US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interactive-brokers-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13335:1" rel="noopener">Interactive Brokers (IBKR US),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/duolingo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33531:1" rel="noopener">Duolingo (DUOL US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emcor-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20703:1" rel="noopener">EMCOR (EME US)</a> are the main candidates for addition at review to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enphase-energy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8872:1" rel="noopener">Enphase Energy (ENPH US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/caesars-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15532:1" rel="noopener">Caesars Entertainment (CZR US)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cheniere-energy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16683:1" rel="noopener">Cheniere Energy (LNG US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP US)</a> are the main candidates for the replacement of the acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansys-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15473:1" rel="noopener">Ansys (ANSS US)</a> which is anticipated end of June.</li>
<li>There is a possibility of zero S&amp;P500 changes at the review due to candidates scoring low in market cap and sector balance.</li>
</ul>



Interactive Brokers (IBKR US),Duolingo (DUOL US) and EMCOR (EME US) are the main candidates for addition at review to replace Enphase Energy (ENPH US) and Caesars Entertainment (CZR US). 

Cheniere Energy (LNG US) and AppLovin (APP US) are the main candidates for the replacement of the acquisition of Ansys (ANSS US) which is anticipated end of June.
There is a possibility of zero S&amp;P500 changes at the review due to candidates scoring low in market cap and sector balance.


S&P500 June 2025 Review Forecast: Weak but Interactive, Time for Duolingo?

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia H20 sales to China were barred last month. Nvidia first mentioned designing a new China-specific chip. Maybe not: it looks very difficult to work around the updated US limits</li>
<li>Semiconductor design software was barred last week. Synopsys suspended its guidance. My industry checks suggests that the ban applies to Xiaomi (ie the new smartphone chip) and to Lenovo. </li>
<li>Hanmi Semi stopped shipping TC Bonder to Chinese clients. This is critical to make HBM memory that goes into AI processors.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia H20 sales to China were barred last month. Nvidia first mentioned designing a new China-specific chip. Maybe not: it looks very difficult to work around the updated US limits
Semiconductor design software was barred last week. Synopsys suspended its guidance. My industry checks suggests that the ban applies to Xiaomi (ie the new smartphone chip) and to Lenovo. 
Hanmi Semi stopped shipping TC Bonder to Chinese clients. This is critical to make HBM memory that goes into AI processors.


US – China: Restrictions on Semiconductors Are Getting Worse

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>CDNS, SNPS each fall &gt;10% on the back of further US restrictions on sale to China</li>
<li>Both of their China revenues were around 10% in the most recent quarter, albeit in the case of CDNS, it was 15% in the year ago quarter</li>
<li>China's domestic EDA ecosystem has grown significantly in recent years. These latest restrictions, if fully implemented, will simply serve to further accelerate its development</li>
</ul>


CDNS, SNPS each fall &gt;10% on the back of further US restrictions on sale to China
Both of their China revenues were around 10% in the most recent quarter, albeit in the case of CDNS, it was 15% in the year ago quarter
China's domestic EDA ecosystem has grown significantly in recent years. These latest restrictions, if fully implemented, will simply serve to further accelerate its development


Latest US Restrictions On EDA Sales To China Tanks CDNS, SNPS

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Reports of Samsung securing 2nm customers (Nvidia, Qualcomm), but AMD is saying that TSMC has the best and only 2nm, Nvidia saying there’s no alternative to TSMC CoWoS.   </li>
<li>Competition at 2nm / 18A is already over. Chips tape-out are rolling out. If Intel, Samsung can gain Foundry customers, it is for the next node 14A in 2027-28.</li>
<li>The difficulty for Intel and Samsung is that TSMC is a lot faster to develop PDK, qualify process, tape-out chips. The total cost of chipdesign at US$0.5-1bn is another hurdle.  </li>
</ul>


Reports of Samsung securing 2nm customers (Nvidia, Qualcomm), but AMD is saying that TSMC has the best and only 2nm, Nvidia saying there’s no alternative to TSMC CoWoS.   
Competition at 2nm / 18A is already over. Chips tape-out are rolling out. If Intel, Samsung can gain Foundry customers, it is for the next node 14A in 2027-28.
The difficulty for Intel and Samsung is that TSMC is a lot faster to develop PDK, qualify process, tape-out chips. The total cost of chipdesign at US$0.5-1bn is another hurdle.  


