Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 9.2% Premium -- Spread Fell But Remains Historically High; Short Interest Spiked for ADRs</li>
<li>UMC: Trading at -1.2% Discount -- Still Uncompelling, Wait for Lower Levels</li>
<li>ASE: Drops to 7% Premium -- Could Soon Be at a Level to Go Long</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 9.2% Premium -- Spread Fell But Remains Historically High; Short Interest Spiked for ADRs
UMC: Trading at -1.2% Discount -- Still Uncompelling, Wait for Lower Levels
ASE: Drops to 7% Premium -- Could Soon Be at a Level to Go Long


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High; ADR Short Interest Spiked

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>A recent news report speculates that Analog Devices (ADI US)  is planning to raise prices by ~20%.</li>
<li>Silergy Corp (6415 TT) is reportedly considering a price increase of over 15% in the Chinese market.</li>
<li>We believe that now is a good time to invest in Silergy.</li>
</ul>


A recent news report speculates that Analog Devices (ADI US)  is planning to raise prices by ~20%.
Silergy Corp (6415 TT) is reportedly considering a price increase of over 15% in the Chinese market.
We believe that now is a good time to invest in Silergy.


Silergy (6415.TT): Chinese Analog IC Could Raise up Prices by About 15%.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>We assume that Intel's current business model is unable to fully meet the manufacturing needs in that case.</li>
<li>As for the Intel Foundry Business, we believe that there is potential upside for growth.</li>
<li>If Intel was doing great in Wafer Manufacturing Business, then why does it have to consider splitting up?</li>
</ul>


We assume that Intel's current business model is unable to fully meet the manufacturing needs in that case.
As for the Intel Foundry Business, we believe that there is potential upside for growth.
If Intel was doing great in Wafer Manufacturing Business, then why does it have to consider splitting up?


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>'s revenue outlook for 1Q24F is expected to show a decline of around negative high single digits QoQ.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> aims to receive x86 CPU technology from TSMC 3nm in 1H24F.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> plans to utilize 3nm technology for manufacturing smartphone SoCs in 2H24F, which will narrow the gap with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a>.  </li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)'s revenue outlook for 1Q24F is expected to show a decline of around negative high single digits QoQ.

Intel Corp (INTC US) aims to receive x86 CPU technology from TSMC 3nm in 1H24F.

Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) plans to utilize 3nm technology for manufacturing smartphone SoCs in 2H24F, which will narrow the gap with Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US).  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

<ul>
<li>PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results</li>
<li>Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade</li>
<li>Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining</li>
</ul>


PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results
Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High; ADR Short Interest Spiked

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Only TSMC's spread offers a compelling opportunity right now in...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Silergy (6415.TT): Chinese Analog IC Could Raise up Prices by About 15%.

Analog Devices may raise prices by 20% while Silergy Corp considers a 15% increase in China. Investing in Silergy seems favorable.

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?

Intel's current business model may not meet manufacturing needs, but there is potential for growth in the Intel Foundry Business, raising...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High; ADR Short Interest Spiked

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Only TSMC's spread offers a compelling opportunity right now in...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Silergy (6415.TT): Chinese Analog IC Could Raise up Prices by About 15%.

​Analog Devices may raise prices by 20% while Silergy Corp considers a 15% increase in China. Investing in Silergy seems favorable.

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?

​Intel's current business model may not meet manufacturing needs, but there is potential for growth in the Intel Foundry Business, raising...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

​TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Analog Devices may raise prices by 20% while Silergy Corp considers a 15% increase in China. Investing in Silergy seems favorable.

Intel's current business model may not meet manufacturing needs, but there is potential for growth in the Intel Foundry Business, raising...

TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...