External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Smoore International Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>A slow start for China in 2023, when Jan and Feb retail sales were cannibalized by unlawful refills under the new regulatory regime, according to our channel check.</li><li>While regulators have been actively combating any illegal distributions, we are hopeful of seeing compliant refills (i.e. tobacco flavored) to recover from 2Q onwards.</li><li>However, we remain cautious in China revenue and expect a small YoY decline.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A slow start for China in 2023, when Jan and Feb retail sales were cannibalized by unlawful refills under the new regulatory regime, according to our channel check.While regulators have been actively combating any illegal distributions, we are hopeful of seeing compliant refills (i.e. tobacco flavored) to recover from 2Q onwards.However, we remain cautious in China revenue and expect a small YoY decline.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Smoore Int’l (6969 HK) – Operational Challenges Remain

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed in the Global Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>We also look forward to 2023F to see what’s expected for the major GEM economies next year.  </li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.
In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed in the Global Emerging Markets.
We also look forward to 2023F to see what’s expected for the major GEM economies next year.  


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tingyi-cayman-islands-holding-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14016:1" rel="noopener">Tingyi Holding (322 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-mixc-lifestyle-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29285:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a> gets us to 76 index constituents.</li>
<li>Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover of 2.01% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$3,845m.</li>
<li>Shorts on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tingyi-cayman-islands-holding-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14016:1" rel="noopener">Tingyi Holding (322 HK)</a> are around 5% of float and covering could take the stocks higher.</li>
</ul>


The inclusion of Tingyi Holding (322 HK), China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK) and Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) gets us to 76 index constituents.
Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover of 2.01% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$3,845m.
Shorts on Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) and Tingyi Holding (322 HK) are around 5% of float and covering could take the stocks higher.


HSI Index Rebalance: Baby Steps; Double Inclusion for Haier Smart Home

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 4th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Li Ning, China Shenhua, BYD Electronic.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 4th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Kuaishou, Li Ning, China Shenhua, BYD Electronic.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Li Ning, China Shenhua, BYD Electronic

<ul><li>3Q wrapped up with 2 beats, 2 in-lines and 2 misses. We revised our 2022E earnings forecasts by -1 to -23%, and that put us roughly 5-25% below consensus.</li><li>In our view, risks are still skewed to the downside, barring any sporadic lockdowns.</li><li>When policy rhetoric is not turning, we again see grounds on the enforcement of “stay put for the holiday” for the coming CNY holiday.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

3Q wrapped up with 2 beats, 2 in-lines and 2 misses. We revised our 2022E earnings forecasts by -1 to -23%, and that put us roughly 5-25% below consensus.In our view, risks are still skewed to the downside, barring any sporadic lockdowns.When policy rhetoric is not turning, we again see grounds on the enforcement of “stay put for the holiday” for the coming CNY holiday.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer – Lacklustre 4Q22E Outlook Despite Any Short-Lived Rally; Top Buy CRB/ Proya/ CTGDF

China

Smoore International Holdings Limited offering vaping technology solutions with advanced research and development technology. The Company manufactures and produces closed system vaping devices, self branded open system vaping devices, vaping components, and other products. Smoore International Holdings markets its products throughout Hong Kong.

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Smoore International Holdings (6969 HK)

Smoore Int’l (6969 HK) – Operational Challenges Remain

A slow start for China in 2023, when Jan and Feb retail sales were cannibalized by unlawful refills under the new regulatory regime, according to...

CMB International

GEM Weekly: 2022 Yearend Edition

In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which GEM stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed, and look forward...

Wium Malan, CFA

HSI Index Rebalance: Baby Steps; Double Inclusion for Haier Smart Home

There are 3 adds to the HSI to get up to 76 members. Few adds are surprises & there is unlikely to be large positioning. Short interest on some...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Li Ning, China Shenhua, BYD Electronic

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 4th and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Li Ning, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Consumer – Lacklustre 4Q22E Outlook Despite Any Short-Lived Rally; Top Buy CRB/ Proya/ CTGDF

3Q wrapped up with 2 beats, 2 in-lines and 2 misses. We revised our 2022E earnings forecasts by -1 to -23%, and that put us roughly 5-25% below...

CMB International

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