SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT / Equity Bottom-Up

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)

<ul><li>October’s retail sales increased 10.4 per cent year on year (yoy), extending September’s 11.3 per cent growth and marking its seventh consecutive month of double-digit yoy growth.</li><li>The estimated total retail sales value in October was S$4.0 billion, of which online retail sales made up an estimated 13.0 per cent, compared to the 13.9 per cent recorded in September.</li><li>CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust reported 21.3 per cent y-o-y growth in tenant sales and 21.9 per cent y-o-y growth in shopper traffic for 9M 2022.</li></ul>

October’s retail sales increased 10.4 per cent year on year (yoy), extending September’s 11.3 per cent growth and marking its seventh consecutive month of double-digit yoy growth.The estimated total retail sales value in October was S$4.0 billion, of which online retail sales made up an estimated 13.0 per cent, compared to the 13.9 per cent recorded in September.CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust reported 21.3 per cent y-o-y growth in tenant sales and 21.9 per cent y-o-y growth in shopper traffic for 9M 2022.

REIT Watch - Recovery continues for S-Reits with Singapore retail assets

<ul><li>REIT Watch - Singapore-based office S-Reits see growth in occupancy and rent reversions S-Reits with Singapore based office assets reported growth in rental reversions and improvements in occupancy rates.</li><li>Its Singapore offices recorded a 7.9 per cent growth in rent reversion in 9M 2022 while portfolio occupancy increased from 92.9 per cent in Q2 2022 to the current 96 per cent.</li></ul>

REIT Watch - Singapore-based office S-Reits see growth in occupancy and rent reversions S-Reits with Singapore based office assets reported growth in rental reversions and improvements in occupancy rates.Its Singapore offices recorded a 7.9 per cent growth in rent reversion in 9M 2022 while portfolio occupancy increased from 92.9 per cent in Q2 2022 to the current 96 per cent.

REIT Watch - Singapore-based office S-Reits see growth in occupancy and rent reversions

<ul><li>With global inflation set to outpace global growth by 5% in 2022, the FTSE ST REIT Index has generated a 10% decline in total return this year, with the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index declining 22%.</li><li>This has brought the 5-year total return of the FTSE ST REIT Index to 15%, compared to 8% for the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index.</li><li>The partial rebound of the S-REIT Sector over the past month has also pared the FTSE ST REIT Index decline in total return for the 2022 year to 18 Nov to 10%, compared to the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index declining 22%.</li></ul>

With global inflation set to outpace global growth by 5% in 2022, the FTSE ST REIT Index has generated a 10% decline in total return this year, with the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index declining 22%.This has brought the 5-year total return of the FTSE ST REIT Index to 15%, compared to 8% for the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index.The partial rebound of the S-REIT Sector over the past month has also pared the FTSE ST REIT Index decline in total return for the 2022 year to 18 Nov to 10%, compared to the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index declining 22%.

S-REITs Narrow Discount to Book Value on Global Rate Outlook

<ul><li>Singapore’s 30 most traded stocks outside of the STI have seen ~S$670 million in net fund outflows in the 2022 YTD, with declines in October, bringing their average 2022 YTD decline in total return of the stocks to 5%.</li><li>Total returns of the five stocks over the 43 weeks varied from -10% for Riverstone to +202% for Golden Energy & Res.</li><li>Similarly, as energy stocks have led the global stock market this year, the four energy stocks tabled below have averaged 57% total returns over the past 43 weeks (with the median gain at 26%).</li></ul>

Singapore’s 30 most traded stocks outside of the STI have seen ~S$670 million in net fund outflows in the 2022 YTD, with declines in October, bringing their average 2022 YTD decline in total return of the stocks to 5%.Total returns of the five stocks over the 43 weeks varied from -10% for Riverstone to +202% for Golden Energy & Res.Similarly, as energy stocks have led the global stock market this year, the four energy stocks tabled below have averaged 57% total returns over the past 43 weeks (with the median gain at 26%).

Mixed Oct Returns for Singapore's Most Traded Non-STI stocks

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)

<ul><li>REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine Retail sales in Singapore went up by 13 per cent year on year (yoy) in August, marking its fifth consecutive month of double-digit yoy growth.</li><li>CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust reported 15.9 per cent yoy growth in retail tenant sales and 12.5 per cent yoy growth in shopper traffic for H1 2022.</li></ul>

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine Retail sales in Singapore went up by 13 per cent year on year (yoy) in August, marking its fifth consecutive month of double-digit yoy growth.CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust reported 15.9 per cent yoy growth in retail tenant sales and 12.5 per cent yoy growth in shopper traffic for H1 2022.

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine

Singapore

Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust invests in income-producing real estate primarily used for office and retail purposes. Its portfolio includes prime commercial properties in Singapore, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The company is headquartered in Singapore and was founded in 2004.

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Suntec (SUN SP)

REIT Watch - Recovery continues for S-Reits with Singapore retail assets

October’s retail sales increased 10.4 per cent year on year (yoy), extending September’s 11.3 per cent growth and marking its seventh consecutive...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - Singapore-based office S-Reits see growth in occupancy and rent reversions

REIT Watch - Singapore-based office S-Reits see growth in occupancy and rent reversions S-Reits with Singapore based office assets reported growth...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

S-REITs Narrow Discount to Book Value on Global Rate Outlook

With global inflation set to outpace global growth by 5% in 2022, the FTSE ST REIT Index has generated a 10% decline in total return this year,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Mixed Oct Returns for Singapore's Most Traded Non-STI stocks

Singapore’s 30 most traded stocks outside of the STI have seen ~S$670 million in net fund outflows in the 2022 YTD, with declines in October,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine

REIT Watch - Retail S-Reits see double-digit pickup; downtown malls shine Retail sales in Singapore went up by 13 per cent year on year (yoy) in...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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