Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A wave of corporate actions by SGX-listed companies has unlocked substantial shareholder value and re-rated select stocks in recent months. In this note, we spotlight five standout cases.</li>
<li>Our top picks with the strongest catalysts for further upside after delivering significant shareholder returns over the past year are - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yangzijiang-financial-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35926:1" rel="noopener">Yangzijiang Financial (YZJFH SP)</a>. </li>
<li>The outsized value creation delivered by these companies should serve as a wake-up call for other managements to follow suit and initiate actions to boost returns and unlock shareholder value.</li>
</ul>


A wave of corporate actions by SGX-listed companies has unlocked substantial shareholder value and re-rated select stocks in recent months. In this note, we spotlight five standout cases.
Our top picks with the strongest catalysts for further upside after delivering significant shareholder returns over the past year are - Keppel Corp (KEP SP) and Yangzijiang Financial (YZJFH SP). 
The outsized value creation delivered by these companies should serve as a wake-up call for other managements to follow suit and initiate actions to boost returns and unlock shareholder value.


Value Unlock SG: Value Creation Via Corporate Action. May the Wind Carry Many More Sails

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>After selling its Aussie-based logistics ops earlier this year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-post-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:150:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Post (SPOST SP)</a> continues to divest non-core assets and businesses.</li>
<li>The latest is the sale and leaseback of 10 Housing &amp; Development Board shophouses, which could net S$50mn. </li>
<li>SPOST has declared a S$0.09/share special dividend from the Aussie sale. Shareholders will vote on the dividend at the AGM on the 23rd July.  </li>
</ul>


After selling its Aussie-based logistics ops earlier this year, Singapore Post (SPOST SP) continues to divest non-core assets and businesses.
The latest is the sale and leaseback of 10 Housing &amp; Development Board shophouses, which could net S$50mn. 
SPOST has declared a S$0.09/share special dividend from the Aussie sale. Shareholders will vote on the dividend at the AGM on the 23rd July.  


SingPost (SPOST SP): More Non-Core Divestments - Slowly But Surely

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a> is a Southeast Asian conglomerate that has been handicapped by its listing in the Hong Kong market over the last several years.</li>
<li>As Southeast Asian markets (Indonesia and Philippines) begin to re-rate on the back of a more accommodating Fed policy, First Pacific is beginning to participate in the uptrend.</li>
<li>Metro Pacific Investments Corp (MPIC), the second largest piece of the company's NAV has been active in acquiring more infrastructure assets since being privatized last year.</li>
</ul>



First Pacific Co (142 HK) is a Southeast Asian conglomerate that has been handicapped by its listing in the Hong Kong market over the last several years.
As Southeast Asian markets (Indonesia and Philippines) begin to re-rate on the back of a more accommodating Fed policy, First Pacific is beginning to participate in the uptrend.
Metro Pacific Investments Corp (MPIC), the second largest piece of the company's NAV has been active in acquiring more infrastructure assets since being privatized last year.


BUY: First Pacific Company (142 HK): Right Stock Trapped in the Wrong Market

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-post-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:150:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Post (SPOST SP)</a> is selling its key asset, Australian-based Freight Management Holdings (FMH), for an enterprise value of S$897.6mn, which will generate a gain on disposal of S$312.1mn.</li>
<li>SingPost will apply the proceeds to paring down its Aussie dollar-denominated debt. SingPost will also consider, in due course, the payment of a special dividend.</li>
<li>Once the FMH transaction completes, the board will "review and reset the Group’s strategic plan, with a continued focus on shareholder value".</li>
</ul>



Singapore Post (SPOST SP) is selling its key asset, Australian-based Freight Management Holdings (FMH), for an enterprise value of S$897.6mn, which will generate a gain on disposal of S$312.1mn.
SingPost will apply the proceeds to paring down its Aussie dollar-denominated debt. SingPost will also consider, in due course, the payment of a special dividend.
Once the FMH transaction completes, the board will "review and reset the Group’s strategic plan, with a continued focus on shareholder value".


SingPost (SPOST SP): What Next After FMH Sale?

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Last night, the Board of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a>  <a href="https://hub.optiwise.io/en/documents/126006/6443705A1ADCC43E2A43725E1ADAC538670F012A12A8B03D653207281ED9C34E6042702B6BDFC4311044072F6BADC53E144B6C1E4E8DCF396043755C1AD9C13A6741765E1EDBC33964366C1E4E8D_160720242124040612E.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an amalgamation with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB)</a> and Tender Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a> (at THB 216.30) </li>
<li>And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thaicom-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18019:1" rel="noopener">Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB)</a> (THB 11.00) shares. This is really big news. It appears to try to cap years of re-arrangement of the capital structure. It's complicated.</li>
<li>But it is not fair. INTUCH shareholders lose 22% of earnings value per investment value in 2024. 20% in 2025. But, there may be a way to block it...</li>
</ul>


Last night, the Board of Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)  announced an amalgamation with Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB) and Tender Offers for Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) (at THB 216.30) 
And Thaicom Pcl (THCOM TB) (THB 11.00) shares. This is really big news. It appears to try to cap years of re-arrangement of the capital structure. It's complicated.
But it is not fair. INTUCH shareholders lose 22% of earnings value per investment value in 2024. 20% in 2025. But, there may be a way to block it...


Cascading Takeunders for INTUCH, ADVANC, and THCOM as GULF TB Seeks To "Restructure"

Singapore

Singapore Telecommunications Limited wireless telecommunication services. The Company offers diverse range of services including fixed, mobile, data, internet, TV,  and digital solutions. Singapore Telecommunications serves customers worldwide.

Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) (ST SP)

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Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) (ST SP)

Value Unlock SG: Value Creation Via Corporate Action. May the Wind Carry Many More Sails

Spin Offs and Non-Core Asset divestments have delivered outsized returns for shareholders of several SGX listed stocks over the past year - here...

Devi Subhakesan

SingPost (SPOST SP): More Non-Core Divestments - Slowly But Surely

Singapore Post has divested its entire freight forwarding business, Famous Holdings, for S$177.9mn. The sale results in an realised gain on...

David Blennerhassett

BUY: First Pacific Company (142 HK): Right Stock Trapped in the Wrong Market

Since our insight on 1st Pac last Sept., the stock has gained 33%. Company had solid 2024 results. MPIC, the undervalued Phil./Indonesia...

David Mudd

SingPost (SPOST SP): What Next After FMH Sale?

SingPost is probably worth picking up here. But it's not a strong conviction trade. The muted price action after announcing the FMH sale is...

David Blennerhassett

Cascading Takeunders for INTUCH, ADVANC, and THCOM as GULF TB Seeks To "Restructure"

This is a complicated multi-conditional deal - great for GULF bad for INTUCH - which appears to be "done" except for an inter-conditional aspect...

Travis Lundy

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