Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Average loan growth for India's banks is now at unprecedented low levels: 0.3% as at December 2016 compared with March 2016. The figures have been coming down for some time, and suggest to that the cycle remains poor. Economists like to argue about loan growth begetting GDP growth, or GDP growth begetting loan growth; it’s probably a bit of both depending on where we are in the cycle. But the reality is that companies are not getting credit, with demand a more likely driver than supply.India…

Average loan growth for India's banks is now at unprecedented low levels: 0.3% as at December 2016 compared with March 2016. The figures have been coming down for some time, and suggest to that the cycle remains poor. Economists like to argue about loan growth begetting GDP growth, or GDP growth begetting loan growth; it’s probably a bit of both depending on where we are in the cycle. But the reality is that companies are not getting credit, with demand a more likely driver than supply.India…

Independent Insight Provider

Stewart Paterson

Taurus Advisors LLP

Macroeconomics

While earnings integers on a number of equity market indices have been falling for a while, equities have held up extremely well globally and indeed made strong gains over the last five years. As measured by MSCI world, equities have risen 48% in USD terms, compounding at 8%. MXAPJ has done less well , up only 10% in 5 years for a Cagr of 2%. Index earnings have actually fallen  over that period in Asia in dollar terms by about 15% but the lack of a meaningful risk free rate of return has kept…

While earnings integers on a number of equity market indices have been falling for a while, equities have held up extremely well globally and indeed made strong gains over the last five years. As measured by MSCI world, equities have risen 48% in USD terms, compounding at 8%. MXAPJ has done less well , up only 10% in 5 years for a Cagr of 2%. Index earnings have actually fallen  over that period in Asia in dollar terms by about 15% but the lack of a meaningful risk free rate of return has kept…

Money Matters: Is the Fed Behind the Curve?

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Euromonitor International’s Wealth and Income distribution model looks at 50 markets through a measure of income and accumulated wealth. Our model forecast the growth of these factors to 2030 and has valuable insight as to where consumers will exit poverty and enter the middle class over the forecast period. For consumer finance, these consumers that are recent additions to the middle class will represent a sizeable and bankable population. Companies that invest early and establish brand loyalty with these consumers will very likely benefit over the forecast period

Euromonitor International’s Wealth and Income distribution model looks at 50 markets through a measure of income and accumulated wealth. Our model forecast the growth of these factors to 2030 and has valuable insight as to where consumers will exit poverty and enter the middle class over the forecast period. For consumer finance, these consumers that are recent additions to the middle class will represent a sizeable and bankable population. Companies that invest early and establish brand loyalty with these consumers will very likely benefit over the forecast period

Markets Expected to Lower Poverty Rate the Most by 2030

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

Primary issuances are expected to remain strong in 2017 following a five-year high in funds raised in 2016 (Rs 220bn) even as Fed rate expectations weigh on the broader secondary market outlook for India. Data shows that primary issuances in previous years have bucked the trend of weak capital inflows and in our view companies evaluate sector appetite &amp; valuations levels before deciding on a public issue. For e.g. in the recent past, CY2015 hardly recorded any significant FII inflows however the…

Primary issuances are expected to remain strong in 2017 following a five-year high in funds raised in 2016 (Rs 220bn) even as Fed rate expectations weigh on the broader secondary market outlook for India. Data shows that primary issuances in previous years have bucked the trend of weak capital inflows and in our view companies evaluate sector appetite &amp; valuations levels before deciding on a public issue. For e.g. in the recent past, CY2015 hardly recorded any significant FII inflows however the…

IPO Pipeline to Remain Strong as PE Funds, Quasi-Govt Promoters Aim for Portfolio Exits

Turkey is not the only emerging market in the early stages of what could be a classic emerging market financial crisis (see: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/money-matters-turkey-on-the-brink" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:7953">Money Matters: Turkey on the Brink?</a>). Mexico has found itself at the sharp end of rhetoric from the US president-elect but the economy was already in trouble.  Is another Tequila crisis brewing (or distilling)?Mexico's current account deficit has been widening since 2010 and stands at around 3.5% of GDP. External debt has roughly doubled since 2009 and stands at about…

Turkey is not the only emerging market in the early stages of what could be a classic emerging market financial crisis (see: Money Matters: Turkey on the Brink?). Mexico has found itself at the sharp end of rhetoric from the US president-elect but the economy was already in trouble.  Is another Tequila crisis brewing (or distilling)?Mexico's current account deficit has been widening since 2010 and stands at around 3.5% of GDP. External debt has roughly doubled since 2009 and stands at about…

Money Matters: Could Tequila Mixed with Moutai Be Explosive.

India

State Bank of India provides a wide range of banking and financial services to corporate, institutional, commercial, agricultural, industrial and individual customers throughout India.  The Bank also provides international banking to its Indian customers and has operations in other countries.

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State Bank of India (SBID LI)

Cratering Loan Growth in India

Average loan growth for India's banks is now at unprecedented low levels: 0.3% as at December 2016 compared with March 2016. The figures have been...

Daniel Tabbush

Money Matters: Is the Fed Behind the Curve?

While earnings integers on a number of equity market indices have been falling for a while, equities have held up extremely well globally and...

Stewart Paterson

Markets Expected to Lower Poverty Rate the Most by 2030

Euromonitor International’s Wealth and Income distribution model looks at 50 markets through a measure of income and accumulated wealth. Our model...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

IPO Pipeline to Remain Strong as PE Funds, Quasi-Govt Promoters Aim for Portfolio Exits

Primary issuances are expected to remain strong in 2017 following a five-year high in funds raised in 2016 (Rs 220bn) even as Fed rate expectations...

Asia Advisors

Money Matters: Could Tequila Mixed with Moutai Be Explosive.

Turkey is not the only emerging market in the early stages of what could be a classic emerging market financial crisis (see: Money Matters: Turkey...

Stewart Paterson

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