Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>The UST curve twisted steeper on Friday, continuing the steepening trend following the Fed's rate cut decision last Wednesday.</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST declined 2 bps to 3.52%, while the yield on the 10Y UST rose 3 bps to 4.18%.</li>
<li>Equities fell on investor anxiety over AI stocks, after Broadcom provided a disappointing sales outlook. </li>
</ul>


The UST curve twisted steeper on Friday, continuing the steepening trend following the Fed's rate cut decision last Wednesday.
The yield on the 2Y UST declined 2 bps to 3.52%, while the yield on the 10Y UST rose 3 bps to 4.18%.
Equities fell on investor anxiety over AI stocks, after Broadcom provided a disappointing sales outlook. 


Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>They’re maxing out M15X ahead of schedule, facing a fab gap until ’27, and now need more capex than their KRW 28tn cash pile comfortably covers.</li>
<li>SK doesn’t want an Hynix ADR; they’re focused on tapping the KRW 150tn Growth Fund to fill the capex gap while avoiding dilution and protecting their already-fragile control stack.</li>
<li>ADR noise spiked because Hynix’s near-term capex needs exceed Growth Fund capacity, pushing them toward a 2.4% treasury dump—but I still don’t see SK pulling the ADR trigger.</li>
</ul>


They’re maxing out M15X ahead of schedule, facing a fab gap until ’27, and now need more capex than their KRW 28tn cash pile comfortably covers.
SK doesn’t want an Hynix ADR; they’re focused on tapping the KRW 150tn Growth Fund to fill the capex gap while avoiding dilution and protecting their already-fragile control stack.
ADR noise spiked because Hynix’s near-term capex needs exceed Growth Fund capacity, pushing them toward a 2.4% treasury dump—but I still don’t see SK pulling the ADR trigger.


More Detailed Insight into Hynix’s Internal Situation Regarding the ADR Issue

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>According to numerous local media, SK Hynix is considering on listing its treasury shares (2.4% of outstanding shares representing 17.4 million shares) as ADRs.</li>
<li>SK Hynix could cancel its treasury shares or list them as ADRs. The bigger bang for the buck will likely be to list them as ADRs. </li>
<li>By listing its shares as ADRs, the valuation gap between SK Hynix and other listed peers (such as MU and TSMC) could be reduced. </li>
</ul>


According to numerous local media, SK Hynix is considering on listing its treasury shares (2.4% of outstanding shares representing 17.4 million shares) as ADRs.
SK Hynix could cancel its treasury shares or list them as ADRs. The bigger bang for the buck will likely be to list them as ADRs. 
By listing its shares as ADRs, the valuation gap between SK Hynix and other listed peers (such as MU and TSMC) could be reduced. 


A Potential Listing of ADRs for SK Hynix Using Its Treasury Shares?

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Since the last rebalancing of our portfolio on 5th September, it has returned 13.5% vs 9.5% from MSCI-Asia-ex-Japan. Since inception (15th May), our portfolio has appreciated 20.1% vs MXASJ's 18.6%.</li>
<li>Six stocks, SK Hynix, TSMC, Samsung Electronics, Alibaba, China Hongqiao, Tencent, contributed almost the entire return of our portfolio. Overweight on Korea drove more than half the portfolio's return.</li>
<li>We turn more selective on Chinese discretionary consumption and step into the Korean defense sector. We exclude Anta Sports and Mediatek and include Hyundai Rotem and Hon Hai Precision.</li>
</ul>


Since the last rebalancing of our portfolio on 5th September, it has returned 13.5% vs 9.5% from MSCI-Asia-ex-Japan. Since inception (15th May), our portfolio has appreciated 20.1% vs MXASJ's 18.6%.
Six stocks, SK Hynix, TSMC, Samsung Electronics, Alibaba, China Hongqiao, Tencent, contributed almost the entire return of our portfolio. Overweight on Korea drove more than half the portfolio's return.
We turn more selective on Chinese discretionary consumption and step into the Korean defense sector. We exclude Anta Sports and Mediatek and include Hyundai Rotem and Hon Hai Precision.


Asian Equities: Model Portfolio Outperformed Sharply; Less China Consumption, More Korea Defence

<ul>
<li>Hynix tagged L2: cash‑only, no margin. &gt;40% two‑day rip triggers KRX halt. L2 caps distort tape; Square’s Oct 27–Nov 10 run showed the messy playbook.</li>
<li>Hynix L2 review: five &gt;200% YoY prints since Nov 4, but no fresh 15‑day high—₩620k from Nov 3 still the cap, yesterday stalled just below.</li>
<li>Break above ₩620k likely triggers L2, leverage caps, volatile tape, Square outperformance; hold below into Monday kills L2 risk, keeps Hynix’s relative bid with retail still piling in.</li>
</ul>


Hynix tagged L2: cash‑only, no margin. &gt;40% two‑day rip triggers KRX halt. L2 caps distort tape; Square’s Oct 27–Nov 10 run showed the messy playbook.
Hynix L2 review: five &gt;200% YoY prints since Nov 4, but no fresh 15‑day high—₩620k from Nov 3 still the cap, yesterday stalled just below.
Break above ₩620k likely triggers L2, leverage caps, volatile tape, Square outperformance; hold below into Monday kills L2 risk, keeps Hynix’s relative bid with retail still piling in.


Hynix L2 Flag Risk: Why Stuck Below ₩620k? Eyes on Nov 17 Pivot

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

The UST curve twisted steeper on Friday, continuing the steepening trend following the Fed's rate cut decision last Wednesday. The yield on the 2Y...

Lucror Analytics

More Detailed Insight into Hynix’s Internal Situation Regarding the ADR Issue

This post provides a deeper look into SK Hynix’s internal dynamics and decision-making process surrounding the ADR issue.

Sanghyun Park

A Potential Listing of ADRs for SK Hynix Using Its Treasury Shares?

According to numerous local media, SK Hynix is considering on listing its treasury shares (2.4% of outstanding shares representing 17.4 million...

Douglas Kim

Asian Equities: Model Portfolio Outperformed Sharply; Less China Consumption, More Korea Defence

China's economic data (FAI & industrial growth sharply lower than expected, retail sales growth underwhelming) underscores the need for nuanced...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Hynix L2 Flag Risk: Why Stuck Below ₩620k? Eyes on Nov 17 Pivot

This post provides an analysis of Hynix’s Level 2 flag situation and why the stock has been unable to break above ₩620,000.

Sanghyun Park

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