Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/champion-iron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19734:1" rel="noopener">Champion Iron (CIA AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stanmore-coal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15252:1" rel="noopener">Stanmore Resources (SMR AU)</a> price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: The trade targets ~12% return to the one-standard-deviation line.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Champion Iron (CIA AU) vs. Stanmore Resources (SMR AU) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: The trade targets ~12% return to the one-standard-deviation line.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Champion Iron (CIA AU) Vs. Stanmore (SMR AU): Coal–Steel Mean Reversion Targeting 12%

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlight: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (11 Aug)

Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Domain Holdings Australia  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Trade deals, central bank meetings, earnings season (US & Europe) with first local releases later in the week, as well as the all-important June quarter CPI print domestically will set the mood and tone for the ASX200 this week.</li><li> ASX200 futures are pointing to a slightly weaker start, but the overnight, EU-US trade deal may boost sentiment.</li></ul>

Trade deals, central bank meetings, earnings season (US & Europe) with first local releases later in the week, as well as the all-important June quarter CPI print domestically will set the mood and tone for the ASX200 this week. ASX200 futures are pointing to a slightly weaker start, but the overnight, EU-US trade deal may boost sentiment.

Domain Holdings Australia Ltd - The Monday Report - 28 July 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and 2 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>There is between A$30m-A$135m to trade in the index changes and that is between 0.7-16 days of ADV in the stocks. Short interest has jumped in a few stocks.</li>
<li>We expect positioning to be lower than the passive trading in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nick-scali-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20803:1" rel="noopener">Nick Scali</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viva-energy-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27220:1" rel="noopener">Viva Energy Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perseus-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15306:1" rel="noopener">Perseus Mining</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius</a>.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX20 Index, 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX).
There is between A$30m-A$135m to trade in the index changes and that is between 0.7-16 days of ADV in the stocks. Short interest has jumped in a few stocks.
We expect positioning to be lower than the passive trading in Nick Scali, Viva Energy Group, Perseus Mining, Austal Ltd and Healius.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2025): Changes, Flows, Shorts & Positioning

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the June 2025 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th June 2025.</li>
<li>There are 12 index changes collectively for ASX 20, ASX 50, ASX 100, and ASX 200.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the June 2025 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 6th June 2025.
There are 12 index changes collectively for ASX 20, ASX 50, ASX 100, and ASX 200.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations for each of these confirmed index changes.


Quiddity ASX Jun25 Results: All Expected ADDs/DELs Correct, One Extra ADD/DEL, LONGs up 5% Vs SHORTs

Australia

Stanmore Coal Ltd. explores for coal in Australia. The Company's interests include a portfolio of coal assets within Queensland's Bowen and Surat Basin coal provinces.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Stanmore Coal (SMR AU)

Champion Iron (CIA AU) Vs. Stanmore (SMR AU): Coal–Steel Mean Reversion Targeting 12%

Champion Iron vs. Stanmore Resources price-ratio signals a ~12% relative value trade to the one-standard-deviation line, ideal for quant traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (11 Aug)

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Domain Holdings Australia Ltd - The Monday Report - 28 July 2025

Trade deals, central bank meetings, earnings season (US & Europe) with first local releases later in the week, as well as the all-important...

FNArena

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (June 2025): Changes, Flows, Shorts & Positioning

There are 12 changes across the ASX family. Flows are big in some stocks and short interest has spiked in a few stocks. Adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ASX Jun25 Results: All Expected ADDs/DELs Correct, One Extra ADD/DEL, LONGs up 5% Vs SHORTs

Our trade ideas have generated strong returns throughout the pre-event phase of the ASX Jun25 index rebal event. However, it might now be time to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Champion Iron (CIA AU) Vs. Stanmore (SMR AU): Coal–Steel Mean Reversion Targeting 12%

Champion Iron vs. Stanmore Resources price-ratio signals a ~12% relative value trade to the one-standard-deviation line, ideal for quant traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (11 Aug)

​Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Domain Holdings Australia Ltd - The Monday Report - 28 July 2025

Trade deals, central bank meetings, earnings season (US & Europe) with first local releases later in the week, as well as the all-important...

FNArena

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (June 2025): Changes, Flows, Shorts & Positioning

There are 12 changes across the ASX family. Flows are big in some stocks and short interest has spiked in a few stocks. Adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ASX Jun25 Results: All Expected ADDs/DELs Correct, One Extra ADD/DEL, LONGs up 5% Vs SHORTs

Our trade ideas have generated strong returns throughout the pre-event phase of the ASX Jun25 index rebal event. However, it might now be time to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (June 2025): Changes, Flows, Shorts & Positioning