Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector</li>
<li>Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months</li>
<li>Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle</li>
</ul>


There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector
Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months
Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Micron's earnings results will be released September 27th. We expect the company to describe a trough for memory pricing happening now and provide a positive outlook for rising prices.</li>
<li>Micron and Nanya Tech have outperformed SK Hynix recently. Our 'reversion catch up' trade has worked. Going forward we believe Micron looks compelling on a relative basis.</li>
<li>SK Hynix was ahead of peers developing HBM DRAM needed for AI. However, Micron could now convince the market it can catch up by focusing on the next advanced version.</li>
</ul>


Micron's earnings results will be released September 27th. We expect the company to describe a trough for memory pricing happening now and provide a positive outlook for rising prices.
Micron and Nanya Tech have outperformed SK Hynix recently. Our 'reversion catch up' trade has worked. Going forward we believe Micron looks compelling on a relative basis.
SK Hynix was ahead of peers developing HBM DRAM needed for AI. However, Micron could now convince the market it can catch up by focusing on the next advanced version.


Micron's Results Likely to Call a Memory Market Trough and Highlight New HBM DRAM for AI

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

<ul>
<li>DRAM Q2'23 revenues amounted to ~$11 billion, up 14.6% sequentially but down 56% YoY.</li>
<li>NAND Q2'23 revenues amounted to $9 billion, up 7.7% sequentially but down ~50% YoY.</li>
<li>Despite the modest uptick in Q2'23, there's a long and winding road back to sustainable profitability...</li>
</ul>


DRAM Q2'23 revenues amounted to ~$11 billion, up 14.6% sequentially but down 56% YoY.
NAND Q2'23 revenues amounted to $9 billion, up 7.7% sequentially but down ~50% YoY.
Despite the modest uptick in Q2'23, there's a long and winding road back to sustainable profitability...


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fadu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39896:1" rel="noopener">Fadu (440110 KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$147m in its Korean IPO.</li>
<li>Fadu is a South Korean fabless semiconductor maker mainly engaged in flash storage technology innovation. Its core products are Enterprise Solid State Drive (SSD) and Enterprise SSDs. </li>
<li>Fadu’s revenue growth has been stupendous, to say the least. However, the firm’s revenues are derived mainly from two customers, which exposes it to a large degree of concentration risk.</li>
</ul>



Fadu (440110 KS) is looking to raise up to US$147m in its Korean IPO.
Fadu is a South Korean fabless semiconductor maker mainly engaged in flash storage technology innovation. Its core products are Enterprise Solid State Drive (SSD) and Enterprise SSDs. 
Fadu’s revenue growth has been stupendous, to say the least. However, the firm’s revenues are derived mainly from two customers, which exposes it to a large degree of concentration risk.


Fadu Pre-IPO - Stupendous Revenue Growth but Heavily Reliant on Two Key Customers

<ul>
<li>Q2’23 revenues of NT$ 7,027 million, up 9.4% sequentially but down 61% YoY. Net losses declined QoQ, mainly due to favourable Fx and Income tax charges</li>
<li>Similar to Micron, while bit shipments increased QoQ, ASPs declined. This is not a road to recovery out of the memory segment downturn</li>
<li>While customer inventories have largely normalised, supplier inventories remain elevated. Until this corrects or demand surges, Nanya and peers will remain in the doldrums. </li>
</ul>


Q2’23 revenues of NT$ 7,027 million, up 9.4% sequentially but down 61% YoY. Net losses declined QoQ, mainly due to favourable Fx and Income tax charges
Similar to Micron, while bit shipments increased QoQ, ASPs declined. This is not a road to recovery out of the memory segment downturn
While customer inventories have largely normalised, supplier inventories remain elevated. Until this corrects or demand surges, Nanya and peers will remain in the doldrums. 


South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

Micron's Results Likely to Call a Memory Market Trough and Highlight New HBM DRAM for AI

SK Hynix was ahead of peers developing HBM DRAM needed for AI. However, Micron could now convince the market it can catch up by focusing on the...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Q2'23 Memory Segment Review

DRAM Q2'23 revenue ~$11 billion, up 14.6% QoQ, down 56% YoY. NAND Q2'23 revenue ~$9 billion, up 7.7% QoQ, down ~50% YoY. H1'23 was loss making...

William Keating

Fadu Pre-IPO - Stupendous Revenue Growth but Heavily Reliant on Two Key Customers

Fadu is a South Korean fabless semiconductor maker mainly engaged in flash storage technology innovation. Its core products are Enterprise Solid...

Ethan Aw

Nanya Q2'23 Results. Doldrums Ahoy!

Q2’23 revenue NT$ 7,027 million, +9.4% QoQ , -61% YoY. Customer inventories ~normalised, supplier inventories remain ++. Until this corrects or...

William Keating

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

​The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

Micron's Results Likely to Call a Memory Market Trough and Highlight New HBM DRAM for AI

SK Hynix was ahead of peers developing HBM DRAM needed for AI. However, Micron could now convince the market it can catch up by focusing on the...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Q2'23 Memory Segment Review

DRAM Q2'23 revenue ~$11 billion, up 14.6% QoQ, down 56% YoY. NAND Q2'23 revenue ~$9 billion, up 7.7% QoQ, down ~50% YoY. H1'23 was loss making...

William Keating

Fadu Pre-IPO - Stupendous Revenue Growth but Heavily Reliant on Two Key Customers

Fadu is a South Korean fabless semiconductor maker mainly engaged in flash storage technology innovation. Its core products are Enterprise Solid...

Ethan Aw

Nanya Q2'23 Results. Doldrums Ahoy!

Q2’23 revenue NT$ 7,027 million, +9.4% QoQ , -61% YoY. Customer inventories ~normalised, supplier inventories remain ++. Until this corrects or...

William Keating

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...