Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There has been a recent surge in short interest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sonic-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14466:1" rel="noopener">Sonic Healthcare</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stockland" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:661:1" rel="noopener">Stockland</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:701:1" rel="noopener">CAR Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochlear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:918:1" rel="noopener">Cochlear</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asx-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:552:1" rel="noopener">ASX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisetech-global-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22669:1" rel="noopener">Wisetech Global</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xero-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:390:1" rel="noopener">Xero</a>.</li>
<li>Short interest ranges from 8.7-30.8 days of ADV and from 4.4%-14.4% of free float.</li>
<li>The market is positioned for the deletion of some of these stocks from a global index in August and there will be covering against the passive flow.</li>
</ul>


There has been a recent surge in short interest in Sonic Healthcare, Stockland, CAR Group, Cochlear, ASX, Wisetech Global and Xero.
Short interest ranges from 8.7-30.8 days of ADV and from 4.4%-14.4% of free float.
The market is positioned for the deletion of some of these stocks from a global index in August and there will be covering against the passive flow.


Australia: Shorts Surging in SHL, SGP, CAR, COH, ASX, WTC, XRO

<ul>
<li>The changes to a global index in August will be announced pre-market open Thursday and will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 August.</li>
<li>The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 1, 2 and 3 months but near-term performance has been far from awesome due to the momentum unwind.</li>
</ul>


The changes to a global index in August will be announced pre-market open Thursday and will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 August.
The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 1, 2 and 3 months but near-term performance has been far from awesome due to the momentum unwind.


Global Index: Potential Changes in August for Asia Pac

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Fosun Pharma outlicensed XH-S004 to Expedition Therapeutics for $120M upfront and milestone payment. Remegen’s drug candidate met primary endpoint in Phase 3 trial for Sjögren's syndrome in China.</li>
<li>Astellas Pharma announced positive topline results from the Phase 3 trial evaluating Padcev in bladder cancer. Daewoong Pharmaceutical announced positive result for their self-developed semaglutide microneedle patch.</li>
<li>Zydus Lifesciences received FDA approval for chest pain drug Diltiazem Hydrochloride tablets. Lupin has partnered with Sandoz to market and commercialize Lupin’s biosimilar ranibizumab across multiple regions.</li>
</ul>


Fosun Pharma outlicensed XH-S004 to Expedition Therapeutics for $120M upfront and milestone payment. Remegen’s drug candidate met primary endpoint in Phase 3 trial for Sjögren's syndrome in China.
Astellas Pharma announced positive topline results from the Phase 3 trial evaluating Padcev in bladder cancer. Daewoong Pharmaceutical announced positive result for their self-developed semaglutide microneedle patch.
Zydus Lifesciences received FDA approval for chest pain drug Diltiazem Hydrochloride tablets. Lupin has partnered with Sandoz to market and commercialize Lupin’s biosimilar ranibizumab across multiple regions.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 17) – Fosun Pharma, Remegen, Astellas, Daewoong Pharma, Zydus, Lupin

<ul>
<li>Hansoh Pharmaceutical announced that a new indication of Xinyue has been included in the Priority Review. Astellas Pharma announced positive update from the Phase 3 EV-302 clinical trial.</li>
<li>CSL has received EU approval for HAE drug, Andemry. Imugene announce more positive results from its Phase 1b trial of azer-cel, an allogenic therapy in relapsed/refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.</li>
<li>LigaChem Bio signed technology transfer agreement for a new anticancer target antibody for the development of ADC candidates with Daan Biotherapeutics. Lupin received FDA approval for generic Atrovent Nasal Spray.</li>
</ul>


Hansoh Pharmaceutical announced that a new indication of Xinyue has been included in the Priority Review. Astellas Pharma announced positive update from the Phase 3 EV-302 clinical trial.
CSL has received EU approval for HAE drug, Andemry. Imugene announce more positive results from its Phase 1b trial of azer-cel, an allogenic therapy in relapsed/refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.
LigaChem Bio signed technology transfer agreement for a new anticancer target antibody for the development of ADC candidates with Daan Biotherapeutics. Lupin received FDA approval for generic Atrovent Nasal Spray.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 16)- Hansoh Pharma, Astellas Pharma, CSL, Imugene, LigaChem Bio, Lupin

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 4th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD51.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CAR, Cochlear, Predictive Discovery, Sonic Healthcare, Qantas Airways.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 4th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD51.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CAR, Cochlear, Predictive Discovery, Sonic Healthcare, Qantas Airways.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 4th): CAR, Cochlear, Predictive Discovery, Sonic Healthcare

Australia

Sonic Healthcare Limited is a medical diagnostics company with operations in Australia, New Zealand, and Europe.  The Company provides a comprehensive range of pathology and diagnostic imaging services to medical practitioners, hospitals and their patients along with providing administrative services and facilities to medical practitioners.

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Sonic Healthcare (SHL AU)

Australia: Shorts Surging in SHL, SGP, CAR, COH, ASX, WTC, XRO

Short interest has been surging in some stocks as positioning increases for potential index deletions in August and September. Short interest...

Brian Freitas

Global Index: Potential Changes in August for Asia Pac

The global index changes were announced using D1 as the cutoff. 99% hit rate across Asia Pacific, so no surprises. Big price changes in the stocks...

Brian Freitas

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 17) – Fosun Pharma, Remegen, Astellas, Daewoong Pharma, Zydus, Lupin

Astellas, Remegen, and Daewoong Pharma announced positive trial results for their respective drug candidates. Fosun Pharma stuck outlicensing deal....

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 16)- Hansoh Pharma, Astellas Pharma, CSL, Imugene, LigaChem Bio, Lupin

APAC healthcare companies continued to get approvals for new products and initiates clinical trials. The companies continued with acquisitions and...

Tina Banerjee

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 4th): CAR, Cochlear, Predictive Discovery, Sonic Healthcare

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CAR, Cochlear, Predictive Discovery, Sonic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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