Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As the earnings reporting season nears completion, our EPS estimate tracker reveals a downgrade to Asian EPS. AxJ EPS declined only 0.5%-0.8%. But several constituent markets' EPS declined much more.</li>
<li>Asian EPS estimates were supported by China and somewhat surprisingly, Thailand. Indian estimates continued to decline. Even Korea and Taiwan, the recent earnings outperformers, were downgraded during this season. </li>
<li>Unlike Asia, US EPS estimates rose during this season. Japan's and Europe's declined. In a subsequent note we shall track the estimates of all the sectors in each Asian Market.</li>
</ul>


As the earnings reporting season nears completion, our EPS estimate tracker reveals a downgrade to Asian EPS. AxJ EPS declined only 0.5%-0.8%. But several constituent markets' EPS declined much more.
Asian EPS estimates were supported by China and somewhat surprisingly, Thailand. Indian estimates continued to decline. Even Korea and Taiwan, the recent earnings outperformers, were downgraded during this season. 
Unlike Asia, US EPS estimates rose during this season. Japan's and Europe's declined. In a subsequent note we shall track the estimates of all the sectors in each Asian Market.


Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>According to Reuters, the US government may be interested in acquiring equity stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC in exchange for CHIPS and Science Act grants.</li>
<li>The US government is exploring ways to take equity stakes in these two Asian tech giants that have been expanding their semiconductor facilities in the United States.</li>
<li>If the US government decides to invest $10 billion each in Samsung Electronics and TSMC, they would represent about 3% and 1% of Samsung Electronics and TSMC's market caps, respectively. </li>
</ul>


According to Reuters, the US government may be interested in acquiring equity stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC in exchange for CHIPS and Science Act grants.
The US government is exploring ways to take equity stakes in these two Asian tech giants that have been expanding their semiconductor facilities in the United States.
If the US government decides to invest $10 billion each in Samsung Electronics and TSMC, they would represent about 3% and 1% of Samsung Electronics and TSMC's market caps, respectively. 


US Government May Acquire Equity Stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC

<ul>
<li>After buying Asian equities for three months, FIIs sold Asia in the three weeks of August: notably India (-$2.53bn) and Korea (-$298m). Taiwan (+1.6bn) was the only large market bought.</li>
<li>It's too early to call a trend change. Our FII gauge of 6-month cumulative buying as percentage of the market's capitalization indicates that most markets are neither overbought nor oversold.</li>
<li>Even though FIIs have bought the large Asian markets lately, none of them are overbought. Taiwan's FII gauge is relatively closer to the upper limit. Indonesia is unequivocally oversold.</li>
</ul>


After buying Asian equities for three months, FIIs sold Asia in the three weeks of August: notably India (-$2.53bn) and Korea (-$298m). Taiwan (+1.6bn) was the only large market bought.
It's too early to call a trend change. Our FII gauge of 6-month cumulative buying as percentage of the market's capitalization indicates that most markets are neither overbought nor oversold.
Even though FIIs have bought the large Asian markets lately, none of them are overbought. Taiwan's FII gauge is relatively closer to the upper limit. Indonesia is unequivocally oversold.


Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Monetary support may temporarily ease Intel’s current financial difficulties, but the ultimate solution lies in securing technical support from manufacturing.  </li>
<li>We remain curious how the U.S. government will devise a solution for Intel if the company ultimately cannot provide the necessary support for U.S. Fabless players.</li>
<li>We are bearish on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a>’s current position and do not believe financial support alone can help the company overcome its challenges.</li>
</ul>


Monetary support may temporarily ease Intel’s current financial difficulties, but the ultimate solution lies in securing technical support from manufacturing.  
We remain curious how the U.S. government will devise a solution for Intel if the company ultimately cannot provide the necessary support for U.S. Fabless players.
We are bearish on Intel Corp (INTC US)’s current position and do not believe financial support alone can help the company overcome its challenges.


Intel (INTC.US): SoftBank Buys $2bn of Intel Stock at $23; U.S. Government Considers Investment.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 15th. The aggregated holding was USD1,197.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD373mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Wistron, Zhen Ding Technology, Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Wistron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 15th. The aggregated holding was USD1,197.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD373mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Wistron, Zhen Ding Technology, Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Wistron.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 15th): Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Wistron

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

US Government May Acquire Equity Stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC

According to Reuters, the US government may be interested in acquiring equity stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC in exchange for CHIPS and...

Douglas Kim

Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Intel (INTC.US): SoftBank Buys $2bn of Intel Stock at $23; U.S. Government Considers Investment.

Financial support may not be enough to save Intel from its current challenges; securing technical support from manufacturing is crucial for long...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 15th): Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hon Hai Precision (2317 TT), Quanta Computer...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equity: As the Result Season Nears Its End, Asian EPS Estimates Suffer a Surprising Downgrade

​Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

US Government May Acquire Equity Stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC

According to Reuters, the US government may be interested in acquiring equity stakes in Samsung Electronics and TSMC in exchange for CHIPS and...

Douglas Kim

Asian Equities: FIIs Selling Asia in August; Only Taiwan Still Being Bought

​FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Intel (INTC.US): SoftBank Buys $2bn of Intel Stock at $23; U.S. Government Considers Investment.

​Financial support may not be enough to save Intel from its current challenges; securing technical support from manufacturing is crucial for long...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 15th): Hon Hai Precision, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hon Hai Precision (2317 TT), Quanta Computer...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian EPS estimate saw a downgrade during the earnings season that's drawing to a close. CN & TH moved up while India, KR & TW declined. US EPS...

FIIs are selling Asian equities in August, particularly India (-2.5bn) & KR (-298m). TW (+1.6bn) is the only market being bought. Most markets are...

Financial support may not be enough to save Intel from its current challenges; securing technical support from manufacturing is crucial for long...