IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> has secured all PRC regulatory approvals for its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a> offer. The remaining precondition is approval from the HK Communications Authority. </li>
<li>I Squared, while technically still in the race, is rapidly running out of time. It needs to announce an offer before China Mobile opens its offer for acceptance.</li>
<li>Despite the HKBN CEO’s comments that the China Mobile offer is not good enough, China Mobile has no pressing need to bump if a competing offer fails to materialise.</li>
</ul>



China Mobile (941 HK) has secured all PRC regulatory approvals for its HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) offer. The remaining precondition is approval from the HK Communications Authority. 
I Squared, while technically still in the race, is rapidly running out of time. It needs to announce an offer before China Mobile opens its offer for acceptance.
Despite the HKBN CEO’s comments that the China Mobile offer is not good enough, China Mobile has no pressing need to bump if a competing offer fails to materialise.


HKBN (1310 HK): China Mobile Inches Closer Toward Precondition Satisfaction

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> has entered a <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0409/2025040900507.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">share purchase agreement</a> to acquire TPG’s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a> shares and vendor loan note conversion shares by 28 November.   </li>
<li>On completion, TPG will be released from its irrevocable, which has a competing offer clause.  China Mobile’s agreement signals its expectation that I Squared will launch a competing proposal. </li>
<li>The agreement will not change I Squared’s approach as it would not negatively impact regulatory approvals (a key risk) or prevent it from meeting a 50% minimum tendering condition. </li>
</ul>



China Mobile (941 HK) has entered a share purchase agreement to acquire TPG’s HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) shares and vendor loan note conversion shares by 28 November.   
On completion, TPG will be released from its irrevocable, which has a competing offer clause.  China Mobile’s agreement signals its expectation that I Squared will launch a competing proposal. 
The agreement will not change I Squared’s approach as it would not negatively impact regulatory approvals (a key risk) or prevent it from meeting a 50% minimum tendering condition. 


HKBN (1310 HK): China Mobile Agrees to Acquire TPG’s Stake

<ul>
<li>Today’s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a> monthly update notes that I Squared has completed due diligence and is finalising the terms of a possible preconditional offer. </li>
<li>The I Squared bid will likely be a modest premium to the China Mobile offer with a 50% minimum tendering condition. The key unknown is securing regulatory approvals. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> will first react to an I Squared offer by maintaining terms. However, regardless of whether I Squared secures regulatory approvals, it is likely to match terms. </li>
</ul>


Today’s HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) monthly update notes that I Squared has completed due diligence and is finalising the terms of a possible preconditional offer. 
The I Squared bid will likely be a modest premium to the China Mobile offer with a 50% minimum tendering condition. The key unknown is securing regulatory approvals. 

China Mobile (941 HK) will first react to an I Squared offer by maintaining terms. However, regardless of whether I Squared secures regulatory approvals, it is likely to match terms. 


HKBN (1310 HK): I Squared Inches Closer to a Competing Offer

<ul>
<li>A new <a href="https://std.stheadline.com/realtime/article/2058629/%E5%8D%B3%E6%99%82-%E8%B2%A1%E7%B6%93-%E9%A6%99%E6%B8%AF%E5%AF%AC%E9%A0%BB%E8%B3%A3%E7%9B%A4%E8%86%A0%E7%9D%80%E9%80%BE3%E5%80%8B%E6%9C%88-%E6%B6%88%E6%81%AF-%E8%82%A1%E6%9D%B1%E9%80%80%E5%87%BA%E9%9C%80%E6%B1%82%E5%BC%B7%E7%83%88-%E4%B8%80%E6%97%A6%E8%A7%B8%E7%A4%81-%E6%9C%AA%E4%BE%86%E4%BD%9C%E5%83%B9%E5%8B%A2%E6%9B%B4%E4%BD%8E" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sing Tao Daily article</a> on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a> claims that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>’s offer is a stalemate, and a potential I Squared offer faces regulatory challenges. </li>
<li>The article is being unduly alarmist. The concerns raised on the China Mobile offer remain premature, and there remains a medium-to-high probability of a competing offer from I Squared. </li>
<li>Last Friday, MBK converted its vendor loan notes (VLN) into shares, which could signal that an I Squared competing offer is imminent. </li>
</ul>


A new Sing Tao Daily article on HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) claims that China Mobile (941 HK)’s offer is a stalemate, and a potential I Squared offer faces regulatory challenges. 
The article is being unduly alarmist. The concerns raised on the China Mobile offer remain premature, and there remains a medium-to-high probability of a competing offer from I Squared. 
Last Friday, MBK converted its vendor loan notes (VLN) into shares, which could signal that an I Squared competing offer is imminent. 


HKBN (1310 HK): Another Sing Tao Article as Speculation Swirls on MBK’s Loan Notes Conversion

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a> shares declined 4.4% after a <a href="https://std.stheadline.com/daily/article/2657779/%E6%97%A5%E5%A0%B1-%E8%B2%A1%E7%B6%93-%E4%B8%AD%E7%A7%BB%E5%8B%95%E8%B3%BC%E9%A6%99%E6%B8%AF%E5%AF%AC%E9%A0%BB%E6%81%90%E8%A7%B8%E7%A4%81" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sing Tao Daily article</a> claimed that the precondition satisfaction of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>’s offer is at a stalemate. </li>
<li>The mainland regulatory authorities have not provided any feedback on the approval process. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a> deal break is cited as a cautionary tale.</li>
<li>While the China TCM deal break taught us that no deal is safe, even an SOE-sponsored deal, the article's concerns have little merit. This is a buy.</li>
</ul>



HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) shares declined 4.4% after a Sing Tao Daily article claimed that the precondition satisfaction of China Mobile (941 HK)’s offer is at a stalemate. 
The mainland regulatory authorities have not provided any feedback on the approval process. The China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) deal break is cited as a cautionary tale.
While the China TCM deal break taught us that no deal is safe, even an SOE-sponsored deal, the article's concerns have little merit. This is a buy.


HKBN (1310 HK): A Press Report Causes Trepidation

Hong Kong

SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides mobile telecommunication and related services and sells mobile telephones and accessories.

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Smartone Telecommunications (315 HK)

HKBN (1310 HK): China Mobile Inches Closer Toward Precondition Satisfaction

I Squared, while technically still in the race, is rapidly running out of time. Despite the HKBN CEO’s comments that the China Mobile offer is not...

Arun George

HKBN (1310 HK): China Mobile Agrees to Acquire TPG’s Stake

The agreement signals China Mobile's expectation that it will satisfy the precondition and that I Squared will launch a competing proposal. At the...

Arun George

HKBN (1310 HK): I Squared Inches Closer to a Competing Offer

China Mobile will first react to an I Squared offer by maintaining terms. However, regardless of whether I Squared secures regulatory approvals, it...

Arun George

HKBN (1310 HK): Another Sing Tao Article as Speculation Swirls on MBK’s Loan Notes Conversion

The article is being unduly alarmist. The concerns raised on the China Mobile offer remain premature, and there remains a medium-to-high...

Arun George

HKBN (1310 HK): A Press Report Causes Trepidation

The article's concerns have little merit at this process stage. There is a medium-to-high probability of a competing offer. The selloff is a buying...

Arun George

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