Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochlear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:918:1" rel="noopener">Cochlear Ltd (COH AU)</a> expects to report FY26 underlying net profit of $435–460M, an 11–17% increase on FY25, up 5–11% on a comparative (cloud adjusted) basis.</li>
<li>The Nucleus Nexa System has been launched in Europe and Asia Pacific in mid-June 2025 and will be launched in the U.S. by the end of Q1FY26.</li>
<li>The company expects strong FY26 revenue growth in developed markets from the launch of the new Nucleus Nexa implant, with overall revenue and earnings growth weighted to the second half.</li>
</ul>



Cochlear Ltd (COH AU) expects to report FY26 underlying net profit of $435–460M, an 11–17% increase on FY25, up 5–11% on a comparative (cloud adjusted) basis.
The Nucleus Nexa System has been launched in Europe and Asia Pacific in mid-June 2025 and will be launched in the U.S. by the end of Q1FY26.
The company expects strong FY26 revenue growth in developed markets from the launch of the new Nucleus Nexa implant, with overall revenue and earnings growth weighted to the second half.


Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Earnings Recovery to Continue on Nucleus Nexa Implant Launch

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochlear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:918:1" rel="noopener">Cochlear Ltd (COH AU)</a> now expects FY25 underlying net profit to be at the lower end of A$410–430M guidance range due to lower services revenue and higher cloud-related investment.</li>
<li>Despite 5% growth in H1FY25, Cochlear reiterated that “solid market growth rates to drive cochlear implant unit growth of around 10% in FY25.”</li>
<li>Cochlear is expected to release next-generation cochlear implant in mid-2025. The introduction of the new off-the-ear Nucleus Kanso 3 sound processor is expected to contribute to services revenue from FY26.</li>
</ul>



Cochlear Ltd (COH AU) now expects FY25 underlying net profit to be at the lower end of A$410–430M guidance range due to lower services revenue and higher cloud-related investment.
Despite 5% growth in H1FY25, Cochlear reiterated that “solid market growth rates to drive cochlear implant unit growth of around 10% in FY25.”
Cochlear is expected to release next-generation cochlear implant in mid-2025. The introduction of the new off-the-ear Nucleus Kanso 3 sound processor is expected to contribute to services revenue from FY26.


Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Negative Reaction Is Overdone; Performance Reversal Is Imminent

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochlear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:918:1" rel="noopener">Cochlear Ltd (COH AU)</a> shares rallied 30%+ over the last six months. Shares are trading at NTM P/E of 51.3x, versus other Australia-listed medical devices companies’ P/E of 23–32x.</li>
<li>The underlying business strength depicted by strong financial performance and guidance raise, and superior product offerings justify the pricey valuation.</li>
<li>Cochlear lifted FY24 net profit guidance to A$385–400M (+26–31% YoY) from A$355–375M. The company expects FY24 cochlear implant volume growth of 10–15% YoY.</li>
</ul>



Cochlear Ltd (COH AU) shares rallied 30%+ over the last six months. Shares are trading at NTM P/E of 51.3x, versus other Australia-listed medical devices companies’ P/E of 23–32x.
The underlying business strength depicted by strong financial performance and guidance raise, and superior product offerings justify the pricey valuation.
Cochlear lifted FY24 net profit guidance to A$385–400M (+26–31% YoY) from A$355–375M. The company expects FY24 cochlear implant volume growth of 10–15% YoY.


Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Underlying Business Strength Justifies Superior Valuation

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Global Healthcare ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.</li>
<li>MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).</li>
<li>This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe</li>
</ul>


As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.
MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).
This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe


Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

<ul>
<li>The lows have likely been established for this correction, but a bottoming process would likely take weeks or potentially months and could come with more tests of the lows.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX and Nikkei 225 are each testing their respective downtrends. The EURO STOXX 50 is testing resistance in the 4040-4090 range. Germany's DAX is testing major resistance at 14,815-14,950.</li>
<li>It is likely that this initial 2-3 week bounce has run its course; stick with cyclical value and defensives, areas we have been focused on for most of 2022.</li>
</ul>


The lows have likely been established for this correction, but a bottoming process would likely take weeks or potentially months and could come with more tests of the lows.
Japan's TOPIX and Nikkei 225 are each testing their respective downtrends. The EURO STOXX 50 is testing resistance in the 4040-4090 range. Germany's DAX is testing major resistance at 14,815-14,950.
It is likely that this initial 2-3 week bounce has run its course; stick with cyclical value and defensives, areas we have been focused on for most of 2022.


Sticking With Cyclical Value and Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology

Switzerland

Sonova Holding AG provides hearing care solutions. The Company designs, develops, and manufactures hearing systems, such as wireless communication systems for audio applications and cochlear implant systems. Sonova Holding serves patients worldwide.

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Sonova Holding (SOON SW)

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Earnings Recovery to Continue on Nucleus Nexa Implant Launch

Cochlear anticipates strong revenue growth in FY26 driven by new Nucleus Nexa System launch, with expected 11-17% increase in underlying net...

Tina Banerjee

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Negative Reaction Is Overdone; Performance Reversal Is Imminent

Cochlear expects FY25 profit to be at the lower end of guidance range, but remains optimistic about maintaining 10% implant volume growth. The...

Tina Banerjee

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Underlying Business Strength Justifies Superior Valuation

Cochlear lifted FY24 net profit guidance 8% to A$385–400M (+26–31% YoY). The company expects FY24 cochlear implant volume growth of 10–15% YoY from...

Tina Banerjee

Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

We have recommended shifting to defensives throughout Feb/March due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on $ACWI. We highlight buys within...

Vermilion Research

Sticking With Cyclical Value and Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology

Sticking With Cyclical Value & Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology. 2-3 week bounce has likely run its course with $TOPIX $Nikkei 225,...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Earnings Recovery to Continue on Nucleus Nexa Implant Launch

​Cochlear anticipates strong revenue growth in FY26 driven by new Nucleus Nexa System launch, with expected 11-17% increase in underlying net...

Tina Banerjee

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Negative Reaction Is Overdone; Performance Reversal Is Imminent

​Cochlear expects FY25 profit to be at the lower end of guidance range, but remains optimistic about maintaining 10% implant volume growth. The...

Tina Banerjee

Cochlear Ltd (COH AU): Underlying Business Strength Justifies Superior Valuation

Cochlear lifted FY24 net profit guidance 8% to A$385–400M (+26–31% YoY). The company expects FY24 cochlear implant volume growth of 10–15% YoY from...

Tina Banerjee

Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

We have recommended shifting to defensives throughout Feb/March due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on $ACWI. We highlight buys within...

Vermilion Research

Sticking With Cyclical Value and Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology

Sticking With Cyclical Value & Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology. 2-3 week bounce has likely run its course with $TOPIX $Nikkei 225,...

Vermilion Research

Cochlear anticipates strong revenue growth in FY26 driven by new Nucleus Nexa System launch, with expected 11-17% increase in underlying net...

Cochlear expects FY25 profit to be at the lower end of guidance range, but remains optimistic about maintaining 10% implant volume growth. The...