Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Int'l Compass (July 21) we discussed positive signals that suggested the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or that downside is limited.</li>
<li>But we also noted that various downtrends remained firmly intact, and that we needed to see indexes reverse their downtrends in order to get more constructive at the index level.</li>
<li>It appears the bullish reversals have begun, as the SPX, MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), and STOXX 600 are the first three major indexes to reverse topside their 4-month and YTD downtrends.</li>
</ul>


In last week's Int'l Compass (July 21) we discussed positive signals that suggested the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or that downside is limited.
But we also noted that various downtrends remained firmly intact, and that we needed to see indexes reverse their downtrends in order to get more constructive at the index level.
It appears the bullish reversals have begun, as the SPX, MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), and STOXX 600 are the first three major indexes to reverse topside their 4-month and YTD downtrends.


Europe, MSCI ACWI Bullish Downtrend Reversals as Japan Tests Resistance; Tech, Health Care Buys

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see four M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index <em>prior to</em> the December 2025 rebal and then four more after the rebal event.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there <em>could be</em> no regular changes for the F100 and F250 indices during the December 2025 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
We see four M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the December 2025 rebal and then four more after the rebal event.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be no regular changes for the F100 and F250 indices during the December 2025 rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec25: Solid Lineup of High-Impact Intra-Review Changes

Schroder Asian Total Return In / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see five M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the December 2025 rebal and then three more after the rebal event.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be no regular changes for the F100 and F250 indexes during the December 2025 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
We see five M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the December 2025 rebal and then three more after the rebal event.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be no regular changes for the F100 and F250 indexes during the December 2025 rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec25: Intra-Review Changes Galore; High-Impact Replacement Names

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be two regular changes for F100 and six regular changes for F250 during the September 2025 rebalance.</li>
<li>After that, we expect multiple M&amp;A-related intra-review changes over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be two regular changes for F100 and six regular changes for F250 during the September 2025 rebalance.
After that, we expect multiple M&amp;A-related intra-review changes over the next few weeks.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25: ~10 Regular & Intra-Review Changes Likely in September

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see two M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the September 2025 review and then at least four more before the end of the year.</li>
<li>Separately, our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F100 index and one regular change for F250 during the September 2025 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
We see two M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index prior to the September 2025 review and then at least four more before the end of the year.
Separately, our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change for the F100 index and one regular change for F250 during the September 2025 rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25: High-Impact ADD Due to Rule Change + More Intra-Review Changes

United Kingdom

Spirent Communications plc is a British multinational company providing automated test and assurance solutions for networks, cybersecurity, and positioning. It offers products, services, and managed solutions addressing challenges in technologies like 5G, SD-WAN, cloud, and autonomous vehicles. The company is headquartered in Crawley, West Sussex, UK, and was founded in 1936.

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Spirent Communications (SPT LN)

Europe, MSCI ACWI Bullish Downtrend Reversals as Japan Tests Resistance; Tech, Health Care Buys

Bullish reversals have begun, as the $SPX, MSCI ACWI $ACWI, and $STOXX 600 are the first three major indexes to reverse topside their 4-month and...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec25: Solid Lineup of High-Impact Intra-Review Changes

The Top 10 F250 potential ADDs from our Leaderboard could outperform the F250 index over the next few weeks due to intra-review index addition...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec25: Intra-Review Changes Galore; High-Impact Replacement Names

We expect at least five intra-review replacements in the F20 index prior to the December 2025 index review. There are three other deals that could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25: ~10 Regular & Intra-Review Changes Likely in September

F100/250 Sep25 index changes will be confirmed after market close today. Yesterday was the base date for final ranks. Please see discussion point...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Sep25: High-Impact ADD Due to Rule Change + More Intra-Review Changes

BioPharma Credit PLC Fund (BPCR LN) has been our top F250 potential ADD after a recent rule change. This could be a high-impact index addition that...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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