Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.</li>
<li>An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.</li>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng announced the results of the March rebalance post market close Friday. Two adds for the HSI, one set of changes for HSCEI, three sets for HSTECH.
An ad hoc rebalance was announced for the KOSDAQ150 following Osstem being designated an 'Administrative Issue'. In IPO world, we have LIC in India and SBI Sumishin NetBank coming up.
Friday was the review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the ASX200 Index. The ATO has provided Aventus with the tax ruling and that creates a timing issue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

Orient Overseas (International) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 29 inclusions and 12 deletions for the HSCI at the March rebalance. 26 of the inclusions will be added to Connect while all deletes will leave Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the Stock Connect deletions have a lot of mainland holdings and there could unwinding of some of the positions ahead of becoming sell-only on the link.</li>
<li>Orient Overseas International, United Energy, Cloud Village and Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited could also move higher over the next couple of weeks before the stocks enter Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


There are 29 inclusions and 12 deletions for the HSCI at the March rebalance. 26 of the inclusions will be added to Connect while all deletes will leave Stock Connect.
Some of the Stock Connect deletions have a lot of mainland holdings and there could unwinding of some of the positions ahead of becoming sell-only on the link.
Orient Overseas International, United Energy, Cloud Village and Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited could also move higher over the next couple of weeks before the stocks enter Stock Connect.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 29 Adds, 12 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March review of the HSCI ended on 31 December. There are a lot of new listings that should be included in the index.</li>
<li>SenseTime is a high probability inclusion to the index, though it will only be added to Stock Connect in July once it completes 6 months and 20 trading days.</li>
<li>Xpeng and Li Auto will be added to Stock Connect in Feb/March if they pass the velocity test. We see Li Auto as failing the test, while Xpeng is close.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March review of the HSCI ended on 31 December. There are a lot of new listings that should be included in the index.
SenseTime is a high probability inclusion to the index, though it will only be added to Stock Connect in July once it completes 6 months and 20 trading days.
Xpeng and Li Auto will be added to Stock Connect in Feb/March if they pass the velocity test. We see Li Auto as failing the test, while Xpeng is close.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Plenty of New Listings Should Be Included

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March review of the HSCI ends on 31 December. There are expected to be a lot more inclusions than deletions at the review.</li>
<li>There are quite a few stocks that should be included following their listing over the last couple of months while others are now potential inclusions after passing the velocity test.</li>
<li>Quite a few of the potential deletions from the HSCI and Stock Connect have large holdings via Southbound Stock Connect and these stock could see some selling.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March review of the HSCI ends on 31 December. There are expected to be a lot more inclusions than deletions at the review.
There are quite a few stocks that should be included following their listing over the last couple of months while others are now potential inclusions after passing the velocity test.
Quite a few of the potential deletions from the HSCI and Stock Connect have large holdings via Southbound Stock Connect and these stock could see some selling.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: More Inclusions than Exclusions in March

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bestway-global-holding-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26012:1" rel="noopener">Bestway Global Holding (3358 HK)</a> has despatched the scheme document in relation to a privatisation offer from Great Success Enterprises Holdings. The offeror is owned 92.0% by Mr Zhu (Founder, Chairman &amp; CEO) and 8.0% by Mr Zhu Jiachen, the son of Mr Zhu. The offeror will offer HK$4.38 per scheme share. </p><p>Unsurprisingly, the IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. We broadly agree with the IFA analysis with the exception that the peer multiple comparisons could be improved. </p><div class="content-highlight">
<p>The key condition precedents are the headcount test along with the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders and &lt;10% rejection by all disinterested shareholders. Fidelity holds a blocking stake of 2.45% of shares outstanding (source: CapitalIQ) but will likely support the privatisation offer due to the substantial premium of the offer price to long-term average share prices and P/E multiples.  </p>
<p>The court meeting is scheduled for 10 am on 15 September. At the last close price of HK$4.18 per share, the gross spread to the offer price is 4.8%. </p>
</div>

Bestway Global Holding (3358 HK) has despatched the scheme document in relation to a privatisation offer from Great Success Enterprises Holdings. The offeror is owned 92.0% by Mr Zhu (Founder, Chairman &amp; CEO) and 8.0% by Mr Zhu Jiachen, the son of Mr Zhu. The offeror will offer HK$4.38 per scheme share. Unsurprisingly, the IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. We broadly agree with the IFA analysis with the exception that the peer multiple comparisons could be improved. 
The key condition precedents are the headcount test along with the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders and &lt;10% rejection by all disinterested shareholders. Fidelity holds a blocking stake of 2.45% of shares outstanding (source: CapitalIQ) but will likely support the privatisation offer due to the substantial premium of the offer price to long-term average share prices and P/E multiples.  
The court meeting is scheduled for 10 am on 15 September. At the last close price of HK$4.18 per share, the gross spread to the offer price is 4.8%. 


Bestway Global’s Scheme Document, IFA Opinion

Hong Kong

Stella International is an investment holding company primarily engaged in the development, manufacturing, and sale of premium footwear products and leather goods. The company also operates in footwear retailing and wholesaling, offering products under its own brands such as Stella Luna. It was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

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Stella International (1836 HK)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, S&P/ASX, SET50, LIC, SBI Sumishin, Crown

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance: 29 Adds, 12 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

There are 29 adds & 12 deletes for the HSCI at the March rebal. 26 of the inclusions will join Southbound Stock Connect while all the deletes will...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Plenty of New Listings Should Be Included

There could be up to 34 adds and 22 deletes for the HSCI in March based on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspensions. A lot of new listings,...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: More Inclusions than Exclusions in March

We expect there will be a lot more inclusions than exclusions at the March rebalance of the HSCI. The changes to the index will result in changes...

Brian Freitas

Bestway Global’s Scheme Document, IFA Opinion

Bestway has despatched the scheme document. The court meeting is scheduled for 10 am on 15 September. At the last close price of HK$4.18 per share,...

Arun George

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