Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI EAFE ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass</li>
<li>We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass
We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.


Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Fusion Micro Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fusion-micro-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36450:1" rel="noopener">Fusion Micro Finance Ltd (1053199D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>Fusion Micro Finance (FMF) is a non-banking financial company - microfinance institution (NBFC-MFI) that provides financial services to unserved and underserved women in rural and peri-rural areas across India.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal. </li>
</ul>



Fusion Micro Finance Ltd (1053199D IN) is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. 
Fusion Micro Finance (FMF) is a non-banking financial company - microfinance institution (NBFC-MFI) that provides financial services to unserved and underserved women in rural and peri-rural areas across India.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal. 


Fusion Micro Finance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Much Less Inspiring as a Business

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fusion-micro-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36450:1" rel="noopener">Fusion Micro Finance Ltd (1053199D IN) </a>is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>Fusion Micro Finance (FMF) is a non-banking financial company - microfinance institution (NBFC-MFI) that provides financial services to unserved and underserved women in rural and peri-rural areas across India.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal. </li>
</ul>



Fusion Micro Finance Ltd (1053199D IN) is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. 
Fusion Micro Finance (FMF) is a non-banking financial company - microfinance institution (NBFC-MFI) that provides financial services to unserved and underserved women in rural and peri-rural areas across India.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal. 


Fusion Micro Finance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Inspiring as a Social Cause

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial intermediaries</li><li>However, lenders (banks and NBFCs) are likely to have navigated Q2FY23 relatively comfortably, through a combination of real-time transmission and shorter resets</li><li>With the RBI keeping a hawk's eye view on the reset frequency, we believe that lenders are witnessing the final stages of "easy money" as they begin exercising discretion on incremental EBLR transmission in order to better navigate the growth-asset quality trade-off</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial intermediariesHowever, lenders (banks and NBFCs) are likely to have navigated Q2FY23 relatively comfortably, through a combination of real-time transmission and shorter resetsWith the RBI keeping a hawk's eye view on the reset frequency, we believe that lenders are witnessing the final stages of "easy money" as they begin exercising discretion on incremental EBLR transmission in order to better navigate the growth-asset quality trade-offContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: The final stages of “easy money”

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Five Star Business Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/five-star-business-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35238:1" rel="noopener">Five-Star Business Finance (0958461D IN)</a>  is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ICICI Securities, Edelweiss, Kotak, and Nomura.</li>
<li>Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company (NBFC-ND-SI) that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Five-Star Business Finance (0958461D IN)  is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ICICI Securities, Edelweiss, Kotak, and Nomura.
Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company (NBFC-ND-SI) that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals.
In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Five-Star Business Pre-IPO - The Negatives - NPLs Low but Delayed Payments Aren't

India

State Bank of India provides a wide range of banking and financial services to corporate, institutional, commercial, agricultural, industrial and individual customers throughout India.  The Bank also provides international banking to its Indian customers and has operations in other countries.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

State Bank of India (SBID LI)

Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

Bear Market Rally in Progress as $DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Year Yields Decline. Italy FTSE MIB with a bullish YTD downtrend reversal, Switzerland...

Vermilion Research

Fusion Micro Finance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Much Less Inspiring as a Business

Fusion Micro Finance Ltd (1053199D IN) is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive...

Ethan Aw

Leveraged Financials: The final stages of “easy money”

A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial...

HDFC Securities

Five-Star Business Pre-IPO - The Negatives - NPLs Low but Delayed Payments Aren't

Five-Star Business Finance (0958461D IN) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

Bear Market Rally in Progress as $DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Year Yields Decline. Italy FTSE MIB with a bullish YTD downtrend reversal, Switzerland...

Vermilion Research

Fusion Micro Finance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Much Less Inspiring as a Business

Fusion Micro Finance Ltd (1053199D IN) is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive...

Ethan Aw

Fusion Micro Finance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Inspiring as a Social Cause

Fusion Micro Finance Ltd (1053199D IN) is looking to raise about US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive...

Ethan Aw

Leveraged Financials: The final stages of “easy money”

A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial...

HDFC Securities

Five-Star Business Pre-IPO - The Negatives - NPLs Low but Delayed Payments Aren't

Five-Star Business Finance (0958461D IN) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so...

Sumeet Singh