Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
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Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul class="ul1"><li class="li1">Indonesia has been strong as investors have been more willing to invest in riskier assets throughout 2016.</li></ul><ul class="ul1"><li class="li1">Tax amnesty program being successful is part of the reason for the enthusiasm. Good for the currency and for government spending/infrastructure.</li></ul><ul class="ul1"><li class="li1">We believe that investor attitudes towards China are set to change in the coming months and that will be very positive for SE Asian markets.</li></ul><ul class="ul1"><li class="li1">
A period of relative uncertainty in Thailand and volatile politics in Philippines makes Indonesia one of the…</li></ul>

Indonesia has been strong as investors have been more willing to invest in riskier assets throughout 2016.Tax amnesty program being successful is part of the reason for the enthusiasm. Good for the currency and for government spending/infrastructure.We believe that investor attitudes towards China are set to change in the coming months and that will be very positive for SE Asian markets.
A period of relative uncertainty in Thailand and volatile politics in Philippines makes Indonesia one of the…

The Verdict on Investing in Indonesia - Riedel CNBC Interview

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

The Indonesian economy grew 5.18% y-o-y in 2Q2016 compared to an increase of 4.91% in the first quarter of 2016. This was the fastest pace of growth recorded since 1Q2014, and was largely driven by household expenditure and investment. Household expenditure, which grew 5.04% y-o-y compared to 4.94% y-o-y in 1Q, was partially supported by the Ramadan and Eid-ul-Fitr festivities in June. Gross fixed capital formation came in at 5.06% y-o-y in 2Q compared to an increase of 5.57% y-o-y in the…

The Indonesian economy grew 5.18% y-o-y in 2Q2016 compared to an increase of 4.91% in the first quarter of 2016. This was the fastest pace of growth recorded since 1Q2014, and was largely driven by household expenditure and investment. Household expenditure, which grew 5.04% y-o-y compared to 4.94% y-o-y in 1Q, was partially supported by the Ramadan and Eid-ul-Fitr festivities in June. Gross fixed capital formation came in at 5.06% y-o-y in 2Q compared to an increase of 5.57% y-o-y in the…

Indonesia: Strong Household Expenditure Drives GDP in 2Q2016

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia</a> came good in 4Q2024 with a strong finish to the year due to higher loan growth from corporates and consumers, alongside higher CASA growth cementing higher NIMs</li>
<li>The bank also saw improving asset quality, with falling loans-at-risk, and although there was an uptick in provisions in 4Q due to Sritex, the outlook for credit costs looks stable.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia</a> will grow its focus on becoming a transactional bank, with CASA as a key focus, providing liquidity to grow its loan book. Valuations remain attractive. </li>
</ul>



Bank Negara Indonesia came good in 4Q2024 with a strong finish to the year due to higher loan growth from corporates and consumers, alongside higher CASA growth cementing higher NIMs
The bank also saw improving asset quality, with falling loans-at-risk, and although there was an uptick in provisions in 4Q due to Sritex, the outlook for credit costs looks stable.

Bank Negara Indonesia will grow its focus on becoming a transactional bank, with CASA as a key focus, providing liquidity to grow its loan book. Valuations remain attractive. 


Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) - Honing in on Transactions and CASA

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Tower Bersama Infrastructure / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 29 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 29 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Reading the Tea Leaves

Indonesia

PT Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk, also known as Sritex, is an Indonesia-based company primarily engaged in the integrated textile and garment industry. It manufactures yarn, greige, fabrics, and apparel through its spinning, weaving, dyeing/printing, and garment manufacturing processes. The company was founded in 1966 as a traditional trading company and established its first printing factory in 1968. Its headquarters are located in Sukoharjo, Central Java, Indonesia.

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Sri Rejeki Isman (SRIL IJ)

The Verdict on Investing in Indonesia - Riedel CNBC Interview

Indonesia has been strong as investors have been more willing to invest in riskier assets throughout 2016.Tax amnesty program being successful is...

David Riedel

Indonesia: Strong Household Expenditure Drives GDP in 2Q2016

The Indonesian economy grew 5.18% y-o-y in 2Q2016 compared to an increase of 4.91% in the first quarter of 2016. This was the fastest pace of...

Rajan Govil

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually...

Rajan Govil

Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) - Honing in on Transactions and CASA

Bank Negara Indonesia will grow its focus on becoming a transactional bank, with CASA as a key focus, providing liquidity to grow its loan book....

Angus Mackintosh

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Reading the Tea Leaves

There could be 5 potential changes for the LQ45 Index in January. The potential adds have performed well while the potential deletes are trading...

Brian Freitas

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