Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>August's WSTS semiconductor revenues registered a record high of more than $53 billion</li>
<li>Nobody seemed to notice, including the organization making the announcement</li>
<li>There's valid concern that the market is on the verge of a collapse, and this may be overshadowing record sales</li>
</ul>


August's WSTS semiconductor revenues registered a record high of more than $53 billion
Nobody seemed to notice, including the organization making the announcement
There's valid concern that the market is on the verge of a collapse, and this may be overshadowing record sales


Semis Just Broke a Record.  Why Did Nobody Notice?

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>Both TSMC and UMC saw about 20% cut in automotive industry wafer sales in 3Q23, which was 20% worse than customers' guidance.</li>
<li>Reasons for discrepancies: 1. IDMs cut foundry orders but keep in house utilization higher; 2. Worse than expected US auto factories strike; 3. Rate hike results in worse car sales.</li>
<li>We suggest clients to be cautious on the investment of automotive supply chain for the next 3-6 months</li>
</ul>


Both TSMC and UMC saw about 20% cut in automotive industry wafer sales in 3Q23, which was 20% worse than customers' guidance.
Reasons for discrepancies: 1. IDMs cut foundry orders but keep in house utilization higher; 2. Worse than expected US auto factories strike; 3. Rate hike results in worse car sales.
We suggest clients to be cautious on the investment of automotive supply chain for the next 3-6 months


Top Foundries See Cut in Automotive Industry Wafer Sales, Implications

<ul>
<li>There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector</li>
<li>Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months</li>
<li>Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle</li>
</ul>


There are signs of a recovery in the chip sector
Memory spot prices are up, and revenues have risen for six consecutive months
Growth is higher than average, indicating the start of another super-cycle


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortior-technology-shenzhen-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44259:1" rel="noopener">Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) (688279 CH)</a>, a BLDC motor IC design company, aims to raise around US$250m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Fortior Tech is an IC design company dedicated to the design and R&amp;D of BLDC motor control ICs.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the past performance and likely A/H premium.</li>
</ul>



Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) (688279 CH), a BLDC motor IC design company, aims to raise around US$250m in its H-share listing.
Fortior Tech is an IC design company dedicated to the design and R&amp;D of BLDC motor control ICs.
In this note, we look at the past performance and likely A/H premium.


Fortior Tech A/H Listing - Fast but Volatile Growth and Margins

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Rohm's relative share price is trading above the 200-day moving average for the first time since August 2023.</li>
<li>Inventory de-stocking for SiC-based semiconductor suppliers is nearing its end, paving the way for order replenishment </li>
<li>Analysts expect Rohm’s margins to lag those of rivals in the recovery, but Rohm has done more to cut inventories than any other. </li>
</ul>


Rohm's relative share price is trading above the 200-day moving average for the first time since August 2023.
Inventory de-stocking for SiC-based semiconductor suppliers is nearing its end, paving the way for order replenishment 
Analysts expect Rohm’s margins to lag those of rivals in the recovery, but Rohm has done more to cut inventories than any other. 


United Kingdom

STMicroelectronics N.V. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets semiconductor integrated circuits and discrete devices. The Company's products are used in the telecommunications, consumer electronics, automotive, computer, and industrial sectors. Geographically, customers are located in North America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific region.

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STMicroelectronics NV (SGSF IX)

Semis Just Broke a Record. Why Did Nobody Notice?

August's semiconductor revenues hit a record high of over $53 billion, but concerns about a potential market collapse are overshadowing the...

Jim Handy

Top Foundries See Cut in Automotive Industry Wafer Sales, Implications

Top foundries see worse than expected automotive wafer sales, implying more automotive supply chain members are going to miss earnings expectation...

Andrew Lu

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

Fortior Tech A/H Listing - Fast but Volatile Growth and Margins

Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) (688279 CH), a BLDC motor IC design company, aims to raise around US$250m in its H-share listing. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Rohm (6964): Is the Wait Finally Over?

Rohm's stock price above 200-day average, inventory de-stocking ending across multiple end-user markets, analysts predict lagging margins but...

Michael Allen

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Semis Just Broke a Record. Why Did Nobody Notice?

​August's semiconductor revenues hit a record high of over $53 billion, but concerns about a potential market collapse are overshadowing the...

Jim Handy

Top Foundries See Cut in Automotive Industry Wafer Sales, Implications

Top foundries see worse than expected automotive wafer sales, implying more automotive supply chain members are going to miss earnings expectation...

Andrew Lu

Are Semiconductors Finally Recovering?

​The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Jim Handy

Fortior Tech A/H Listing - Fast but Volatile Growth and Margins

Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) (688279 CH), a BLDC motor IC design company, aims to raise around US$250m in its H-share listing. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Rohm (6964): Is the Wait Finally Over?

​Rohm's stock price above 200-day average, inventory de-stocking ending across multiple end-user markets, analysts predict lagging margins but...

Michael Allen

August's semiconductor revenues hit a record high of over $53 billion, but concerns about a potential market collapse are overshadowing the...

The chip sector is beginning to recover with rising memory prices and six consecutive months of above-average revenue growth, suggesting the onset...

Rohm's stock price above 200-day average, inventory de-stocking ending across multiple end-user markets, analysts predict lagging margins but...