Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of OneStore is market cap of 1.3 trillion won and target price of 48,713 won per share (28% higher than the IPO mid-point price range).</li>
<li>Our valuation of the company is based on P/S multiple of 4.8x (average of the peers) using our estimated sales of 269 billion won for the company in 2022. </li>
<li>In our comparable companies valuation analysis, we have used the following four Korean companies as comps including Kakao Corp, Naver Corp (035420 KS), AfreecaTV (067160 KS), Kidari Studio (020120 KS).</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of OneStore is market cap of 1.3 trillion won and target price of 48,713 won per share (28% higher than the IPO mid-point price range).
Our valuation of the company is based on P/S multiple of 4.8x (average of the peers) using our estimated sales of 269 billion won for the company in 2022. 
In our comparable companies valuation analysis, we have used the following four Korean companies as comps including Kakao Corp, Naver Corp (035420 KS), AfreecaTV (067160 KS), Kidari Studio (020120 KS).


Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Three local indexes in Korea face rebalancing trading on March 10, supposedly at the close.</li>
<li>They are 1. KOSPI 200 Fast Entry for LG Energy Solution, 2. KOSPI Size Index Series biannual rebalancing, and 3. KRX BBIG K-New Deal biannual rebalancing.</li>
<li>There are 18 stocks in total, which have an estimated passive flow of ±0.5x ADTV &amp; an average daily trade value of +₩5.0B.</li>
</ul>


Three local indexes in Korea face rebalancing trading on March 10, supposedly at the close.
They are 1. KOSPI 200 Fast Entry for LG Energy Solution, 2. KOSPI Size Index Series biannual rebalancing, and 3. KRX BBIG K-New Deal biannual rebalancing.
There are 18 stocks in total, which have an estimated passive flow of ±0.5x ADTV &amp; an average daily trade value of +₩5.0B.


Combined Rebalancing Flow Estimations of Three Indexes in Korea on March 10

<ul>
<li>Those non-top three constituents in the battery index get to face more substantial outflow due to LG Chem's remaining in the index. They are Posco Chemical, SKC, and Iljin Materials.</li>
<li>It is still that AfreecaTV (067160 KS) and Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) are the ones with the most significant passive impacts, +1.73x and -2.67x ADTVs, respectively. </li>
<li>LG Energy Fast Entry will be implemented on the same day. The combined inflow should rise to +0.95x ADTV, substantial enough to deserve special attention.</li>
</ul>


Those non-top three constituents in the battery index get to face more substantial outflow due to LG Chem's remaining in the index. They are Posco Chemical, SKC, and Iljin Materials.
It is still that AfreecaTV (067160 KS) and Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) are the ones with the most significant passive impacts, +1.73x and -2.67x ADTVs, respectively. 
LG Energy Fast Entry will be implemented on the same day. The combined inflow should rise to +0.95x ADTV, substantial enough to deserve special attention.


KRX K-New Deal Rebalancing Announcement: Updated Weight Adjustments & Passive Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The announced changes are exactly in line with our forecasts with one change each for the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game Index. There are three changes to the Internet Index.</li>
<li>There are two changes to the BBIG Index with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest buying impact will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> while the largest selling impact will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soulbrain-co-ltd-4208cf78-7fa9-4449-af35-bd0bde9d4726" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35407:1" rel="noopener">Soulbrain (357780)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The announced changes are exactly in line with our forecasts with one change each for the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game Index. There are three changes to the Internet Index.
There are two changes to the BBIG Index with LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) replacing LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) and AfreecaTV (067160 KS) replacing Douzone Bizon (012510 KS). 
The largest buying impact will be on AfreecaTV (067160 KS) while the largest selling impact will be on Douzone Bizon (012510 KS), Soulbrain (357780) and LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS).


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: No Surprises as LG Chem Not Deleted from Battery Index

<ul>
<li>The biggest story should be LG Chem's complete deletion from the entire indexes. It's been said locally that KRX finally decided to remove LG Chem from the battery index.</li>
<li>AfreecaTV and Douzone Bizon will have the largest passive impacts, +1.72x and -3.89x ADTVs. The Chunbo and SoulBrain combo also seems in a sweet spot for a quick long/short setup.</li>
<li>LG Energy's inflow should be at least 0.33x ADTV. Yes, LG Chem's outflow deserves special attention. The combined impact is 0.6x ADTV, enough to make a splash on the price.</li>
</ul>


The biggest story should be LG Chem's complete deletion from the entire indexes. It's been said locally that KRX finally decided to remove LG Chem from the battery index.
AfreecaTV and Douzone Bizon will have the largest passive impacts, +1.72x and -3.89x ADTVs. The Chunbo and SoulBrain combo also seems in a sweet spot for a quick long/short setup.
LG Energy's inflow should be at least 0.33x ADTV. Yes, LG Chem's outflow deserves special attention. The combined impact is 0.6x ADTV, enough to make a splash on the price.


KRX K-New Deal Rebalancing: Latest Weight/Flow Update & LG Chem's Complete Deletion

South Korea

Soop Co., Ltd. offers new media platform services. The Company provides digital media storage, streaming, downloading, video on demand, advertising services, and other services. Soop offers services in South Korea.

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Soop (067160 KS)

OneStore IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of OneStore is market cap of 1.3 trillion won and target price of 48,713 won per share (28% higher than the IPO mid-point...

Douglas Kim

Combined Rebalancing Flow Estimations of Three Indexes in Korea on March 10

This post estimates the combined rebalancing flows of Korea's three local indexes, which should be seen on March 10, supposedly at the close.

Sanghyun Park

KRX K-New Deal Rebalancing Announcement: Updated Weight Adjustments & Passive Flows

KRX officially announced the K-New Deal rebalancing results. This post updates the estimations of weight adjustments and passive flows.

Sanghyun Park

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: No Surprises as LG Chem Not Deleted from Battery Index

There is one change each for the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game Index. There are three changes to the Internet Index. LG Chem has not been deleted...

Brian Freitas

KRX K-New Deal Rebalancing: Latest Weight/Flow Update & LG Chem's Complete Deletion

This post provides the latest update on the weight adjustments and flow estimations for the KRX K-New Deal Index rebalancing.

Sanghyun Park

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