Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC reported earnings. They beat Q2 estimates, but importantly they guided down Q3 and FY 2023 estimates.</li>
<li>The Q2 beat was widely expected regarding revenue, given that TSMC reports monthly revenue, but the Q3 guide was not.</li>
<li>The midpoint of the guidance has the year-over-year decline decelerating, which I didn’t expect. Moreover, the -10% annual guide throws some water on the second-half recovery. Yes, the second half will be higher than the first, but the recovery is much more muted than historical. And what’s more, margins are looking worse for N3 than a typical node.</li>
</ul>


TSMC reported earnings. They beat Q2 estimates, but importantly they guided down Q3 and FY 2023 estimates.
The Q2 beat was widely expected regarding revenue, given that TSMC reports monthly revenue, but the Q3 guide was not.
The midpoint of the guidance has the year-over-year decline decelerating, which I didn’t expect. Moreover, the -10% annual guide throws some water on the second-half recovery. Yes, the second half will be higher than the first, but the recovery is much more muted than historical. And what’s more, margins are looking worse for N3 than a typical node.


TSMC Sees Continued Weakness, and EUV's Quandary (ASML)

<ul>
<li>Hello from Kyoto! If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be Backside Power Delivery (BSPDN). VLSI is one of the premier conferences for semiconductor design and has been held since the 1980s.</li>
<li>Today it’s one of the best places to present cutting-edge research in circuit technology.</li>
<li>The key revolutionary announcement at VLSI this year was BSPDN. Let’s discuss.</li>
</ul>


Hello from Kyoto! If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be Backside Power Delivery (BSPDN). VLSI is one of the premier conferences for semiconductor design and has been held since the 1980s.
Today it’s one of the best places to present cutting-edge research in circuit technology.
The key revolutionary announcement at VLSI this year was BSPDN. Let’s discuss.


VLSI Japan : It’s Better on the Backside

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

<ul>
<li>Nvidia's CEO is in Taiwan this week for Computex and the company continues to dominate the headlines announcing Mediatek, Softbank, and WPP key partnerships.</li>
<li>Semiconductor shorts have been squeezed after the global rally sparked by Nvidia's monster results; We released our latest Taiwan Shorts Monitor to identify short squeezes.</li>
<li>Earnings: Light this week for Taiwan, however PC industry leaders Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US) and Dell Technologies Inc (DELL US) will report.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia's CEO is in Taiwan this week for Computex and the company continues to dominate the headlines announcing Mediatek, Softbank, and WPP key partnerships.
Semiconductor shorts have been squeezed after the global rally sparked by Nvidia's monster results; We released our latest Taiwan Shorts Monitor to identify short squeezes.
Earnings: Light this week for Taiwan, however PC industry leaders Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US) and Dell Technologies Inc (DELL US) will report.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia in Taiwan - Everyone Will Need 'AI Factories'; Identifying Short Squeezes

<ul>
<li>Nvidia's results and guidance sparked a massive rally in the shares, marking one of the largest single-day increases in market cap in U.S. stock market history.</li>
<li>The company sees a multi-year growth cycle of data center upgrades ahead. Key supply chain partners TSMC and ASML are rising as well.</li>
<li>Wiwynn in Taiwan should be a key winner. We also highlight a potential wildcard smallcap AI play that we will investigate further.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia's results and guidance sparked a massive rally in the shares, marking one of the largest single-day increases in market cap in U.S. stock market history.
The company sees a multi-year growth cycle of data center upgrades ahead. Key supply chain partners TSMC and ASML are rising as well.
Wiwynn in Taiwan should be a key winner. We also highlight a potential wildcard smallcap AI play that we will investigate further.


Nvidia Results Blow-Out: Multi-Year Growth Ahead; Wiwynn in Taiwan, Plus a Smallcap Wildcard AI Play

<ul>
<li>This week will have some major earnings data points released. In Taiwan, UMC, Delta, Mediatek, ASE will report among other local names in our coverage.</li>
<li>Samsung &amp; SK Hynix will report this week, providing major insight into the Memory chip space for companies such as Nanya Technology and Micron.</li>
<li>TSMC &amp; ASML results last week indicate that the cycle could be bottoming in 2Q23E for these leading firms... But are we entering a two-track industry recovery?</li>
</ul>


This week will have some major earnings data points released. In Taiwan, UMC, Delta, Mediatek, ASE will report among other local names in our coverage.
Samsung &amp; SK Hynix will report this week, providing major insight into the Memory chip space for companies such as Nanya Technology and Micron.
TSMC &amp; ASML results last week indicate that the cycle could be bottoming in 2Q23E for these leading firms... But are we entering a two-track industry recovery?


Taiwan Tech Weekly: This Is a Major Earnings Week; Are We Entering a 2-Track Semiconductor Recovery?

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

TSMC Sees Continued Weakness, and EUV's Quandary (ASML)

TSMC sees further inventory correction, I see earnings disappointments. ASML has a quandary if the entire ecosystem is trying to use EUV.

Fabricated Knowledge

VLSI Japan : It’s Better on the Backside

If there was a single big story from VLSI this year, it had to be BSPDN. Intel announces its PowerVia technology, and scaling the backside is the...

Fabricated Knowledge

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia in Taiwan - Everyone Will Need 'AI Factories'; Identifying Short Squeezes

Nvidia's CEO is in Taiwan this week for Computex and the company continues to dominate the headlines announcing Mediatek, Softbank, and WPP key...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Nvidia Results Blow-Out: Multi-Year Growth Ahead; Wiwynn in Taiwan, Plus a Smallcap Wildcard AI Play

The company sees US$1 trillion of data center upgrades ahead. Our AI Leaders Basket constituents TSMC and ASML are rising as well.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: This Is a Major Earnings Week; Are We Entering a 2-Track Semiconductor Recovery?

TSMC & ASML results last week indicate that the cycle could be bottoming in 2Q23E for these leading firms... But are we entering a two-track...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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