Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>3Q25 Outlook (based on USD/TWD = 28.7): Wafer Shipments: +7–9% QoQ; ASP: +1–3% QoQ; Gross Margin: 25–27%.</li>
<li>Revenue Mix (Industrial, Auto, 3C): Industrial + Automotive: 40%+ (majority industrial; automotive in teens) ; Communication &amp; Computing: 20%+ each ; Consumer: 10%+.</li>
<li>2025 Dividend Policy : Will maintains NT$4.5 per share dividend.</li>
</ul>


3Q25 Outlook (based on USD/TWD = 28.7): Wafer Shipments: +7–9% QoQ; ASP: +1–3% QoQ; Gross Margin: 25–27%.
Revenue Mix (Industrial, Auto, 3C): Industrial + Automotive: 40%+ (majority industrial; automotive in teens) ; Communication &amp; Computing: 20%+ each ; Consumer: 10%+.
2025 Dividend Policy : Will maintains NT$4.5 per share dividend.


Vanguard (5347.TT): FX Impact; Mild Recovery, Slightly Better Than 3Q25 Preview.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>MediaTek Reportedly Wins Meta’s 2nm AI Chip Order Over Broadcom</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: SK Hynix Vs. Micron -- Different Speeds &amp; Focus, Same Structural Shift </li>
<li>Semi Key Indicators Q2 2025: PC, Smartphone Unit Shipments, Global Semi &amp; WFE Sales All Looking Good </li>
</ul>


MediaTek Reportedly Wins Meta’s 2nm AI Chip Order Over Broadcom
Memory Monitor: SK Hynix Vs. Micron -- Different Speeds &amp; Focus, Same Structural Shift 
Semi Key Indicators Q2 2025: PC, Smartphone Unit Shipments, Global Semi &amp; WFE Sales All Looking Good 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Reportedly Bests Broadcom for Meta Custom Chip Win; Semi Key Indicators

<ul>
<li>On July 24, chip giant Intel announced that its latest 18A advanced process is progressing smoothly. However, the next-generation 14A process will be developed “based on confirmed customer commitments.”</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> adopt Intel’s 14A process for its future M-series chips, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> is expected to use the same process for its entry-level gaming GPUs.</li>
<li>U.S. President Trump is imposing tariffs on countries around the world, which is indirectly pressuring some manufacturers to accelerate the establishment of U.S.-based production facilities.</li>
</ul>


On July 24, chip giant Intel announced that its latest 18A advanced process is progressing smoothly. However, the next-generation 14A process will be developed “based on confirmed customer commitments.”

Apple (AAPL US) adopt Intel’s 14A process for its future M-series chips, while NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) is expected to use the same process for its entry-level gaming GPUs.
U.S. President Trump is imposing tariffs on countries around the world, which is indirectly pressuring some manufacturers to accelerate the establishment of U.S.-based production facilities.


Intel (INTC.US): 18A May Have Been Too Rushed; Now All Hopes Rest on 14A.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Intel reported Q225 revenues of $12.9 billion, up $200 million QoQ, flat YoY but $1.1 billion above the guided midpoint. After that revenue beat, things went downhill from there.</li>
<li>CEO Lip Bu Tan said he will review and approve all future company product designs prior to tape out. Sounds like a vote of no confidence in the design team.</li>
<li>Intel's 10 Q now lists the possibility of pausing or abandoning 14A as a risk factor with doomsday details about the implications for the company</li>
</ul>


Intel reported Q225 revenues of $12.9 billion, up $200 million QoQ, flat YoY but $1.1 billion above the guided midpoint. After that revenue beat, things went downhill from there.
CEO Lip Bu Tan said he will review and approve all future company product designs prior to tape out. Sounds like a vote of no confidence in the design team.
Intel's 10 Q now lists the possibility of pausing or abandoning 14A as a risk factor with doomsday details about the implications for the company


Intel Q225. GM Obfuscation, Red Flags & 14A Now Officially A Risk Factor

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated holding was USD1,172.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,804mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, MediaTek, CTBC Financial, Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, Mediatek, Ctbc Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated holding was USD1,172.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,804mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, MediaTek, CTBC Financial, Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, Mediatek, Ctbc Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, MediaTek

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Vanguard (5347.TT): FX Impact; Mild Recovery, Slightly Better Than 3Q25 Preview.

Positive outlook in 3Q25 with increased wafer shipment, higher ASP, and steady gross margin. Revenue mix shows strong industrial and automotive...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Reportedly Bests Broadcom for Meta Custom Chip Win; Semi Key Indicators

MediaTek secures order for Meta's 2nm AI chip, SK Hynix and Micron show different speeds and focus in memory market, positive outlook for PC,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel (INTC.US): 18A May Have Been Too Rushed; Now All Hopes Rest on 14A.

Intel's 14A process development relies on customer commitments, with Apple and NVIDIA expected to adopt it for future chips amid global tariff...

Patrick Liao

Intel Q225. GM Obfuscation, Red Flags & 14A Now Officially A Risk Factor

Intel's 10 Q now lists the possibility of pausing or abandoning 14A as a risk factor with doomsday details about the implications for the company

William Keating

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Taishin Financial (2887 TT), Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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Vanguard (5347.TT): FX Impact; Mild Recovery, Slightly Better Than 3Q25 Preview.

​Positive outlook in 3Q25 with increased wafer shipment, higher ASP, and steady gross margin. Revenue mix shows strong industrial and automotive...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Reportedly Bests Broadcom for Meta Custom Chip Win; Semi Key Indicators

​MediaTek secures order for Meta's 2nm AI chip, SK Hynix and Micron show different speeds and focus in memory market, positive outlook for PC,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel (INTC.US): 18A May Have Been Too Rushed; Now All Hopes Rest on 14A.

​Intel's 14A process development relies on customer commitments, with Apple and NVIDIA expected to adopt it for future chips amid global tariff...

Patrick Liao

Intel Q225. GM Obfuscation, Red Flags & 14A Now Officially A Risk Factor

Intel's 10 Q now lists the possibility of pausing or abandoning 14A as a risk factor with doomsday details about the implications for the company

William Keating

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Taishin Financial (2887 TT), Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Positive outlook in 3Q25 with increased wafer shipment, higher ASP, and steady gross margin. Revenue mix shows strong industrial and automotive...

MediaTek secures order for Meta's 2nm AI chip, SK Hynix and Micron show different speeds and focus in memory market, positive outlook for PC,...

Intel's 14A process development relies on customer commitments, with Apple and NVIDIA expected to adopt it for future chips amid global tariff...