Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Thailand, Macau and Hong Kong report negative loan growth in monthly HFD data.</li>
<li>Japan may be the most surprising with relatively high growth and relative to last year. </li>
<li>Indonesia moves from strength to strength, where India loan growth is high, but less so.</li>
</ul>


Thailand, Macau and Hong Kong report negative loan growth in monthly HFD data.
Japan may be the most surprising with relatively high growth and relative to last year. 
Indonesia moves from strength to strength, where India loan growth is high, but less so.


Global Credit Growth - Thailand, Macau, HK Report Negative Loan Growth, Japan, Indonesia Shine

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we looked at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guzman-y-gomez" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43656:1" rel="noopener">Guzman Y Gomez (0817833D AU),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/quantumpharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40369:1" rel="noopener">QuantumPharm (QUP HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webtoon-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43652:1" rel="noopener">Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US)</a> this week.</li>
<li>On the placement front, there were a few deals across Hong Kong, Australia and Japan.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, we looked at Guzman Y Gomez (0817833D AU), QuantumPharm (QUP HK) and Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) this week.
On the placement front, there were a few deals across Hong Kong, Australia and Japan.


ECM Weekly (10th June 2024) - Webtoon, Shift Up, QuantumPharm, Guzman, Kakaopay, Telix, Yankuang

Event-Driven

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-mitsui-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:217:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)</a> cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>SMFG had a stake over US$100m in at least 47 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$17bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP) cross-shareholding.
SMFG had a stake over US$100m in at least 47 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$17bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


SMFG Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$17bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell, Planning to Speed It Up

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The continued “higher for longer” interest rates in the US, along with widening JGB yields adds weight to the Bank of Japan potentially raising benchmark rates further</li>
<li>In this report, we expand our coverage of the bigger cap banks’ metrics to include the equity holdings of the top six market caps and the banks’ BoJ deposits</li>
<li>We see further upside for Japanese bank shares, especially those geared into higher domestic rates and with the potential for equity holdings disposals; we like Resona, Mizuho, SMFG and Concordia</li>
</ul>


The continued “higher for longer” interest rates in the US, along with widening JGB yields adds weight to the Bank of Japan potentially raising benchmark rates further
In this report, we expand our coverage of the bigger cap banks’ metrics to include the equity holdings of the top six market caps and the banks’ BoJ deposits
We see further upside for Japanese bank shares, especially those geared into higher domestic rates and with the potential for equity holdings disposals; we like Resona, Mizuho, SMFG and Concordia


Japanese Bigger-Cap Banks – Rates Story Continues, with the Prospect of Equity Holdings Disposals

<ul>
<li>The Japanese Financial Services Agency has asked the general insurers to reduce/eliminate their cross-shareholdings.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ms-ad-insurance-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:631:1" rel="noopener">MS&amp;AD Insurance (8725 JP)</a> had a stake over US$100m in at least 29 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of US$17.4bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


The Japanese Financial Services Agency has asked the general insurers to reduce/eliminate their cross-shareholdings.

MS&amp;AD Insurance (8725 JP) had a stake over US$100m in at least 29 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of US$17.4bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


MS&AD Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$20bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell

Japan

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. manages financial operations for its subsidiaries. The Company provides commercial banking and a variety of financial services.

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)

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Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP)

Global Credit Growth - Thailand, Macau, HK Report Negative Loan Growth, Japan, Indonesia Shine

Global credit growth data on a monthly basis, shows a vast range of cycles, with Thailand, Macau and HK the worse off. Japan, Taiwan, Indonesia...

Daniel Tabbush

ECM Weekly (10th June 2024) - Webtoon, Shift Up, QuantumPharm, Guzman, Kakaopay, Telix, Yankuang

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

SMFG Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$17bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell, Planning to Speed It Up

Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP) cross-shareholding. SMFG...

Sumeet Singh

Japanese Bigger-Cap Banks – Rates Story Continues, with the Prospect of Equity Holdings Disposals

Bank of Japan should raise benchmark rates; we like Resona, Mizuho, SMFG, and Concordia, not just for their gearing to higher rates but also for...

Victor Galliano

MS&AD Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$20bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell

Along with its results announcement today, MS&AD announced that it will accelerate its cross-shareholding unwind and is targeting a sale of around...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Credit Growth - Thailand, Macau, HK Report Negative Loan Growth, Japan, Indonesia Shine

Global credit growth data on a monthly basis, shows a vast range of cycles, with Thailand, Macau and HK the worse off. Japan, Taiwan, Indonesia...

Daniel Tabbush

ECM Weekly (10th June 2024) - Webtoon, Shift Up, QuantumPharm, Guzman, Kakaopay, Telix, Yankuang

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

SMFG Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$17bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell, Planning to Speed It Up

Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316 JP) cross-shareholding. SMFG...

Sumeet Singh

Japanese Bigger-Cap Banks – Rates Story Continues, with the Prospect of Equity Holdings Disposals

​Bank of Japan should raise benchmark rates; we like Resona, Mizuho, SMFG, and Concordia, not just for their gearing to higher rates but also for...

Victor Galliano

MS&AD Cross-Shareholding - At Least US$20bn of Cross-Shareholding to Sell

Along with its results announcement today, MS&AD announced that it will accelerate its cross-shareholding unwind and is targeting a sale of around...

Sumeet Singh

Bank of Japan should raise benchmark rates; we like Resona, Mizuho, SMFG, and Concordia, not just for their gearing to higher rates but also for...