Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A Brookfield/MidOcean consortium has made a conditional, non-binding, indicative proposal to acquire 100% of the shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a> at A$9/share in cash.</li>
<li>The offer values <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>'s equity at A$15.5bn and is a 54.9% premium to the last close. The premium is over 50% even using longer term VWAPs.</li>
<li>There will be changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to maintain the number of index members. We will know more once an indicative timeline is published.</li>
</ul>


A Brookfield/MidOcean consortium has made a conditional, non-binding, indicative proposal to acquire 100% of the shares in Origin Energy (ORG AU) at A$9/share in cash.
The offer values Origin Energy (ORG AU)'s equity at A$15.5bn and is a 54.9% premium to the last close. The premium is over 50% even using longer term VWAPs.
There will be changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to maintain the number of index members. We will know more once an indicative timeline is published.


Origin Energy (ORG AU): Indicative Proposal from Brookfield & MidOcean; Index Implications

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the December 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The top 5 highest ranked ASX 200 Potential ADDs have 10+ days to buy and a couple of these names could become intra-review additions. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> is an ASX 50 ADD and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11248:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Group (LLC AU)</a> is an ASX 50 DEL as it stands. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the December 2022 Rebalance.
The top 5 highest ranked ASX 200 Potential ADDs have 10+ days to buy and a couple of these names could become intra-review additions. 

Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) is an ASX 50 ADD and Lendlease Group (LLC AU) is an ASX 50 DEL as it stands. 


S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Top Ranked ASX200 ADDs Look Interesting

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the December 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nearmap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5142:1" rel="noopener">Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)</a> could get deleted from ASX200 before the December Rebalance, triggering high-impact intra-review additions. There should be two changes in the Review itself.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> is close to becoming an ASX 50 ADD and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11248:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Group (LLC AU)</a> is close to becoming an ASX 50 DEL in the December 2022 review.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the December 2022 Rebalance.

Tassal (TGR AU)  and Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU) could get deleted from ASX200 before the December Rebalance, triggering high-impact intra-review additions. There should be two changes in the Review itself.

Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) is close to becoming an ASX 50 ADD and Lendlease Group (LLC AU) is close to becoming an ASX 50 DEL in the December 2022 review.


S&P/​​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Couple of High-Impact Intra-Review Changes Possible

<ul>
<li>With the Reference Period for the September 2022 Rebalance nearing its end, we take a final look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6148:1" rel="noopener">AVZ Minerals (AVZ AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/firefinch-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16094:1" rel="noopener">Firefinch Ltd (FFX AU)</a> are both members of the ASX Index family and are currently suspended from trading. There could be index consequences here.</li>
<li>Based on current data, I expect 7 ADDs/DELs for the ASX 200 Index and 22 ADDs and 18 DELs for the ASX 300 Index.</li>
</ul>


With the Reference Period for the September 2022 Rebalance nearing its end, we take a final look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20.

AVZ Minerals (AVZ AU) and Firefinch Ltd (FFX AU) are both members of the ASX Index family and are currently suspended from trading. There could be index consequences here.
Based on current data, I expect 7 ADDs/DELs for the ASX 200 Index and 22 ADDs and 18 DELs for the ASX 300 Index.


S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Potential Last Minute Surprises

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. </li>
<li>The constituency changes for ASX 300, ASX 200, ASX 100, ASX 50, and ASX 20 were announced today.</li>
<li>Below is a discussion of the official results and potential trading strategies to generate market-neutral returns in the run up to the Inclusion Event.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. 
The constituency changes for ASX 300, ASX 200, ASX 100, ASX 50, and ASX 20 were announced today.
Below is a discussion of the official results and potential trading strategies to generate market-neutral returns in the run up to the Inclusion Event.


S&P/​​​ASX Indices: March 2022 Index Changes and Trading Strategy

Australia

Syrah Resources Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company's projects provide exposure to graphite, vanadium, mineral sands, copper, coal and uranium.

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Syrah Resources (SYR AU)

Origin Energy (ORG AU): Indicative Proposal from Brookfield & MidOcean; Index Implications

A Brookfield/MidOcean consortium has made an NBIO for Origin at A$9/share, a 54.9% premium to last. There is a high probability of this going...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Top Ranked ASX200 ADDs Look Interesting

Tassal and Nearmap could get deleted from the ASX 200 index before the December 2022 Rebalance. Monadelphous and PolyNovo are leading the race to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Couple of High-Impact Intra-Review Changes Possible

The list of names leading the race to become intra-review ASX 200 additions seems interesting. If M&A events cause ASX 200 deletions, some of these...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Potential Last Minute Surprises

The ASX 200 ADDs have underperformed the ASX 200 DELs in the last 3 months. Over the next couple of weeks, the ADDs could outperform the DELs

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Indices: March 2022 Index Changes and Trading Strategy

A look at the S&P ASX Index March 2022 index constituent changes and discussion on potential trading strategies to generated market-neutral returns.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Origin Energy (ORG AU): Indicative Proposal from Brookfield & MidOcean; Index Implications

A Brookfield/MidOcean consortium has made an NBIO for Origin at A$9/share, a 54.9% premium to last. There is a high probability of this going...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Top Ranked ASX200 ADDs Look Interesting

Tassal and Nearmap could get deleted from the ASX 200 index before the December 2022 Rebalance. Monadelphous and PolyNovo are leading the race to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Couple of High-Impact Intra-Review Changes Possible

The list of names leading the race to become intra-review ASX 200 additions seems interesting. If M&A events cause ASX 200 deletions, some of these...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Potential Last Minute Surprises

The ASX 200 ADDs have underperformed the ASX 200 DELs in the last 3 months. Over the next couple of weeks, the ADDs could outperform the DELs

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​ASX Indices: March 2022 Index Changes and Trading Strategy

A look at the S&P ASX Index March 2022 index constituent changes and discussion on potential trading strategies to generated market-neutral returns.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Top Ranked ASX200 ADDs Look Interesting

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Couple of High-Impact Intra-Review Changes Possible

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Potential Last Minute Surprises

S&P/ASX Indices: March 2022 Index Changes and Trading Strategy