insight mainly analyzed its core product and the pipeline.

Pre-IPO 3D Medicines - Insights on the Core Product, the Pipeline and the Concerns

<p>Since 2021, if you want to ask which sector in the healthcare industry has outstanding performance, the medical beauty sector is definitely the one. Looking at the leading companies in this sector, the market cap and P/E ratio of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomage-biotechnology-corporation-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30390:1" rel="noopener">Bloomage Biotechnology Corporation-A (688363 CH)</a> by the end of May 28, 2021 were RMB121 billion and 175, respectively. For <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imeik-technology-development-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32170:1" rel="noopener">Imeik Technology Development (300896 CH)</a>, they were RMB142 billion and 250, respectively. Both were at high end and very expensive. Here is another company, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sihuan-pharmaceutical-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33:1" rel="noopener">Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK)</a>, whose share price was up over 318% since the beginning of 2021 on the back of its medical beauty business, with market cap of HK$32.5 billion and P/E ratio of 57.17, which is pretty eye-catching. So could the medical beauty business revalue the Company? This insight mainly analyzed the business outlook and the concerns.</p>

Since 2021, if you want to ask which sector in the healthcare industry has outstanding performance, the medical beauty sector is definitely the one. Looking at the leading companies in this sector, the market cap and P/E ratio of Bloomage Biotechnology Corporation-A (688363 CH) by the end of May 28, 2021 were RMB121 billion and 175, respectively. For Imeik Technology Development (300896 CH), they were RMB142 billion and 250, respectively. Both were at high end and very expensive. Here is another company, Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK), whose share price was up over 318% since the beginning of 2021 on the back of its medical beauty business, with market cap of HK$32.5 billion and P/E ratio of 57.17, which is pretty eye-catching. So could the medical beauty business revalue the Company? This insight mainly analyzed the business outlook and the concerns.

Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK) - Optimistic in the Short Term but Conservative in the Long Term

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<p>The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 26 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.</p><p>For the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) there are 36 inclusions and 29 deletions, taking the number of index constituents up to 500.</p><p>Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors. Secondary Listings are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.</p><p>Of the 36 inclusions, 4 are already a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, 2 are Secondary listings and will not be included in Stock Connect, 9 will be added to Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect, while 21 stocks will only be added to Shenzhen Stock Connect.</p><p>Of the 29 index deletions, 13 are not a part of Stock Connect, 7 will continue to remain a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, while 9 will be deleted from the Stock Connect program.</p><p>We identify 4 stocks that could sell off ahead of their removal from the Stock Connect Buy list, while Biotech stocks could be in focus ahead of their inclusion in the Stock Connect Buy and Sell list.</p>

The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 26 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.For the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) there are 36 inclusions and 29 deletions, taking the number of index constituents up to 500.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors. Secondary Listings are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.Of the 36 inclusions, 4 are already a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, 2 are Secondary listings and will not be included in Stock Connect, 9 will be added to Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect, while 21 stocks will only be added to Shenzhen Stock Connect.Of the 29 index deletions, 13 are not a part of Stock Connect, 7 will continue to remain a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, while 9 will be deleted from the Stock Connect program.We identify 4 stocks that could sell off ahead of their removal from the Stock Connect Buy list, while Biotech stocks could be in focus ahead of their inclusion in the Stock Connect Buy and Sell list.

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Inclusions & Exclusions

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

SciClone Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sciclone-pharmaceuticals-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17351:1" rel="noopener">Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (6600 HK)</a> is a biopharmaceutical company with an integrated platform for product development and commercialisation of drugs in the oncology and severe infection therapeutic areas. </p></div><div><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sciclone-pharmaceuticals-ipo-initiation-a-hard-sell" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48114" rel="noopener">SciClone Pharmaceuticals IPO Initiation: A Hard Sell</a>, we stated that SciClone is a less than ideal IPO candidate. Despite efforts at diversification, SciClone is highly dependent on a single product, Zadaxin, which was launched in 1996. The risk to Zadaxin’s sales remains undiminished. The large pre-IPO dividends by existing shareholders in face of these challenges also sends the wrong message to potential IPO investors. Overall, on a fundamental basis, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass. </p></div><div><p>SciClone has launched its Hong Kong IPO at an indicative price range of HK$17.20-18.80 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$1,950.4 million ($252 million), at the mid-point of the price range. The raise is materially below the original target of a $500 million raise. Eleven cornerstone investors will subscribe for $133.7 million of the offer shares (49.65% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price). The cornerstone investors are largely domestic funds and lack international blue-chip names.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Relative valuation suggests that SciClone trades at a material discount to peers at the proposed IPO price range. We think that this discount is warranted due to SciClone's heavy reliance on Zadaxin, which faces ongoing challenges. Consequently, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass as our concerns on the fundamentals more than offset the "cheap" valuation.</p></div></div></div>

Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (6600 HK) is a biopharmaceutical company with an integrated platform for product development and commercialisation of drugs in the oncology and severe infection therapeutic areas. In SciClone Pharmaceuticals IPO Initiation: A Hard Sell, we stated that SciClone is a less than ideal IPO candidate. Despite efforts at diversification, SciClone is highly dependent on a single product, Zadaxin, which was launched in 1996. The risk to Zadaxin’s sales remains undiminished. The large pre-IPO dividends by existing shareholders in face of these challenges also sends the wrong message to potential IPO investors. Overall, on a fundamental basis, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass. SciClone has launched its Hong Kong IPO at an indicative price range of HK$17.20-18.80 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$1,950.4 million ($252 million), at the mid-point of the price range. The raise is materially below the original target of a $500 million raise. Eleven cornerstone investors will subscribe for $133.7 million of the offer shares (49.65% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price). The cornerstone investors are largely domestic funds and lack international blue-chip names.Relative valuation suggests that SciClone trades at a material discount to peers at the proposed IPO price range. We think that this discount is warranted due to SciClone's heavy reliance on Zadaxin, which faces ongoing challenges. Consequently, we are inclined to give this IPO a pass as our concerns on the fundamentals more than offset the "cheap" valuation.

SciClone Pharmaceuticals IPO: Valuation Insights

China

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group is an innovation and R&D-driven pharmaceutical company engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of pharmaceutical products. It focuses on therapeutic areas such as oncology, central nervous system diseases, autoimmune diseases, and anti-infection, with key products including Sanbexin, Endostar, and Bicun. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.

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Simcere Pharmaceutical (2096 HK)

Alphamab Co Ltd (9966.HK) - Some Points Worth the Attention

The article analyzed Alphamab Oncology in terms of its conservativeness on business operation and decision making in early stages, the concerns on...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO 3D Medicines - Insights on the Core Product, the Pipeline and the Concerns

This insight mainly analyzed 3D Medicines in terms of its core product envafolimab (the competition pattern and prospects), clinical-stage product...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK) - Optimistic in the Short Term but Conservative in the Long Term

The medical beauty business outlook with high certainty is the main reason for the share price to rise three times this year.However, there are...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Inclusions & Exclusions

There are 36 inclusions/ 29 exclusions for the Hang Seng Composite Index. 9 stocks will be deleted from the Stock Connect Buy list & there are a...

Brian Freitas

SciClone Pharmaceuticals IPO: Valuation Insights

SciClone has launched its IPO to raise net proceeds of $252m, at the mid-point of the price range. We recommend a pass as our concerns on the...

Arun George

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