Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Our core profitability and credit quality screens send out mixed signals; generally, credit quality metrics to end-September 2021 were constructive, in our view, whilst core profitability signals were underwhelming </li>
<li>We expect credit quality to worsen in the coming quarters, leading to higher credit costs going forward and, combined with core profitability softness, an erosion of returns</li>
<li>We like HDFC Bank, turn cautious on State Bank of India &amp; Axis Bank and are negative on Canara Bank &amp; Bandhan Bank; neutral on Kotak Mahindra &amp; ICICI Bank</li>
</ul>


Our core profitability and credit quality screens send out mixed signals; generally, credit quality metrics to end-September 2021 were constructive, in our view, whilst core profitability signals were underwhelming 
We expect credit quality to worsen in the coming quarters, leading to higher credit costs going forward and, combined with core profitability softness, an erosion of returns
We like HDFC Bank, turn cautious on State Bank of India &amp; Axis Bank and are negative on Canara Bank &amp; Bandhan Bank; neutral on Kotak Mahindra &amp; ICICI Bank


Indian Banks; A Time for Increased Caution

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Healthium Medtech / Equity Capital Markets

Healthium Medtech (HM) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. Healthium Medtech is a global medtech company that manufactures products used in surgical, post-surgical and chronic care. It operates in three key markets namely, India, UK and the Rest of the World and currently has eight manufacturing facilities, seven in India and one in China. The firm has a diverse suite of offerings with over 52,000 SKUs and as of Mar 21, one in five surgeries conducted globally had used a Healthium Medtech product, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S).While the company started off by manufacturing surgical consumables, it has since then expanded into other segments, mostly via acquisitions. Now the company primarily sells products pertaining to surgical consumables, urology and arthroscopy. HM revenue has been growing steadily over the past few years, while its margins have been expanding, resulting in bottom-line growth comfortably outpacing sales growth. In addition, HM has undertaken three acquisitions in FY22 which will increase its earnings by 40-50%. Although, the company hasn’t been very forthcoming with data and it didn’t pay a whole lot for the companies that it recently acquired.We have covered the company background in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/healthium-medtech-pre-ipo-tearsheet" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Healthium Medtech Pre-IPO Tearsheet.</a>

Healthium Medtech (HM) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. Healthium Medtech is a global medtech company that manufactures products used in surgical, post-surgical and chronic care. It operates in three key markets namely, India, UK and the Rest of the World and currently has eight manufacturing facilities, seven in India and one in China. The firm has a diverse suite of offerings with over 52,000 SKUs and as of Mar 21, one in five surgeries conducted globally had used a Healthium Medtech product, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S).While the company started off by manufacturing surgical consumables, it has since then expanded into other segments, mostly via acquisitions. Now the company primarily sells products pertaining to surgical consumables, urology and arthroscopy. HM revenue has been growing steadily over the past few years, while its margins have been expanding, resulting in bottom-line growth comfortably outpacing sales growth. In addition, HM has undertaken three acquisitions in FY22 which will increase its earnings by 40-50%. Although, the company hasn’t been very forthcoming with data and it didn’t pay a whole lot for the companies that it recently acquired.We have covered the company background in our earlier note, Healthium Medtech Pre-IPO Tearsheet.

Healthium Medtech Pre-IPO - Steady Earnings, Creating a Niche

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) / Equity Capital Markets

FSN E-commerce (Nykaa) raised around US$720m, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Indian IPO. Nykaa is a lifestyle focussed e-commerce platform and consumer brand offering a portfolio of beauty, personal care and fashion products, including its own branded products. As per RedSeer, it was the largest Specialty Beauty and Personal Care Platform in India in terms of value of products sold in FY21.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/fsn-e-commerce-nykaa-pre-ipo-mixed-bag-fashion-growing-beauty-slowing" target="_blank" rel="noopener"></a>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/fsn-e-commerce-nykaa-pre-ipo-mixed-bag-fashion-growing-beauty-slowing" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Pre-IPO - Mixed bag - Fashion growing, beauty slowing, and</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/fsn-e-commerce-nykaa-ipo-beauty-showing-signs-of-improvement-but-its-too-expensive-for-our-taste" target="_blank" rel="noopener">FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) IPO - Beauty Showing Signs of Improvement but Its Too Expensive for Our Taste</a></li>
</ul>
 In this note, we will talk about the trading updates.

FSN E-commerce (Nykaa) raised around US$720m, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Indian IPO. Nykaa is a lifestyle focussed e-commerce platform and consumer brand offering a portfolio of beauty, personal care and fashion products, including its own branded products. As per RedSeer, it was the largest Specialty Beauty and Personal Care Platform in India in terms of value of products sold in FY21.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes:

 FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Pre-IPO - Mixed bag - Fashion growing, beauty slowing, and
FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) IPO - Beauty Showing Signs of Improvement but Its Too Expensive for Our Taste

 In this note, we will talk about the trading updates.

FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) IPO Trading - FOMO.

<div>
Sapphire Foods Limited (SFL), one of Yum Brand’s franchisee in the Indian subcontinent, aims to raise around US$280m via its Indian IPO. Its core business is to operate KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell in the Indian subcontinent.
We covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sapphire-foods-ipo-delivery-growing-stores-shrinking" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sapphire Foods IPO - Delivery Growing, Stores Shrinking.</a>
</div><div>In this note we will talk under take a peer comparison and talk about valuations.</div>


Sapphire Foods Limited (SFL), one of Yum Brand’s franchisee in the Indian subcontinent, aims to raise around US$280m via its Indian IPO. Its core business is to operate KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell in the Indian subcontinent.
We covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier note, Sapphire Foods IPO - Delivery Growing, Stores Shrinking.
In this note we will talk under take a peer comparison and talk about valuations.

Sapphire Foods IPO - Peer Comp and Valuation

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

*Overstated 3Q21 Result: DBS Group Holdings (DBS.SP) [DBS] reported 3Q21 results of SGD 1.7 bn, flat linked quarter. When one accounts for the unnecessary negative loss provision of SGD 70 mn (down 188.6%) while credit was weaker, DBS’ results would appear to be grossly overstated;*Watch Your Credit: We struggle continue to believe that DBS’ due diligence had actually caught all of LVB’s risk (see discussion below), and remain unconvinced that the moratorium exits are anything more than additional reliance on government schemes and relief programs. DBS has disclosed absolutely nothing about Shenzhen Rural Commercial Bank’s (SRCB) fundamentals. We feel that reserves should be shored up in the neighborhood of SGD 1.1 bn – amounting now to about a half quarter of operating results; and *Deal Distractions Mount:  While SRCB dos not appear to be riddled with problems the way LVB is, no doubt there will be issues to contend with.  DBS apparently isn’t done with its shopping spree, being in the running for parts of Citigroup's (C.US) consumer business in Asia. Frankly, DBS needs to focus on improving its own legacy issues before it starts both taking on those of other financial institutions.

*Overstated 3Q21 Result: DBS Group Holdings (DBS.SP) [DBS] reported 3Q21 results of SGD 1.7 bn, flat linked quarter. When one accounts for the unnecessary negative loss provision of SGD 70 mn (down 188.6%) while credit was weaker, DBS’ results would appear to be grossly overstated;*Watch Your Credit: We struggle continue to believe that DBS’ due diligence had actually caught all of LVB’s risk (see discussion below), and remain unconvinced that the moratorium exits are anything more than additional reliance on government schemes and relief programs. DBS has disclosed absolutely nothing about Shenzhen Rural Commercial Bank’s (SRCB) fundamentals. We feel that reserves should be shored up in the neighborhood of SGD 1.1 bn – amounting now to about a half quarter of operating results; and *Deal Distractions Mount:  While SRCB dos not appear to be riddled with problems the way LVB is, no doubt there will be issues to contend with.  DBS apparently isn’t done with its shopping spree, being in the running for parts of Citigroup's (C.US) consumer business in Asia. Frankly, DBS needs to focus on improving its own legacy issues before it starts both taking on those of other financial institutions.

DBS Group Holdings – Pushing The Envelope

India

State Bank of India provides a wide range of banking and financial services to corporate, institutional, commercial, agricultural, industrial and individual customers throughout India.  The Bank also provides international banking to its Indian customers and has operations in other countries.

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SBI (State Bank of India) (SBIN IN)

Indian Banks; A Time for Increased Caution

Credit quality is likely to worsen, leading to higher credit costs going forward and eroded returns; We like HDFC Bank, turn cautious on SBI &...

Victor Galliano

Healthium Medtech Pre-IPO - Steady Earnings, Creating a Niche

Healthium Medtech is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. Healthium Medtech is a medtech company that manufactures products...

Sumeet Singh

FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) IPO Trading - FOMO.

FSN E-commerce (Nykaa) raised around US$720m, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Indian IPO. In this note we will talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Sapphire Foods IPO - Peer Comp and Valuation

Sapphire Foods Limited, one of Yum Brand’s franchisee in the Indian subcontinent, aims to raise around US$280m via its Indian IPO. Its core...

Sumeet Singh

DBS Group Holdings – Pushing The Envelope

DBS: DBS reported flat 3Q21 QOQ results. Accounting for the unnecessary negative loss provision of SGD 70 mn (down 188.6%) while credit was weaker,...

Thomas J. Monaco

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