Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuken-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14996:1" rel="noopener">Suzuken Co Ltd (9987 JP)</a> reported better-than-expected Q1FY24 result, due to an increase in specialty drug distribution contracts and a larger than expected contribution from products related to COVID-19.</li>
<li>In Q1FY24, revenue increased 4% to ¥573.6B, driven by 4% YoY growth in pharmaceutical distribution business, due to increased sales of new drugs such as specialty drugs and COVID-19 therapeutics.</li>
<li>The company guided for FY24 revenue of ¥2,231.9B, down 4% YoY. Operating profit is expected to decline 48% YoY to ¥17B. Net profit is guided at ¥13B, down 36% YoY.</li>
</ul>



Suzuken Co Ltd (9987 JP) reported better-than-expected Q1FY24 result, due to an increase in specialty drug distribution contracts and a larger than expected contribution from products related to COVID-19.
In Q1FY24, revenue increased 4% to ¥573.6B, driven by 4% YoY growth in pharmaceutical distribution business, due to increased sales of new drugs such as specialty drugs and COVID-19 therapeutics.
The company guided for FY24 revenue of ¥2,231.9B, down 4% YoY. Operating profit is expected to decline 48% YoY to ¥17B. Net profit is guided at ¥13B, down 36% YoY.


Suzuken Co Ltd (9987 JP): Better-Than-Expected Q1FY24 Result; Full Year Guidance Reiterated

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At the October rebalance, Free Float Weight (FFW) will be reduced on 284 stocks and increased on 458 stocks. 43 stocks will be removed from Phased Weight Reduction.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 1.77% resulting in a one-way trade of ¥1.45tn. 364 stocks have over 4 days ADV to trade, 97 stocks have over 8 days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Over the last 6 months, the stocks with inflows (&gt;US$25m) have outperformed the stocks with outflows (&gt;US$25m) with most of the outperformance coming in the last three months.</li>
</ul>


At the October rebalance, Free Float Weight (FFW) will be reduced on 284 stocks and increased on 458 stocks. 43 stocks will be removed from Phased Weight Reduction.
Estimated one-way turnover is 1.77% resulting in a one-way trade of ¥1.45tn. 364 stocks have over 4 days ADV to trade, 97 stocks have over 8 days ADV to trade.
Over the last 6 months, the stocks with inflows (&gt;US$25m) have outperformed the stocks with outflows (&gt;US$25m) with most of the outperformance coming in the last three months.


TOPIX October 2023 Rebalance: Round Trip Trade of US$20bn; Upweights Outperform Downweights

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medipal-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18394:1" rel="noopener">Medipal Holdings (7459 JP)</a> announced strong Q1FY24 result, with a 6% YoY revenue growth to ¥887B, driven by growth across all three business segments.</li>
<li>However, operating profit declined 8% YoY to ¥12B, mainly due to increase in SG&amp;A expenses. Driven by an extraordinary income of ¥3.3B, net profit jumped 35% YoY to ¥11B.</li>
<li>The company has reaffirmed FY24 guidance, which calls for a 4.5% YoY revenue growth, flat operating profit, and a 9.3% YoY decline in net profit.</li>
</ul>



Medipal Holdings (7459 JP) announced strong Q1FY24 result, with a 6% YoY revenue growth to ¥887B, driven by growth across all three business segments.
However, operating profit declined 8% YoY to ¥12B, mainly due to increase in SG&amp;A expenses. Driven by an extraordinary income of ¥3.3B, net profit jumped 35% YoY to ¥11B.
The company has reaffirmed FY24 guidance, which calls for a 4.5% YoY revenue growth, flat operating profit, and a 9.3% YoY decline in net profit.


Medipal Holdings (7459 JP): Started FY24 On a Strong Note with Accelerated Revenue

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medipal-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18394:1" rel="noopener">Medipal Holdings (7459 JP)</a> announced strong FY23 result, with year-over-year improvement in sales and profit. While sales were just 1% ahead of forecast, net profit exceeded the guidance by 16%.</li>
<li>Outperformance was mainly driven by PALTAC business. Revenue from PALTAC increased 6% YoY to ¥1,104B, 2% ahead of forecast of ¥1,080B, fueled by 14% growth in OTC pharmaceutical products.</li>
<li>Medipal has guided for accelerated revenue growth of 3% YoY for its pharmaceutical wholesale business in FY24. In FY23, the business recorded revenue growth of 0.6% YoY.</li>
</ul>



Medipal Holdings (7459 JP) announced strong FY23 result, with year-over-year improvement in sales and profit. While sales were just 1% ahead of forecast, net profit exceeded the guidance by 16%.
Outperformance was mainly driven by PALTAC business. Revenue from PALTAC increased 6% YoY to ¥1,104B, 2% ahead of forecast of ¥1,080B, fueled by 14% growth in OTC pharmaceutical products.
Medipal has guided for accelerated revenue growth of 3% YoY for its pharmaceutical wholesale business in FY24. In FY23, the business recorded revenue growth of 0.6% YoY.


Medipal Holdings (7459 JP): Better-Than-Expected FY23 Result; Accelerated Growth Expected in FY24

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alfresa-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10610:1" rel="noopener">Alfresa Holdings (2784 JP)</a> revised its consolidated performance forecast for FY23. Revenue, operating profit, and net profit forecast have been raised by 3%, 2%, and 21%, respectively.</li>
<li>This is attributed to greater-than-expected growth in ethical pharmaceuticals market and the company’s recovery from the bidding nomination suspension from medical institutions stemming from a violation of the Antimonopoly Act.</li>
<li>In March 2023, Alfresa received a cease and desist order and a surcharge payment order from the Japan Fair Trade Commission (FTC) in relation to violation of the Antimonopoly Act.</li>
</ul>



Alfresa Holdings (2784 JP) revised its consolidated performance forecast for FY23. Revenue, operating profit, and net profit forecast have been raised by 3%, 2%, and 21%, respectively.
This is attributed to greater-than-expected growth in ethical pharmaceuticals market and the company’s recovery from the bidding nomination suspension from medical institutions stemming from a violation of the Antimonopoly Act.
In March 2023, Alfresa received a cease and desist order and a surcharge payment order from the Japan Fair Trade Commission (FTC) in relation to violation of the Antimonopoly Act.


Alfresa Holdings (2784 JP): FY23 Result Is Expected to Exceed Previous Forecast

Japan

SUZUKEN CO., LTD., a subsidiary of Medca Japan, wholesales and manufactures pharmaceutical products mainly to hospitals and practitioners.  The Company also provides medical equipment such as electro-cardiogram and blood pressure measurement.  Suzuken provides construction and repair works to hospitals and maintains patients' clinical records through information systems services.

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Suzuken Co Ltd (9987 JP)