Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The semiannual index rebal events of the SENSEX index, BSE 100 index, and BSE 200 index will take place in June 2025.</li>
<li>There will be two changes for BSE Sensex, three changes for BSE 100, and eight changes for BSE 200.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


The semiannual index rebal events of the SENSEX index, BSE 100 index, and BSE 200 index will take place in June 2025.
There will be two changes for BSE Sensex, three changes for BSE 100, and eight changes for BSE 200.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations.


Quiddity BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Schloss Bangalore Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schloss-bangalore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43983:1" rel="noopener">Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN) </a>is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$600m.</li>
<li>It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN) is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$600m.
It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.
In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Schloss Bangalore IPO - Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following shareholder approval of the proposal to reduce the Foreign Ownership Limit from 100% to 49.5%, NSDL has updated the FOL. This starts the process of passive selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato</a>.</li>
<li>Passives will sell US$350m at the close on Tuesday. There is a low probability of more selling later in the week. There will be bigger selling in August.</li>
<li>The size of the selling in August and beyond will depend on what foreign investors do in the stock till the end of June. Watch the red flag/ breach list.</li>
</ul>


Following shareholder approval of the proposal to reduce the Foreign Ownership Limit from 100% to 49.5%, NSDL has updated the FOL. This starts the process of passive selling in Zomato.
Passives will sell US$350m at the close on Tuesday. There is a low probability of more selling later in the week. There will be bigger selling in August.
The size of the selling in August and beyond will depend on what foreign investors do in the stock till the end of June. Watch the red flag/ breach list.


Zomato/Eternal: The BIG Passive Selling Starts

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> saw strong revenue growth, but intense competition and quick commerce costs led to declining profits or increased losses. </li>
<li>Zomato(Eternal) holds a strong advantage in food delivery profitability, reporting INR 428 crore adjusted EBITDA, and its IOCC status offers potential inventory benefits.   </li>
<li>Swiggy uses quick commerce for acquisition, scaling Bolt for speed which drives over 12% of food orders and boosts retention.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN) and Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) saw strong revenue growth, but intense competition and quick commerce costs led to declining profits or increased losses. 
Zomato(Eternal) holds a strong advantage in food delivery profitability, reporting INR 428 crore adjusted EBITDA, and its IOCC status offers potential inventory benefits.   
Swiggy uses quick commerce for acquisition, scaling Bolt for speed which drives over 12% of food orders and boosts retention.


Eternal Vs. Swiggy: A Battle for Market Share or a Fight to Stay in the Game?

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices in the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices in the September 2025 index rebal event.
We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expectations

India

Swiggy Limited operates an online easy-to-use food ordering application. The Company offers platform that allows users to browse, select, order, and pay for food, grocery, and household items delivered to their doorstep through on-demand delivery partner network. Swiggy serves customers in India.

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Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)

Quiddity BSE/SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows

We expect US$429mn, US$106mn, and US$62mn one-way index flows for SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 during the June 2025 index rebal event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Schloss Bangalore IPO - Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Schloss Bangalore Limited is looking to raise about US$400m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of US$600m....

Akshat Shah

Zomato/Eternal: The BIG Passive Selling Starts

Shareholders have approved the FOL reduction from 100% to 49.5% and NSDL has updated their website. That leads to passive selling on Tuesday and...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expectations

We see US$886mn and US$391mn one-way flows, respectively, for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 September 2025 index rebalance events.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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Quiddity BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows

We expect US$429mn, US$106mn, and US$62mn one-way index flows for SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 during the June 2025 index rebal event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Schloss Bangalore IPO - Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

Schloss Bangalore Limited is looking to raise about US$400m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of US$600m....

Akshat Shah

Zomato/Eternal: The BIG Passive Selling Starts

Shareholders have approved the FOL reduction from 100% to 49.5% and NSDL has updated their website. That leads to passive selling on Tuesday and...

Brian Freitas

Eternal Vs. Swiggy: A Battle for Market Share or a Fight to Stay in the Game?

​Zomato and Swiggy experience revenue growth but face profit challenges due to competition and quick commerce costs. Zomato holds advantage in food...

Nimish Maheshwari

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expectations

We see US$886mn and US$391mn one-way flows, respectively, for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 September 2025 index rebalance events.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity BSE/SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows

Zomato and Swiggy experience revenue growth but face profit challenges due to competition and quick commerce costs. Zomato holds advantage in food...