India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Insider buying spanned across 40+ stocks in June 2025, highlighting continued conviction among promoters, directors, and trusts.</li>
<li>While, there were fewer companies with market cap above USD 1 bn which saw insider buying, this number was significantly higher (35 count) in smaller names.</li>
<li>Companies which have zoomed after the insider purchases include - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lt-foods-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20784:1" rel="noopener">LT Foods Ltd (LTFO IN)</a> (+10%), Valor Estate (+11%). In smaller names - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/man-industries-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20233:1" rel="noopener">Man Industries (India) (MAN IN)</a> (+88%)</li>
</ul>


Insider buying spanned across 40+ stocks in June 2025, highlighting continued conviction among promoters, directors, and trusts.
While, there were fewer companies with market cap above USD 1 bn which saw insider buying, this number was significantly higher (35 count) in smaller names.
Companies which have zoomed after the insider purchases include - LT Foods Ltd (LTFO IN) (+10%), Valor Estate (+11%). In smaller names - Man Industries (India) (MAN IN) (+88%)


India Insider Buying – June '25: Strong Activity in Small Caps, Limited Participation in Large Caps.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The aggregate performance of the Q3FY25 earnings season was subdued, in line with expectations, but reflected marginal improvement on a QoQ basis, led by energy, auto, and cement sectors.</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/8% YoY and 5%/6% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~234 stocks).</li><li>Earnings of mid/small-cap stocks grew slower at 3.8% in this quarter as compared to 8.7% registered by the large cap segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate performance of the Q3FY25 earnings season was subdued, in line with expectations, but reflected marginal improvement on a QoQ basis, led by energy, auto, and cement sectors.Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/8% YoY and 5%/6% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~234 stocks).Earnings of mid/small-cap stocks grew slower at 3.8% in this quarter as compared to 8.7% registered by the large cap segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Quarterly Flipbook: Diminishing growth, downgrades intensify across sectors

<ul><li>IPCA Laboratories: EBITDA^ (+35% YoY) growth was driven by 9% YoY sales growth (India grew 13% YoY, branded exports +52%, and API +12%), higher GM (+419 bps), and cost controls</li><li>IPCA’s guidance is as follows: (1) India is expected to outperform IPM growth by 1.5x, driven by growth in key therapies, market share gains, and new launches, (2) muted growth in Generic exports in FY25 and to recover in FY26, branded generics are to grow at 8-10%, steady growth in Unichem, and 8-10% growth in API, (3) The US scale-up will be driven by new launches, with a focus on profitability improvement, (4) Margins: GM is expected to sustain, and the standalone margin guidance has been raised to 22-23% in FY25 (vs 21% earlier), with consolidated margins at 19-19.5% (vs 18-18.5%)</li><li>The standalone margin is expected to expand by 100-150 bps over the next few years, driven by chronic scale-up and productivity improvement.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IPCA Laboratories: EBITDA^ (+35% YoY) growth was driven by 9% YoY sales growth (India grew 13% YoY, branded exports +52%, and API +12%), higher GM (+419 bps), and cost controlsIPCA’s guidance is as follows: (1) India is expected to outperform IPM growth by 1.5x, driven by growth in key therapies, market share gains, and new launches, (2) muted growth in Generic exports in FY25 and to recover in FY26, branded generics are to grow at 8-10%, steady growth in Unichem, and 8-10% growth in API, (3) The US scale-up will be driven by new launches, with a focus on profitability improvement, (4) Margins: GM is expected to sustain, and the standalone margin guidance has been raised to 22-23% in FY25 (vs 21% earlier), with consolidated margins at 19-19.5% (vs 18-18.5%)The standalone margin is expected to expand by 100-150 bps over the next few years, driven by chronic scale-up and productivity improvement.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: IPCA Laboratories, Endurance Technologies, ITD Cementation

<ul><li>Maruti Suzuki: The focus at the expo was solely on the e-Vitara, with multiple e-Vitara models on display</li><li>No new hybrid models were unveiled</li><li>We believe the company’s intention for the expo was to spotlight the EV, although hybrids remain an integral part of their core strategy</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maruti Suzuki: The focus at the expo was solely on the e-Vitara, with multiple e-Vitara models on displayNo new hybrid models were unveiledWe believe the company’s intention for the expo was to spotlight the EV, although hybrids remain an integral part of their core strategyContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos: Bharat Mobility Expo 2025 - Key Takeways

<ul><li>The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energies</li><li>The auto component players are also making investments to adjust their product portfolios to cater to the energy transition and be future-ready for when the penetration of greener energy vehicles reaches an inflection point</li><li>We expect the domestic auto component industry to consolidate during this transition, with imports likely to be higher than usual, as auto component players in global regions where the energy transition has already seen meaningful penetration have the necessary technology in place and are already producing components at scale.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energiesThe auto component players are also making investments to adjust their product portfolios to cater to the energy transition and be future-ready for when the penetration of greener energy vehicles reaches an inflection pointWe expect the domestic auto component industry to consolidate during this transition, with imports likely to be higher than usual, as auto component players in global regions where the energy transition has already seen meaningful penetration have the necessary technology in place and are already producing components at scale.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos: Near-term headwinds, time to be selective

India

Suprajit Engineering Limited manufactures a complete range of liner, non-liner, and push pull cables for two wheelers, cars as well as light and heavy commercial vehicles and a range of automotive and non automotive applications.

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Suprajit Engineering (SEL IN)

India Insider Buying – June '25: Strong Activity in Small Caps, Limited Participation in Large Caps.

India Insider buying spanned across 40+ stocks in June 2025. Strong activity seen in small cap companies and few companies in large cap.

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Quarterly Flipbook: Diminishing growth, downgrades intensify across sectors

The aggregate performance of the Q3FY25 earnings season was subdued, in line with expectations, but reflected marginal improvement on a QoQ basis,...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: IPCA Laboratories, Endurance Technologies, ITD Cementation

EBITDA^ (+35% YoY) growth was driven by 9% YoY sales growth (India grew 13% YoY, branded exports +52%, and API +12%), higher GM (+419 bps), and...

HDFC Securities

Autos: Bharat Mobility Expo 2025 - Key Takeways

Maruti Suzuki: The focus at the expo was solely on the e-Vitara, with multiple e-Vitara models on display. No new hybrid models were unveiled

HDFC Securities

Autos: Near-term headwinds, time to be selective

The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energies

HDFC Securities

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