Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Apple’s AI struggle. Google’s Gemini has won? TSMC ex-Chairman is joining Micron’s board</li>
<li>SK Hynix out of image sensors. Korean Gvt launch US$100bn fund for strategic industries</li>
<li>Stargate first data center is under way. Close to 100k Nvidia GPU in 2026. Hon Hai makes the servers.</li>
</ul>


Apple’s AI struggle. Google’s Gemini has won? TSMC ex-Chairman is joining Micron’s board
SK Hynix out of image sensors. Korean Gvt launch US$100bn fund for strategic industries
Stargate first data center is under way. Close to 100k Nvidia GPU in 2026. Hon Hai makes the servers.


Tech News This Week. Apple AI, TSMC, Korea's Giga-Fund, Stargate

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Taiwanese wafer industry anticipates growth in the first quarter of 2025, boosting the country's economy.</li><li>Compal teams up with Kalyani Group to bring server manufacturing to India, enhancing local production and technology.</li><li>Chinese lithium battery companies face challenges due to Trump's tariffs, impacting their ability to operate effectively.</li></ul>

Taiwanese wafer industry anticipates growth in the first quarter of 2025, boosting the country's economy.Compal teams up with Kalyani Group to bring server manufacturing to India, enhancing local production and technology.Chinese lithium battery companies face challenges due to Trump's tariffs, impacting their ability to operate effectively.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Mar-2025): Taiwan wafer industry, 1Q 2025.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the averaging period for the April rebalance commencing today, we forecast 2 changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 0.65-1x ADV to buy in the adds and between 0.5-1.7x ADV to sell in the deletes.</li>
<li>The big rally has taken <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gemvax-kael-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17026:1" rel="noopener">Gemvax &amp; Kael</a> into inclusion zone while underperformance leads to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13560:1" rel="noopener">ISC Co</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techwing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5735:1" rel="noopener">Techwing</a> dropping out of inclusion zone.</li>
</ul>


With the averaging period for the April rebalance commencing today, we forecast 2 changes for the FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index at the upcoming rebalance.
Based on the passive assets tracking the index, there will be between 0.65-1x ADV to buy in the adds and between 0.5-1.7x ADV to sell in the deletes.
The big rally has taken Gemvax &amp; Kael into inclusion zone while underperformance leads to ISC Co and Techwing dropping out of inclusion zone.


FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Moves Lead to Changes in Forecast

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JX Advanced Metals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jx-advanced-metals-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44346:1" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)</a>’s parent, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eneos-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:638:1" rel="noopener">ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP)</a>, is looking to raise around US$2.5bn via selling more than half of its stake in JXAM in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>JXAM engages in business activities primarily focused on the development, manufacture and sale of materials made from copper and rare metals, which are used in the semiconductor and ICT fields.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)’s parent, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP), is looking to raise around US$2.5bn via selling more than half of its stake in JXAM in its Japan IPO.
JXAM engages in business activities primarily focused on the development, manufacture and sale of materials made from copper and rare metals, which are used in the semiconductor and ICT fields.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO pricing.


JX Advance Metals IPO - Digestable, but Not Really Attractive

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Nanya Tech Soared in February on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News</li>
<li>Nanya’s Custom HBM Strategy &amp; the Positive DRAM Market Outlook</li>
<li>Memory Monitor Universe: SK Hynix &amp; Micron Still Have Strong FY2025E Expected Growth; Nanya Tech Still Negative</li>
</ul>


Nanya Tech Soared in February on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News
Nanya’s Custom HBM Strategy &amp; the Positive DRAM Market Outlook
Memory Monitor Universe: SK Hynix &amp; Micron Still Have Strong FY2025E Expected Growth; Nanya Tech Still Negative


Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Tech News This Week. Apple AI, TSMC, Korea's Giga-Fund, Stargate

Apple AI adopting Google Gemini. TSMC ex-Chairman joins Micron board. SK Hynix exits image sensors, Korean Govt launches $100bn fund. Stargate...

Nicolas Baratte

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Mar-2025): Taiwan wafer industry, 1Q 2025.

Taiwan wafer industry forecasts growth, Compal partners with Kalyani Group, Chinese lithium battery makers affected by Trump's tariffs, MediaTek...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Moves Lead to Changes in Forecast

Recent price movements reduce the number of potential changes from 3 to 2. Gemvax & Kael has soared over the last week and that makes it an add...

Brian Freitas

JX Advance Metals IPO - Digestable, but Not Really Attractive

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)’s parent, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP), is looking to raise around US$2.5bn via selling more than half of its stake in...

Sumeet Singh

Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tech News This Week. Apple AI, TSMC, Korea's Giga-Fund, Stargate

​Apple AI adopting Google Gemini. TSMC ex-Chairman joins Micron board. SK Hynix exits image sensors, Korean Govt launches $100bn fund. Stargate...

Nicolas Baratte

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Mar-2025): Taiwan wafer industry, 1Q 2025.

Taiwan wafer industry forecasts growth, Compal partners with Kalyani Group, Chinese lithium battery makers affected by Trump's tariffs, MediaTek...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

FnGuide Semiconductor Top10 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Moves Lead to Changes in Forecast

Recent price movements reduce the number of potential changes from 3 to 2. Gemvax & Kael has soared over the last week and that makes it an add...

Brian Freitas

JX Advance Metals IPO - Digestable, but Not Really Attractive

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)’s parent, ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP), is looking to raise around US$2.5bn via selling more than half of its stake in...

Sumeet Singh

Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

​Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Apple AI adopting Google Gemini. TSMC ex-Chairman joins Micron board. SK Hynix exits image sensors, Korean Govt launches $100bn fund. Stargate...

Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.