Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 23 March, Korea Exchange launched two Korean REITs related indices, including KRX REITs TOP 10 Index and KRX REITs TOP 10 Leverage Index.</li>
<li>Korea Exchange will list two more REITs related ETFs in KOSPI on 24 May including Arirang Fn KREIT ETF (429740 KS) and HEROES REITs IGIS Active ETF (429870 KS). </li>
<li>The launch of the two new REIT indices by the Korea Exchange and two new REIT ETFs are likely to accelerate higher demand for high quality REITs in Korea. </li>
</ul>


On 23 March, Korea Exchange launched two Korean REITs related indices, including KRX REITs TOP 10 Index and KRX REITs TOP 10 Leverage Index.
Korea Exchange will list two more REITs related ETFs in KOSPI on 24 May including Arirang Fn KREIT ETF (429740 KS) and HEROES REITs IGIS Active ETF (429870 KS). 
The launch of the two new REIT indices by the Korea Exchange and two new REIT ETFs are likely to accelerate higher demand for high quality REITs in Korea. 


Launch of Two New REIT Indices by KRX and Two New REIT ETFs in Korea

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>We can consider three types of dividend stocks, targeting the March 31 dividend base date: 1. 1Q fiscal year-ending dividends, 2. Interim (quarterly) dividends, 3. REITs regular dividends</li>
<li>The ex-dividend price corrections of fiscal year-ending dividend stocks have been pretty tight recently. In addition, the futures basis has not reached a desirable level either.</li>
<li>So, either outright dividend trading or dividend arb play does not have much trade opening. So, I'd consider setting up a long/short basket trading, by focusing on high DTV ones.</li>
</ul>


We can consider three types of dividend stocks, targeting the March 31 dividend base date: 1. 1Q fiscal year-ending dividends, 2. Interim (quarterly) dividends, 3. REITs regular dividends
The ex-dividend price corrections of fiscal year-ending dividend stocks have been pretty tight recently. In addition, the futures basis has not reached a desirable level either.
So, either outright dividend trading or dividend arb play does not have much trade opening. So, I'd consider setting up a long/short basket trading, by focusing on high DTV ones.


KOSPI/KOSDAQ End-March Dividends: 1Q Fiscal Year-Ending, Interim(Quarterly), & REITs

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KOSPI has seven lockup release events that are likely to hit the market. And all of them are IPO institutional and ESOP lockups.</li>
<li>Whether these IPO institutional/ESOP lockups will hit the market directly correlates with the return size from the offering price. And most of them are still far above the offering price.</li>
<li>Therefore, it is highly likely that a meaningful share price correction will occur on each release date. This correlation pattern has been more pronounced in recent lockup release events.</li>
</ul>


KOSPI has seven lockup release events that are likely to hit the market. And all of them are IPO institutional and ESOP lockups.
Whether these IPO institutional/ESOP lockups will hit the market directly correlates with the return size from the offering price. And most of them are still far above the offering price.
Therefore, it is highly likely that a meaningful share price correction will occur on each release date. This correlation pattern has been more pronounced in recent lockup release events.


KOSPI Lockup Releases & Likelihood of Hitting the Market

<ul>
<li>The stocks worth our attention are mostly IPO institutional lockup releases. In particular, LG Energy, Iljin HySolus, and Hyundai Heavy Industries will be of the most interest.</li>
<li>Most of these have undergone significant price corrections. Nevertheless, current prices significantly outperform the offering prices. So, the incentives for IPO institutional investors to realize profits should be pretty intense.</li>
<li>Kakao Pay's volume isn't that much. Even with a heavier release last time, it didn't meet our expectations. Probably it is because it is bottoming out at the current level.</li>
</ul>


The stocks worth our attention are mostly IPO institutional lockup releases. In particular, LG Energy, Iljin HySolus, and Hyundai Heavy Industries will be of the most interest.
Most of these have undergone significant price corrections. Nevertheless, current prices significantly outperform the offering prices. So, the incentives for IPO institutional investors to realize profits should be pretty intense.
Kakao Pay's volume isn't that much. Even with a heavier release last time, it didn't meet our expectations. Probably it is because it is bottoming out at the current level.


KOSPI Lockup Releases: Details & Trading Approaches

<ul>
<li>The stocks we need to pay attention to are Hyundai Heavy Industries and Myoung Shin Industries.</li>
<li>HHI's 4.54% lockup release should cause short-term volatility in the price. We need to consider a setup that builds up a short position right after the KOSPI 200 effective date.</li>
<li>Myoung Shin Industrial's KOSPI 200 passive flow effect will be less than initially expected. Then, we need to look at the timing of entering the short position after December 10th.</li>
</ul>


The stocks we need to pay attention to are Hyundai Heavy Industries and Myoung Shin Industries.
HHI's 4.54% lockup release should cause short-term volatility in the price. We need to consider a setup that builds up a short position right after the KOSPI 200 effective date.
Myoung Shin Industrial's KOSPI 200 passive flow effect will be less than initially expected. Then, we need to look at the timing of entering the short position after December 10th.


KOSPI Major Lockup Releases: Hyundai Heavy Industries & Myoung Shin Industrial

South Korea

SK REITs Co., Ltd. operates real estate investment trust. The Company conducts real estate investment management business. SK REITs provides services in Korea.

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SK REITs (395400 KS)

Launch of Two New REIT Indices by KRX and Two New REIT ETFs in Korea

The launch of the two new REIT indices by the Korea Exchange and two new REIT ETFs are likely to accelerate higher demand for high quality REITs in...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI/KOSDAQ End-March Dividends: 1Q Fiscal Year-Ending, Interim(Quarterly), & REITs

This post offers the latest update on the expected dividends and dividend yields of the three types of end-1Q dividend stocks.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Lockup Releases & Likelihood of Hitting the Market

This post details the KOSPI lockup releases from now to the end of May. Seven lockup release events are considered a high likelihood of hitting the...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Lockup Releases: Details & Trading Approaches

This post details KOSPI lockup releases from February 20 to early May. And it discusses trading approaches for the stocks of the most interest.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Major Lockup Releases: Hyundai Heavy Industries & Myoung Shin Industrial

This post looks at the significant lockup releases on KOSPI for this month: Hyundai Heavy Industries and Myoung Shin Industrial.

Sanghyun Park

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