Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In a surprising turn of events, the management of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sula-vineyards-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36206:1" rel="noopener">Sula Vineyards (SULA IN)</a> has cancelled earnings call for Q4FY25 citing Indo-Pak conflict after posting bad quarterly numbers.</li>
<li>Receivable cycle has further elongated to all time high since the company became public.</li>
<li>Revenue growth yet remains muted post company became public in 2022.</li>
</ul>


In a surprising turn of events, the management of Sula Vineyards (SULA IN) has cancelled earnings call for Q4FY25 citing Indo-Pak conflict after posting bad quarterly numbers.
Receivable cycle has further elongated to all time high since the company became public.
Revenue growth yet remains muted post company became public in 2022.


Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sula-vineyards-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36206:1" rel="noopener">Sula Vineyards (1332009D IN)</a> has currently come up with its IPO. The ~INR 9.6 bn IPO comprises offer for sale and has a price band of INR 340-357 per share.</li>
<li>The company is a market leader with a market share crossing 50% in a relatively nascent INR 13.45 bn domestic 100% grape wine market.</li>
<li>Key forensic takeaways that one should consider is high litigation liabilities, emphasis on related party transactions, irrational dividends and absurd trend of line items.</li>
</ul>



Sula Vineyards (1332009D IN) has currently come up with its IPO. The ~INR 9.6 bn IPO comprises offer for sale and has a price band of INR 340-357 per share.
The company is a market leader with a market share crossing 50% in a relatively nascent INR 13.45 bn domestic 100% grape wine market.
Key forensic takeaways that one should consider is high litigation liabilities, emphasis on related party transactions, irrational dividends and absurd trend of line items.


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Niva Bupa Health Insurance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/niva-bupa-health-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43716:1" rel="noopener">Niva Bupa Health Insurance (1226871D IN)</a> (Niva Bupa) raised around US$260m in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Niva Bupa is a health insurance firm. Its portfolio consists of health (including retail and group), personal accident, and travel insurance.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics, possible placement and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Niva Bupa Health Insurance (1226871D IN) (Niva Bupa) raised around US$260m in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Niva Bupa is a health insurance firm. Its portfolio consists of health (including retail and group), personal accident, and travel insurance.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics, possible placement and updates since our last note.


Niva Bupa Health Insurance IPO Lockup-Bunch of PE Investors Could Pare Around US$500m Worth of Stock

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

<ul>
<li>In an attempt to cover more companies, we shift gears from individual companies to sectoral analysis, focusing on alcoholic beverages in this insight.</li>
<li>Companies in focus are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-spirits-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5146:1" rel="noopener">United Spirits (UNSP IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/radico-khaitan-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20842:1" rel="noopener">Radico Khaitan (RDCK IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sula-vineyards-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36206:1" rel="noopener">Sula Vineyards (SULA IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-breweries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18080:1" rel="noopener">United Breweries (UBBL IN)</a>. </li>
<li>UNSP remains the best among the pack in terms of earnings quality, and SULA occupies the other extreme. RDCK is chasing growth, and UBBL is facing challenges. </li>
</ul>


In an attempt to cover more companies, we shift gears from individual companies to sectoral analysis, focusing on alcoholic beverages in this insight.
Companies in focus are United Spirits (UNSP IN), Radico Khaitan (RDCK IN) , Sula Vineyards (SULA IN) &amp; United Breweries (UBBL IN). 
UNSP remains the best among the pack in terms of earnings quality, and SULA occupies the other extreme. RDCK is chasing growth, and UBBL is facing challenges. 


Narrative and Numbers | Alcoholic Beverages | FY24

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Bajaj Auto to invest INR 800 crore in Maharashtra to boost electric three-wheeler production.</li>
<li>Emami plans to fully acquire The Man Company, enhancing its digital-first brand portfolio.</li>
<li>WeWork India to launch new workspaces in Bengaluru and Noida, addressing flexible workspace demand.</li>
</ul>


Bajaj Auto to invest INR 800 crore in Maharashtra to boost electric three-wheeler production.
Emami plans to fully acquire The Man Company, enhancing its digital-first brand portfolio.
WeWork India to launch new workspaces in Bengaluru and Noida, addressing flexible workspace demand.


# 35 India Insight: Bajaj Auto Investment, Emami Acquire Man Company, WeWork India New Workspaces

India

Sula Vineyards Limited provides alcoholic beverages. The Company offers wines, sprits, and malt beverage products. Sula Vineyards serves customers in India.

Price Gauge
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Sula Vineyards (SULA IN)

Sula Vineyards Q4FY25: What Is Hidden?

Sula Vineyards cancels earnings call for Q4FY25 citing Indo-Pak conflict, after posting yet another muted performance. Revenue growth remains...

Nitin Mangal

Sula Vineyards IPO: Forensic Analysis

Key forensic takeaways that one should consider is high litigation liabilities, emphasis on related party transactions, lack of cash flows, etc.

Nitin Mangal

Niva Bupa Health Insurance IPO Lockup-Bunch of PE Investors Could Pare Around US$500m Worth of Stock

PE fund True North (via Fettle Tone) and Niva Bupa's MD and CEO, Krishnan Ramachandran have launched a INR10.8bn (US$126m) block of 132m shares or...

Akshat Shah

Narrative and Numbers | Alcoholic Beverages | FY24

United Spirits leads in earnings quality while Sula Vineyards lags behind, Radico Khaitan pursues growth, and United Breweries encounters challenges.

Pranav Bhavsar

# 35 India Insight: Bajaj Auto Investment, Emami Acquire Man Company, WeWork India New Workspaces

Bajaj Auto invests in Maharashtra for electric three-wheelers, Emami acquires The Man Company, WeWork expands in Bengaluru and Noida to meet...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Sula Vineyards Q4FY25: What Is Hidden?

​Sula Vineyards cancels earnings call for Q4FY25 citing Indo-Pak conflict, after posting yet another muted performance. Revenue growth remains...

Nitin Mangal

Sula Vineyards IPO: Forensic Analysis

Key forensic takeaways that one should consider is high litigation liabilities, emphasis on related party transactions, lack of cash flows, etc.

Nitin Mangal

Niva Bupa Health Insurance IPO Lockup-Bunch of PE Investors Could Pare Around US$500m Worth of Stock

PE fund True North (via Fettle Tone) and Niva Bupa's MD and CEO, Krishnan Ramachandran have launched a INR10.8bn (US$126m) block of 132m shares or...

Akshat Shah

Narrative and Numbers | Alcoholic Beverages | FY24

United Spirits leads in earnings quality while Sula Vineyards lags behind, Radico Khaitan pursues growth, and United Breweries encounters challenges.

Pranav Bhavsar

# 35 India Insight: Bajaj Auto Investment, Emami Acquire Man Company, WeWork India New Workspaces

​Bajaj Auto invests in Maharashtra for electric three-wheelers, Emami acquires The Man Company, WeWork expands in Bengaluru and Noida to meet...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Sula Vineyards cancels earnings call for Q4FY25 citing Indo-Pak conflict, after posting yet another muted performance. Revenue growth remains...

Bajaj Auto invests in Maharashtra for electric three-wheelers, Emami acquires The Man Company, WeWork expands in Bengaluru and Noida to meet...