Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The near term impact of ONDC on OFD platforms like Zomato &amp; Swiggy is limited, longer term they will have to move from platform to a network centric model.</li>
<li>An external shock will be required to drive faster ONDC adaption as we have seen in the case of UPI.</li>
<li>Logistics companies especially the ones with express capabilities are likely beneficiaries in case ONDC scales up rapidly. </li>
</ul>


The near term impact of ONDC on OFD platforms like Zomato &amp; Swiggy is limited, longer term they will have to move from platform to a network centric model.
An external shock will be required to drive faster ONDC adaption as we have seen in the case of UPI.
Logistics companies especially the ones with express capabilities are likely beneficiaries in case ONDC scales up rapidly. 


India Food Delivery - Bracing for Disruption (ONDC)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> raised around US$1.35bn in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Swiggy is a business to commerce marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) raised around US$1.35bn in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Swiggy is a business to commerce marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Swiggy IPO Lockup - US$7.9bn Lockup Release

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The anchor lock-up expired on 13 Feb 2025 and the pre-IPO shareholder lock-up expires on 13 May 2025. The free float is forecasted to increase from ~13% to ~40%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> is expected to be added to global all-world at the June 2025 review following its IPO in November 2024 and the lock-up expiries.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> is expected to be added to global standard in May 2025 if top-down approach is used for free float. Otherwise, its addition will take place in August.</li>
</ul>


The anchor lock-up expired on 13 Feb 2025 and the pre-IPO shareholder lock-up expires on 13 May 2025. The free float is forecasted to increase from ~13% to ~40%.

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) is expected to be added to global all-world at the June 2025 review following its IPO in November 2024 and the lock-up expiries.

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) is expected to be added to global standard in May 2025 if top-down approach is used for free float. Otherwise, its addition will take place in August.


Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): Post-IPO Global Index Inclusion & Final Lockup Expires In May 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> listed in November 2024 and around 85% of the shares outstanding (US$7.6bn) will unlock on 13 May.</li>
<li>Nearly 80% of the shares that unlock are held by pre-IPO PE/VC investors and they are 100% in the money in most cases. Expect the selldown to commence soon.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> should be added to one global index in June, while inclusion in the other global index will require a small price increase or selling from PE/VC investors.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) listed in November 2024 and around 85% of the shares outstanding (US$7.6bn) will unlock on 13 May.
Nearly 80% of the shares that unlock are held by pre-IPO PE/VC investors and they are 100% in the money in most cases. Expect the selldown to commence soon.

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) should be added to one global index in June, while inclusion in the other global index will require a small price increase or selling from PE/VC investors.


Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong earlier.</li>
<li>This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong earlier.
This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


India

Swiggy Limited operates an online easy-to-use food ordering application. The Company offers platform that allows users to browse, select, order, and pay for food, grocery, and household items delivered to their doorstep through on-demand delivery partner network. Swiggy serves customers in India.

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Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)

India Food Delivery - Bracing for Disruption (ONDC)

ONDC is set to offer customers more options, alter business models for online food delivery players and provide a tailwind for express logistic...

Pranav Bhavsar

Swiggy IPO Lockup - US$7.9bn Lockup Release

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) raised around US$1.35bn in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): Post-IPO Global Index Inclusion & Final Lockup Expires In May 2025

Following research, due to the 6-month lock-up on the pre-offer share capital, the free float increase from 13% to 40% is expected to take place on...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

There is a US$7.6bn lock-up expiry in Swiggy on 12 May - 80% of that is PE/VC, so expect selling. The stock could remain under pressure but PE/VC...

Brian Freitas

Aequitas 2025 Asia IPO Pipeline - India

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong...

Sumeet Singh

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