Just Listen to Jensen (And Lisa): TSMC, Intel, Samsung

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two regular changes in June 2025. There are also multiple live spin-off and M&amp;A events which may trigger intra-review index changes near-term. Check the Leaderboards for those.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the June 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two regular changes in June 2025. There are also multiple live spin-off and M&amp;A events which may trigger intra-review index changes near-term. Check the Leaderboards for those.


[Quiddity Index May25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Lots of Intraview Changes Still Possible

United States

Synopsys, Inc. supplies electronic design automation solutions to the global electronics market.  The Company provides design technologies to creators of advanced integrated circuits, electronic systems, and systems on a chip. Synopsys also provides consulting services and support to its customers to streamline the overall design process and accelerate time to market.

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Synopsys Inc (SNPS US)

S&P500 June 2025 Review Forecast: Weak but Interactive, Time for Duolingo?

No index changes materialized, and the candidates are weak indeed. Nonetheless, I still expected eligible midcap constituents to replace CZR and/or...

Dimitris Ioannidis

US – China: Restrictions on Semiconductors Are Getting Worse

Nvidia might not have a workaround for a new China-specific chip. EDA software ban also for consumer electronics Xiaomi, Lenovo. Hanmi Semi halted...

Nicolas Baratte

Latest US Restrictions On EDA Sales To China Tanks CDNS, SNPS

China's domestic EDA ecosystem has grown significantly in recent years. These latest restrictions, if fully implemented, will simply serve to...

William Keating

Just Listen to Jensen (And Lisa): TSMC, Intel, Samsung

Samsung allegedly secures 2nm customers. AMD claims TSMC has the only 2nm. Competition at 2nm is over, chips rolling out. Intel, Samsung face...

Nicolas Baratte

[Quiddity Index May25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Lots of Intraview Changes Still Possible

The S&P500 has a couple of possible changes at the regular rebalance and more intra-review changes after. That means S&P600 DELs. We like those...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P500 June 2025 Review Forecast: Weak but Interactive, Time for Duolingo?

No index changes materialized, and the candidates are weak indeed. Nonetheless, I still expected eligible midcap constituents to replace CZR and/or...

Dimitris Ioannidis

US – China: Restrictions on Semiconductors Are Getting Worse

​Nvidia might not have a workaround for a new China-specific chip. EDA software ban also for consumer electronics Xiaomi, Lenovo. Hanmi Semi halted...

Nicolas Baratte

Latest US Restrictions On EDA Sales To China Tanks CDNS, SNPS

China's domestic EDA ecosystem has grown significantly in recent years. These latest restrictions, if fully implemented, will simply serve to...

William Keating

Just Listen to Jensen (And Lisa): TSMC, Intel, Samsung

​Samsung allegedly secures 2nm customers. AMD claims TSMC has the only 2nm. Competition at 2nm is over, chips rolling out. Intel, Samsung face...

Nicolas Baratte

[Quiddity Index May25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Lots of Intraview Changes Still Possible

The S&P500 has a couple of possible changes at the regular rebalance and more intra-review changes after. That means S&P600 DELs. We like those...

Travis Lundy

Nvidia might not have a workaround for a new China-specific chip. EDA software ban also for consumer electronics Xiaomi, Lenovo. Hanmi Semi halted...

Samsung allegedly secures 2nm customers. AMD claims TSMC has the only 2nm. Competition at 2nm is over, chips rolling out. Intel, Samsung face...