Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>UOB Kay Hian's Koh maintains 'buy' on Prime US REIT due to low valuation.</li>
<li>RHB's Natarajan increases Suntec REIT target price to $1.48.</li>
<li>CGSI boosts Yangzijiang Financial target price to $1.25, citing Maritime spin-off.</li>
</ul>


UOB Kay Hian's Koh maintains 'buy' on Prime US REIT due to low valuation.
RHB's Natarajan increases Suntec REIT target price to $1.48.
CGSI boosts Yangzijiang Financial target price to $1.25, citing Maritime spin-off.


Singapore Market Roundup (09-Sep-2025): UOB's Koh Keeps 'buy' on Prime US REIT

Invest, Trade and Save in Singapore, Syfe

Syfe

Invest, Trade and Save in Singapore

Syfe is an investment platform offering Managed Portfolios, Brokerage services, and Cash Management solutions to help people build wealth for a better future.

<ul><li>The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed.  According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median estimates, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50bps (in two rate cuts) for the rest of 2025, with 25bps more (in one rate cut) in 2026.  </li><li>Based on latest futures from CME Group, the market is pricing in a 89% probability of rate cut during the Fed's next meeting in September.</li><li>The current easing cycle is a clear sector tailwind. The steep decline in 3M Singapore’s SORA from 3.03% in January to 1.85% in August, will benefit the sector in multiple perspectives: reduced funding cost, more stable cap rates to support asset valuations, as well as more attractive REIT valuation on the back of yield spreads.</li></ul>

The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed.  According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median estimates, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 50bps (in two rate cuts) for the rest of 2025, with 25bps more (in one rate cut) in 2026.  Based on latest futures from CME Group, the market is pricing in a 89% probability of rate cut during the Fed's next meeting in September.The current easing cycle is a clear sector tailwind. The steep decline in 3M Singapore’s SORA from 3.03% in January to 1.85% in August, will benefit the sector in multiple perspectives: reduced funding cost, more stable cap rates to support asset valuations, as well as more attractive REIT valuation on the back of yield spreads.

Singapore Office REITs: Interest Rate Easing Cycle Provides Earnings and DPU Upside

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back in March of last year, Bloomberg reported,that Renaldo Santosa and his family, who collectively controlled ~75.5% of agri-play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a>, were considering taking Japfa private.</li>
<li>This was discussed in<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/174028/%20https:/skr.ma/iKVsA" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> Japfa (JAP SP): Impressive Gain. But No Firm Offer</a>. Then crickets. </li>
<li>The family has now pitched an Offer of S$0.62/share, by way of  a Scheme, a 34.8% premium to undisturbed. That's probably enough to get this over the line. </li>
</ul>


Back in March of last year, Bloomberg reported,that Renaldo Santosa and his family, who collectively controlled ~75.5% of agri-play Japfa Ltd (JAP SP), were considering taking Japfa private.
This was discussed in Japfa (JAP SP): Impressive Gain. But No Firm Offer. Then crickets. 
The family has now pitched an Offer of S$0.62/share, by way of  a Scheme, a 34.8% premium to undisturbed. That's probably enough to get this over the line. 


Japfa (JAP SP): The Santosa Family (Finally) Makes A Move

<ul>
<li>For the month of February 2025, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$5bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in February was ~55%, with a year-to-date average also of 56%. </li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% .</li>
</ul>


For the month of February 2025, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$5bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in February was ~55%, with a year-to-date average also of 56%. 
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% .


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2025 Wrap: Domain, Proto, Shibaura, Paragon REIT, Mayne Pharma, PointsBet

<ul>
<li>
HK$1.38/Share. That's the takeaway as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> enters an SPA to offload its 78.7% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art (6808 HK)</a> at <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0101/2025010100067.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HK$1.38/share</a>, a 44.4% discount to last close.</li>
<li>The buyer, Paragon Shine, an entity under Chinese PE outfit DCP Capital, is paying ~HK$12.3bn compared to BABA's HK$28.1bn purchase of a 51% stake in October 2020.</li>
<li>Should the SPA complete, an unconditional MGO is triggered. Minorities tendering can receive up to HK$1.58/share. But the question is: why would BABA be cashing out at this price?</li>
</ul>



HK$1.38/Share. That's the takeaway as Alibaba Group (9988 HK) enters an SPA to offload its 78.7% stake in Sun Art (6808 HK) at HK$1.38/share, a 44.4% discount to last close.
The buyer, Paragon Shine, an entity under Chinese PE outfit DCP Capital, is paying ~HK$12.3bn compared to BABA's HK$28.1bn purchase of a 51% stake in October 2020.
Should the SPA complete, an unconditional MGO is triggered. Minorities tendering can receive up to HK$1.58/share. But the question is: why would BABA be cashing out at this price?


Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): BABA Takes Massive Hit After Inking SPA @ HK$1.38

Singapore

Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust is a commercial real estate investment trust. The Trust invests in income-producing real estate that is primarily used for retail and/or office purposes.

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Suntec REIT (SUN SP)

Singapore Market Roundup (09-Sep-2025): UOB's Koh Keeps 'buy' on Prime US REIT

UOB Kay Hian's Koh keeps 'buy' on Prime US REIT for low valuation; RHB raises Suntec REIT target to $1.48; CGSI ups Yangzijiang Financial to $1.25.

Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Office REITs: Interest Rate Easing Cycle Provides Earnings and DPU Upside

The interest rate cycle in Singapore typically correlates with the Fed. According to June’s FOMC Summary of Economic Projections, based on median...

Syfe

Japfa (JAP SP): The Santosa Family (Finally) Makes A Move

Scheme Doc dispatched. 15th April Scheme Meeting. Payment on or around the 30th May. With a fair value range of S$0.53 to S$0.56/share, the IFA...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2025 Wrap: Domain, Proto, Shibaura, Paragon REIT, Mayne Pharma, PointsBet

For the month of February, 14 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$5bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): BABA Takes Massive Hit After Inking SPA @ HK$1.38

The SPA completed on the 27th Feb, triggering the MGO. Composite Doc to be dispatched on or before the 6th Mar. Under the terms of the SPA, an...

David Blennerhassett

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