Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Over the next five years, a lot of things will continue to change. In this review, we highlight five possible trends and two Thai stocks each that would benefit (or be adversely affected) by them, namely: 1) an ageing society; 2) higher concentration of wealth; 3) driverless cars for ride hailing; 4) increasing fintech adoption by incumbents; and 5) a decline in both labor cost and commodity prices.We may have discussed most of these themes before, though we've never put them in one place. As they say in investing, gotta watch where the puck is going, not where it is.

Over the next five years, a lot of things will continue to change. In this review, we highlight five possible trends and two Thai stocks each that would benefit (or be adversely affected) by them, namely: 1) an ageing society; 2) higher concentration of wealth; 3) driverless cars for ride hailing; 4) increasing fintech adoption by incumbents; and 5) a decline in both labor cost and commodity prices.We may have discussed most of these themes before, though we've never put them in one place. As they say in investing, gotta watch where the puck is going, not where it is.

During the weekend, we attended a presentation by Vacharapong Potjaneenont, who is Manager for Strategy &amp; Business Development of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/214" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:214:1">Siam Commercial Bank Pub Co (SCB TB)</a>, and we found it pretty interesting. Basically, his view is that fintech has been around since the 50s, and in his view, we are on the third wave...There's something with the number three. I recall someone else (maybe Microsoft CEO Nadella) saying we are on the third Industrial or Digital Revolution. Well, let's just indulge the…

During the weekend, we attended a presentation by Vacharapong Potjaneenont, who is Manager for Strategy &amp; Business Development of Siam Commercial Bank Pub Co (SCB TB), and we found it pretty interesting. Basically, his view is that fintech has been around since the 50s, and in his view, we are on the third wave...There's something with the number three. I recall someone else (maybe Microsoft CEO Nadella) saying we are on the third Industrial or Digital Revolution. Well, let's just indulge the…

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/challenger-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16490:1" rel="noopener">Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP)</a> has disclosed a final voluntary unconditional offer from Dymon Asia and the Loo Family at S$0.60 per share, a 7.1% premium to the previous S$0.56 offer. </li>
<li>As predicted, the offer followed the recent SGX unconditional offer playbook – a lowball offer followed by declaring the offer final after a cursory bump.</li>
<li>The modest offer premium will still leave minorities aggrieved. Hitting the 90% compulsory threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of 31.3%. At the last close, the gross spread is 3.4%.</li>
</ul>



Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP) has disclosed a final voluntary unconditional offer from Dymon Asia and the Loo Family at S$0.60 per share, a 7.1% premium to the previous S$0.56 offer. 
As predicted, the offer followed the recent SGX unconditional offer playbook – a lowball offer followed by declaring the offer final after a cursory bump.
The modest offer premium will still leave minorities aggrieved. Hitting the 90% compulsory threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of 31.3%. At the last close, the gross spread is 3.4%.


Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP): Unconditional and Final Offer at S$0.60

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/challenger-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16490:1" rel="noopener">Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP)</a> has disclosed a voluntary unconditional offer from Dymon Asia and the Loo Family at S$0.56 per share, a 1.8% premium to the undisturbed price (29 May). </li>
<li>The little to no offer premium will leave minorities aggrieved. Hitting the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of 31.3%. The offer has not been declared final.</li>
<li>The offer is set to follow the recent SGX voluntary unconditional offer playbook – a lowball offer followed by declaring the offer final after a cursory bump.</li>
</ul>



Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP) has disclosed a voluntary unconditional offer from Dymon Asia and the Loo Family at S$0.56 per share, a 1.8% premium to the undisturbed price (29 May). 
The little to no offer premium will leave minorities aggrieved. Hitting the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of 31.3%. The offer has not been declared final.
The offer is set to follow the recent SGX voluntary unconditional offer playbook – a lowball offer followed by declaring the offer final after a cursory bump.


Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP): Loo Family/Dymon Asia’s Skinny Unconditional S$0.56 Offer

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Improving asset turnover, good price momentum, and strong stock price momentum relative to its sector</li><li>Sales should continue to grow supported by the appointment as local authorized wholesaler for non-mobile Apple products and upcoming Samsung mobile phone launches. Sales were up by 47% YoY in 9M17</li><li>The move by the Thai government last year to allow businesses to claim a higher tax deduction on any purchases of IT equipment is also lifting related demand</li><li>SYNEX has shown strong improvements in efficiency and profitability</li><li>Risks: Less favorable tax treatment of IT investments</li></ul>

Improving asset turnover, good price momentum, and strong stock price momentum relative to its sectorSales should continue to grow supported by the appointment as local authorized wholesaler for non-mobile Apple products and upcoming Samsung mobile phone launches. Sales were up by 47% YoY in 9M17The move by the Thai government last year to allow businesses to claim a higher tax deduction on any purchases of IT equipment is also lifting related demandSYNEX has shown strong improvements in efficiency and profitabilityRisks: Less favorable tax treatment of IT investments

SYNEX (SYNEX TB): Good Efficiency Improvement at This IT Wholesaler

Thailand

Synnex (Thailand) Public Company Limited distributes computers, computer peripherals, software, information technology systems, computer consumables, and communication devices. The company also offers retail and online platform services, computer system repair and maintenance, and training. It was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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Synnex (SYNEX TB)

Five Big Ideas for the Next Five Years

Over the next five years, a lot of things will continue to change. In this review, we highlight five possible trends and two Thai stocks each that...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Silicon Sequel: SCB on Fintech

During the weekend, we attended a presentation by Vacharapong Potjaneenont, who is Manager for Strategy & Business Development of Siam...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP): Unconditional and Final Offer at S$0.60

The final offer's modest premium will still leave minorities aggrieved. Hitting the 90% compulsory threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of...

Arun George

Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP): Loo Family/Dymon Asia’s Skinny Unconditional S$0.56 Offer

The offer is set to follow the recent SGX voluntary unconditional offer playbook – a lowball offer followed by declaring the offer final after a...

Arun George

SYNEX (SYNEX TB): Good Efficiency Improvement at This IT Wholesaler

Improving asset turnover, good price momentum, and strong stock price momentum relative to its sector Sales should continue to grow supported by...

A. Stotz Investment Research

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