Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

The Asia Trade Book for November 2023 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.

  The Asia Trade Book for November 2023 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits.   Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage. 

Asia Trade Book - November 2023 - Lucror Analytics

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Nvidia released FY3Q24 results with quarterly revenue at US$18.1bn, up 34% QoQ and 206% YoY. GPM was 74.0%, up 3.9ppts QoQ.</li><li>Net profit was US$9.2bn, up 50% QoQ and 1,274% YoY.</li><li>According to the company’s guidance, 4Q24 revenue is expected to reach US$20bn (+/-2%), implying 10% QoQ and 231% YoY growth; GAAP GPM is expected to increase to 74.5% (+/- 50bps). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nvidia released FY3Q24 results with quarterly revenue at US$18.1bn, up 34% QoQ and 206% YoY. GPM was 74.0%, up 3.9ppts QoQ.Net profit was US$9.2bn, up 50% QoQ and 1,274% YoY.According to the company’s guidance, 4Q24 revenue is expected to reach US$20bn (+/-2%), implying 10% QoQ and 231% YoY growth; GAAP GPM is expected to increase to 74.5% (+/- 50bps). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>HBM DRAM, used for GPUs in AI, has enjoyed stable pricing while other DRAM prices have collapsed</li>
<li>This has attracted the attention of all DRAM makers, but SK hynix has a first-mover advantage</li>
<li>Although increased competition will reduce HBM prices, it will have little impact on GPU maker margins</li>
</ul>


HBM DRAM, used for GPUs in AI, has enjoyed stable pricing while other DRAM prices have collapsed
This has attracted the attention of all DRAM makers, but SK hynix has a first-mover advantage
Although increased competition will reduce HBM prices, it will have little impact on GPU maker margins


<ul><li>NVIDIA reported another strong beat against elevated expectations, along with a strong outlook (guided 4Q revenue of US$20bn, vs consensus US$17.9bn), alleviating concerns on supply constraints and impact on China sales. Key highlights include: 1) FY4Q24E guidance beat on stronger topline/margin with strong AI demand and robust product pipeline into 2024</li><li>2) China’s sales to drop significantly in 4Q23, largely offset by strong growth in other regions, and new regulation-compliant solutions will be available for China (20-25% of DC sales) in the next few months</li><li>3) mgmt. guided continued chip capacity expansion to meet growth, and expected data center revenue to grow through 2025</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NVIDIA reported another strong beat against elevated expectations, along with a strong outlook (guided 4Q revenue of US$20bn, vs consensus US$17.9bn), alleviating concerns on supply constraints and impact on China sales. Key highlights include: 1) FY4Q24E guidance beat on stronger topline/margin with strong AI demand and robust product pipeline into 20242) China’s sales to drop significantly in 4Q23, largely offset by strong growth in other regions, and new regulation-compliant solutions will be available for China (20-25% of DC sales) in the next few months3) mgmt. guided continued chip capacity expansion to meet growth, and expected data center revenue to grow through 2025Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – NVIDIA FY3Q24: Another Stunning Quarter on Robust AI Demand

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Nov 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Nov 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Short Covers for Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Asia Trade Book - November 2023 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia Trade Book for November 2023 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features...

Lucror Analytics

Technology (Hardware/Semi) - 23 Nov 2023

Nvidia released FY3Q24 results with quarterly revenue at US$18.1bn, up 34% QoQ and 206% YoY. GPM was 74.0%, up 3.9ppts QoQ. Net profit was...

CMB International

HBM's Impact on DRAM Revenues

HBM DRAM prices remained stable while mainstream DRAM prices collapsed, attracting attention from all DRAM makers. SK hynix holds a first-mover...

Jim Handy

China Technology – NVIDIA FY3Q24: Another Stunning Quarter on Robust AI Demand

NVIDIA reported another strong beat against elevated expectations, along with a strong outlook (guided 4Q revenue of US$20bn, vs consensus US$17.9bn)

CMB International

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Short Covers for Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asia Trade Book - November 2023 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia Trade Book for November 2023 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features...

Lucror Analytics

Technology (Hardware/Semi) - 23 Nov 2023

Nvidia released FY3Q24 results with quarterly revenue at US$18.1bn, up 34% QoQ and 206% YoY. GPM was 74.0%, up 3.9ppts QoQ. Net profit was...

CMB International

HBM's Impact on DRAM Revenues

​HBM DRAM prices remained stable while mainstream DRAM prices collapsed, attracting attention from all DRAM makers. SK hynix holds a first-mover...

Jim Handy

China Technology – NVIDIA FY3Q24: Another Stunning Quarter on Robust AI Demand

NVIDIA reported another strong beat against elevated expectations, along with a strong outlook (guided 4Q revenue of US$20bn, vs consensus US$17.9bn)

CMB International

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 17th): Short Covers for Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Celltrion, Celltrion Health, Amorepacific.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HBM DRAM prices remained stable while mainstream DRAM prices collapsed, attracting attention from all DRAM makers. SK hynix holds a first-mover...