Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Kawasaki Heavy Industries / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Expect continued buying in defense related, as well as banks and life insurance, renewable energy, rails, and medical IT plays with Shigeru Ishiba at the helm. </li>
<li>The Market will be quick to rotate out of names which spiked into Friday's close on expectation for a Sanae Takaichi win in the LDP election.  </li>
<li>Ishiba has been a vocal critic of Abenomics, and his potential policies aimed at higher taxes for investment incomes and capital gains are set to weigh on the Japanese market. </li>
</ul>


Expect continued buying in defense related, as well as banks and life insurance, renewable energy, rails, and medical IT plays with Shigeru Ishiba at the helm. 
The Market will be quick to rotate out of names which spiked into Friday's close on expectation for a Sanae Takaichi win in the LDP election.  
Ishiba has been a vocal critic of Abenomics, and his potential policies aimed at higher taxes for investment incomes and capital gains are set to weigh on the Japanese market. 


Best Outright and Pair Trades for an Ishiba-Led LDP

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>We highlight a  commodity sector with  a strong risk-reward ratio</li>
<li>Precious metals have likely just completed Wave B of their correction</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
We highlight a  commodity sector with  a strong risk-reward ratio
Precious metals have likely just completed Wave B of their correction


Overview #41 – Securing Supply, Unlocking Value: Global Themes in Equities and Commodities

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Gan & Lee Pharmaceuticals / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US continue to be $132 (testing now), $130, $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. All signs point to the ACWI-US uptrend continuing for the foreseeable future.</li>
<li>Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out; Japan Also Remains Attractive. Buys in Consumer Discretionary (primarily autos/parts), Industrials, Services, Health Care, Materials, Financials, and Real Estate</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment
Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US continue to be $132 (testing now), $130, $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. All signs point to the ACWI-US uptrend continuing for the foreseeable future.
Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out; Japan Also Remains Attractive. Buys in Consumer Discretionary (primarily autos/parts), Industrials, Services, Health Care, Materials, Financials, and Real Estate


Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Tokyo stocks faced a volatile week, with the Nikkei falling 1.5% and the Topix down 1.7%, largely impacted by shifting global sentiment and policy uncertainty.</li>
<li>Trump’s surprise 25% auto tariff announcement triggered a sharp selloff in automakers, especially Nissan (-7%) and Mazda (-6%).</li>
<li>Oracle Japan stock rose 12% on record Q3 earnings, strong cloud growth, and AI projects, while Sumitomo Realty gained 10% on Elliott’s stake and governance reform hopes.</li>
</ul>


Tokyo stocks faced a volatile week, with the Nikkei falling 1.5% and the Topix down 1.7%, largely impacted by shifting global sentiment and policy uncertainty.
Trump’s surprise 25% auto tariff announcement triggered a sharp selloff in automakers, especially Nissan (-7%) and Mazda (-6%).
Oracle Japan stock rose 12% on record Q3 earnings, strong cloud growth, and AI projects, while Sumitomo Realty gained 10% on Elliott’s stake and governance reform hopes.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Trump’s Surprise 25% Auto Tariff

<ul>
<li>Tesla surging on the prospect for auto tariffs and semi's up on the potential for leniency.</li>
<li>US homebuilder woes continue with KB homes reporting a miss after market.</li>
<li>Activist Elliott taking a stake in Sumitomo Reality may see holdings under pressure.</li>
</ul>


Tesla surging on the prospect for auto tariffs and semi's up on the potential for leniency.
US homebuilder woes continue with KB homes reporting a miss after market.
Activist Elliott taking a stake in Sumitomo Reality may see holdings under pressure.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Swing Back to Risk on Potential for Watered Down Tariffs

Japan

Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. develops, manages, and sells houses and condominiums.  The Company also develops and manages real estates in overseas. Sumitomo Realty & Development undertakes infrastructure projects, manages real estate properties, and provides financing services to its customers.  The Company operates fitness clubs and restaurants as well.

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Sumitomo Realty & Developmen (8830 JP)

Best Outright and Pair Trades for an Ishiba-Led LDP

How to position in Japanese equities after the surprise win by Shigeru Ishiba over Sanae Takaichi in Friday's LDP election.

Andrew Jackson

Overview #41 – Securing Supply, Unlocking Value: Global Themes in Equities and Commodities

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Lithium, Japan, precious Metals and the Oil and Gas sector

Rikki Malik

Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out

Upgrading China to Overweight. Europe Breaking Out. Japan Remains Attractive. All signs point to the $ACWI uptrend continuing for the foreseeable...

Vermilion Research

Japan Strategy Weekly | Trump’s Surprise 25% Auto Tariff

Tokyo stocks see volatility as global sentiment shifts, Trump's auto tariff announcement triggers selloff in automakers, Oracle Japan and Sumitomo...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Swing Back to Risk on Potential for Watered Down Tariffs

Potential for tarrif leniency and news on Full Self Driving sent Tesla higher, US homebuilders continue to struggle, Elliott's stake led Sumitomo...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Best Outright and Pair Trades for an Ishiba-Led LDP

How to position in Japanese equities after the surprise win by Shigeru Ishiba over Sanae Takaichi in Friday's LDP election.

Andrew Jackson

Overview #41 – Securing Supply, Unlocking Value: Global Themes in Equities and Commodities

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Lithium, Japan, precious Metals and the Oil and Gas sector

Rikki Malik

Upgrading China to Overweight; Europe Breaking Out

Upgrading China to Overweight. Europe Breaking Out. Japan Remains Attractive. All signs point to the $ACWI uptrend continuing for the foreseeable...

Vermilion Research

Japan Strategy Weekly | Trump’s Surprise 25% Auto Tariff

​Tokyo stocks see volatility as global sentiment shifts, Trump's auto tariff announcement triggers selloff in automakers, Oracle Japan and Sumitomo...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Swing Back to Risk on Potential for Watered Down Tariffs

​Potential for tarrif leniency and news on Full Self Driving sent Tesla higher, US homebuilders continue to struggle, Elliott's stake led Sumitomo...

Andrew Jackson

Tokyo stocks see volatility as global sentiment shifts, Trump's auto tariff announcement triggers selloff in automakers, Oracle Japan and Sumitomo...

Potential for tarrif leniency and news on Full Self Driving sent Tesla higher, US homebuilders continue to struggle, Elliott's stake led Sumitomo...