Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 21st. The aggregated short interest was USD18.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in LG Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), Samsung Electronics, SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Hanmi Semi.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 21st. The aggregated short interest was USD18.6bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in LG Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), Samsung Electronics, SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS, Hanmi Semi.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 21st): LG Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), Samsung Electronics

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 21st. The aggregated holding was USD1,681.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,538mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, SKTelecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 21st. The aggregated holding was USD1,681.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,538mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, SKTelecom.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 21st): Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, SK Hynix, SKSQUARE

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 14th. The aggregated holding was USD1,641.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,253mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF), Celltrion.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Aug 14th. The aggregated holding was USD1,641.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,253mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF), Celltrion.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 14th): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.</li>
<li>We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.</li>
</ul>


There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.
We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.


No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>ADR chatter is building for October, but there is still no solid Yeouido read. Political, regulatory and Square 20% constraints make an aggressive buyback plus ADR primary a tough call.</li>
<li>Base case remains a late execution for the special dividend and buyback, preserving flexibility around FCF volatility rather than committing to an aggressive schedule upfront.</li>
<li>We should assign low odds to Hynix front loading the buyback and executing aggressively within a tight window to facilitate a new ADR issuance.</li>
</ul>


ADR chatter is building for October, but there is still no solid Yeouido read. Political, regulatory and Square 20% constraints make an aggressive buyback plus ADR primary a tough call.
Base case remains a late execution for the special dividend and buyback, preserving flexibility around FCF volatility rather than committing to an aggressive schedule upfront.
We should assign low odds to Hynix front loading the buyback and executing aggressively within a tight window to facilitate a new ADR issuance.


Hynix New ADR Issuance After October Lockup Expiry: Low Probability for Now

South Korea

SK Square Co., Ltd. operates as an investment company. The Company invests in semiconductors, information and communications technologies, and other industries. SK Square conducts businesses in South Korea.

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SK Square (402340 KS)

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 21st): LG Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in LG Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF), Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 21st): Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, SK Hynix, SKSQUARE

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, SK Hynix,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 14th): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SKSQUARE, Samsung Elec (PREF)

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SKSQUARE, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

No Traction Above $93 on MSCI $ACWI or 4400-4415 on EURO #STOXX 50. Continues to reinforce our view from early-January that $93 on ACWI caps upside...

Vermilion Research

Hynix New ADR Issuance After October Lockup Expiry: Low Probability for Now

This post looks at the potential for Hynix to issue new ADRs after the October lockup expiry, which still looks relatively low at this point.

Sanghyun Park

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