Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Softbank set to gap and run with ARM +10.5% and OpenAI reaching a $850bn valuation.</li>
<li>Aehr Test +23% on a major new data center customer, a positive read for Advantest, Micronics and Teraprobe after heavy selling last week.</li>
<li>Upside for airlines on the prospect for lower oil and increased travel.</li>
</ul>


Softbank set to gap and run with ARM +10.5% and OpenAI reaching a $850bn valuation.
Aehr Test +23% on a major new data center customer, a positive read for Advantest, Micronics and Teraprobe after heavy selling last week.
Upside for airlines on the prospect for lower oil and increased travel.


Japan Morning Connection: Iran Heads to the Negotiating Table Sending Markets Sharply Higher

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>US equity indices plunged Friday amid rising Middle East tensions and WTI +3%, with S&amp;P 500, and Nasdaq each falling over 2% on the week.</li>
<li>Japanese stocks demonstrated resilience but remained highly sensitive to headlines on oil supply risks and Middle East developments, with limited domestic offsets.</li>
<li>Tokio Marine (+24%) confirmed a strategic partnership with Berkshire Hathaway’s National Indemnity, which will acquire a 2.5% stake for ¥290bn alongside reinsurance collaboration and potential joint M&amp;A</li>
</ul>


US equity indices plunged Friday amid rising Middle East tensions and WTI +3%, with S&amp;P 500, and Nasdaq each falling over 2% on the week.
Japanese stocks demonstrated resilience but remained highly sensitive to headlines on oil supply risks and Middle East developments, with limited domestic offsets.
Tokio Marine (+24%) confirmed a strategic partnership with Berkshire Hathaway’s National Indemnity, which will acquire a 2.5% stake for ¥290bn alongside reinsurance collaboration and potential joint M&amp;A


Japan Strategy Weekly | Surging Energy Costs

<ul>
<li>News that chipmakers plan to relax the standard that determines the thickness of next-gen 20-layer HBM4 memory chips sent hybrid-bonding play BESI -17%.</li>
<li>This sent Teradyne -10.6%, Lam Research -7.2%, and AMAT -6.3%, and while the impact is more nuanced in Japan it will be indiscriminate risk-off across SPE to start.</li>
<li>Software bounced so this may see a defense bid, and I would be looking to be long JP utilities with nuclear restarts vs those still dependent on oil/gas fired plants.</li>
</ul>


News that chipmakers plan to relax the standard that determines the thickness of next-gen 20-layer HBM4 memory chips sent hybrid-bonding play BESI -17%.
This sent Teradyne -10.6%, Lam Research -7.2%, and AMAT -6.3%, and while the impact is more nuanced in Japan it will be indiscriminate risk-off across SPE to start.
Software bounced so this may see a defense bid, and I would be looking to be long JP utilities with nuclear restarts vs those still dependent on oil/gas fired plants.


Japan Morning Connection: Brent Surges as Mojtaba Khamenei Is Voted in as Iran's Next Supreme Leader

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIKKEI 225 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Mitsubishi Materials.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIKKEI 225 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha, Mitsubishi Materials.


NIKKEI 225 Index Earning Revision (Sep): Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION

<ul>
<li>Sandisk doubling its 3D NAND for enterprise SSD's yet to be priced in for Kioxia.</li>
<li>Sentiment for the space theme in JP set to improve with Planet Labs inking Swedish deal.</li>
<li>Yaskawa numbers miss mainly on one-offs, but order outlook improvement a positive.</li>
</ul>


Sandisk doubling its 3D NAND for enterprise SSD's yet to be priced in for Kioxia.
Sentiment for the space theme in JP set to improve with Planet Labs inking Swedish deal.
Yaskawa numbers miss mainly on one-offs, but order outlook improvement a positive.


Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set for a Decent Uptick as It Prices in Big US Gains from Friday

Japan

Socionext Inc. designs, develops, and provides SoC (system on chip) solutions and services. The Company offers digital broadcast demodulation solution, video interface conversion solution, imaging solution, engine and accelerator solution, industrial connected solution, and more. Socionext serves customers in consumer, automotive, industrial, and other fields.

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Socionext (6526 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Iran Heads to the Negotiating Table Sending Markets Sharply Higher

Japan set for a positive open as Iran deal hopes send oil lower and markets anticipate a return to normal travel and shipping through the Straits.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | Surging Energy Costs

US stocks dropped due to Middle East tensions, while Japanese stocks remained sensitive to oil supply risks. Tokio Marine partners with Berkshire...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Brent Surges as Mojtaba Khamenei Is Voted in as Iran's Next Supreme Leader

Brent surges as high as $111 this morning as hardliner Mojtaba Khamenei in voted in as Iran's next supreme leader. After the dust settles SPE will...

Andrew Jackson

NIKKEI 225 Index Earning Revision (Sep): Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION

We analyzed NIKKEI 225's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set for a Decent Uptick as It Prices in Big US Gains from Friday

Space names may get a lift with defence names in focus. Expect strong gains for Japan SPE after US semi-cap names traded well.

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Iran Heads to the Negotiating Table Sending Markets Sharply Higher

Japan set for a positive open as Iran deal hopes send oil lower and markets anticipate a return to normal travel and shipping through the Straits.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | Surging Energy Costs

​US stocks dropped due to Middle East tensions, while Japanese stocks remained sensitive to oil supply risks. Tokio Marine partners with Berkshire...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Brent Surges as Mojtaba Khamenei Is Voted in as Iran's Next Supreme Leader

Brent surges as high as $111 this morning as hardliner Mojtaba Khamenei in voted in as Iran's next supreme leader. After the dust settles SPE will...

Andrew Jackson

NIKKEI 225 Index Earning Revision (Sep): Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION

We analyzed NIKKEI 225's consensus for Sep 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Advantest, Kioxia, Fujikura, Tokyo Electron, TDK, ARCHION, Nippon...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set for a Decent Uptick as It Prices in Big US Gains from Friday

Space names may get a lift with defence names in focus. Expect strong gains for Japan SPE after US semi-cap names traded well.

Andrew Jackson

US stocks dropped due to Middle East tensions, while Japanese stocks remained sensitive to oil supply risks. Tokio Marine partners with Berkshire...