Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>
TSMC’s Arizona fab hits Taiwan-level yields, easing replication concerns and reinforcing its global leadership across N2 and advanced packaging. </li>
<li>
AI demand offsets smartphone softness in 1Q25; TSMC guides +13% QoQ revenue for 2Q25 as margins hold firm despite tariff and earthquake headwinds. </li>
<li>
Faraday and UMC results ahead this week -- Key readouts on Taiwan’s ASIC, mature node, and design service momentum amid U.S.-China tech decoupling.</li>
</ul>



TSMC’s Arizona fab hits Taiwan-level yields, easing replication concerns and reinforcing its global leadership across N2 and advanced packaging. 

AI demand offsets smartphone softness in 1Q25; TSMC guides +13% QoQ revenue for 2Q25 as margins hold firm despite tariff and earthquake headwinds. 

Faraday and UMC results ahead this week -- Key readouts on Taiwan’s ASIC, mature node, and design service momentum amid U.S.-China tech decoupling.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC U.S. Bet Pays Off; UMC & Faraday Step Up Next; Latest Mobile Shipments Data

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>After the new CEO, Mr. Lip-Pu Tan, took office at the chip giant <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a>, he initiated a large-scale restructuring of the executive team and organization.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> to sell 51% share of Altera to Silver Lake, a global leader in technology investing. This deal is further to deal with non-performing assets.</li>
<li>Now, the critical question is, who are the clients of Intel Corp (INTC US) IFS (Intel Foundry Service)?  </li>
</ul>


After the new CEO, Mr. Lip-Pu Tan, took office at the chip giant Intel Corp (INTC US), he initiated a large-scale restructuring of the executive team and organization.

Intel Corp (INTC US) to sell 51% share of Altera to Silver Lake, a global leader in technology investing. This deal is further to deal with non-performing assets.
Now, the critical question is, who are the clients of Intel Corp (INTC US) IFS (Intel Foundry Service)?  


Intel (INTC.US): Exploring a Tough Journey. (IV)

<ul>
<li>
TSMC's Arizona Yield Success Silences Doubts: Management confirmed first U.S. fab has achieved yields comparable to Taiwan, validating global replication model and reinforcing alignment with U.S. clients like Apple, Nvidia. </li>
<li>
U.S. Buildout Anchoring TSMC’s Long-Term Dominance: With 30% of N2 and beyond capacity to be in USA, TSMC building footprint across fabs, packaging, and R&amp;D competitors will struggle to match. </li>
<li>
Margins Resilient, AI Demand Accelerating: 1Q25 beat on AI strength despite smartphone softness and earthquake disruption. 2Q25E revenue guidance of +13% QoQ reflects continued momentum in advanced nodes and HPC.</li>
</ul>



TSMC's Arizona Yield Success Silences Doubts: Management confirmed first U.S. fab has achieved yields comparable to Taiwan, validating global replication model and reinforcing alignment with U.S. clients like Apple, Nvidia. 

U.S. Buildout Anchoring TSMC’s Long-Term Dominance: With 30% of N2 and beyond capacity to be in USA, TSMC building footprint across fabs, packaging, and R&amp;D competitors will struggle to match. 

Margins Resilient, AI Demand Accelerating: 1Q25 beat on AI strength despite smartphone softness and earthquake disruption. 2Q25E revenue guidance of +13% QoQ reflects continued momentum in advanced nodes and HPC.


What TSMC’s 1Q25 Results Reveal About the Future of Chipmaking in the U.S. (Structural Long)

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>1Q15 Smartphone units up 1.5-3% YoY but given accelerated imports to US and Chinese consumer subsidies, end-demand was probably flat YoY. TSMC 1Q25 revenues suggest that Smartphone chips declined YoY.</li>
<li>We should expect a correction in 2H25 and overall flat 2025 YoY.</li>
<li>The only positive is that chips are getting bigger (AI cores) and more expensive (3nm) and hence positive to Mediatek and Qualcomm, but not to phone Brands Apple included.</li>
</ul>


1Q15 Smartphone units up 1.5-3% YoY but given accelerated imports to US and Chinese consumer subsidies, end-demand was probably flat YoY. TSMC 1Q25 revenues suggest that Smartphone chips declined YoY.
We should expect a correction in 2H25 and overall flat 2025 YoY.
The only positive is that chips are getting bigger (AI cores) and more expensive (3nm) and hence positive to Mediatek and Qualcomm, but not to phone Brands Apple included.


Smartphone Market Grew 2% in 1Q25 with 2 Positives Boosters: Apple Restocking in US, China Subsidies

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +21.5% Premium; Consider Shorting the Spread at This Level</li>
<li>ChipMOS: +3.2% Premium; Good Level to Consider Shorting the Spread: Local Shares' Short Interest at Multi-Year Highs</li>
<li>CHT: +1.3% Premium; Good Level to Consider Shorting the Spread; ADR Short Interest at Multi-Year Highs</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +21.5% Premium; Consider Shorting the Spread at This Level
ChipMOS: +3.2% Premium; Good Level to Consider Shorting the Spread: Local Shares' Short Interest at Multi-Year Highs
CHT: +1.3% Premium; Good Level to Consider Shorting the Spread; ADR Short Interest at Multi-Year Highs


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at High-End; ChipMOS & CHT Multi-Year High Short Interest

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC U.S. Bet Pays Off; UMC & Faraday Step Up Next; Latest Mobile Shipments Data

TSMC's Arizona fab achieves Taiwan-level yields, reinforcing global leadership in N2 and advanced packaging, while AI demand offsets smartphone...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel (INTC.US): Exploring a Tough Journey. (IV)

New Intel CEO initiates restructuring, sells 51% of Altera to Silver Lake, raising questions about Intel Corp IFS clients.

Patrick Liao

What TSMC’s 1Q25 Results Reveal About the Future of Chipmaking in the U.S. (Structural Long)

TSMC's Arizona fab progress validates global replication model, strengthens ties with U.S. clients like Apple and Nvidia, anchoring long-term...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Smartphone Market Grew 2% in 1Q25 with 2 Positives Boosters: Apple Restocking in US, China Subsidies

1Q15 slight increase in smartphone units, but end-demand likely remained flat. Expect a correction in 2H25 with overall flat 2025 YoY. Positives...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at High-End; ChipMOS & CHT Multi-Year High Short Interest

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC U.S. Bet Pays Off; UMC & Faraday Step Up Next; Latest Mobile Shipments Data

​TSMC's Arizona fab achieves Taiwan-level yields, reinforcing global leadership in N2 and advanced packaging, while AI demand offsets smartphone...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel (INTC.US): Exploring a Tough Journey. (IV)

​New Intel CEO initiates restructuring, sells 51% of Altera to Silver Lake, raising questions about Intel Corp IFS clients.

Patrick Liao

What TSMC’s 1Q25 Results Reveal About the Future of Chipmaking in the U.S. (Structural Long)

​TSMC's Arizona fab progress validates global replication model, strengthens ties with U.S. clients like Apple and Nvidia, anchoring long-term...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Smartphone Market Grew 2% in 1Q25 with 2 Positives Boosters: Apple Restocking in US, China Subsidies

​1Q15 slight increase in smartphone units, but end-demand likely remained flat. Expect a correction in 2H25 with overall flat 2025 YoY. Positives...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at High-End; ChipMOS & CHT Multi-Year High Short Interest

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC's Arizona fab achieves Taiwan-level yields, reinforcing global leadership in N2 and advanced packaging, while AI demand offsets smartphone...

New Intel CEO initiates restructuring, sells 51% of Altera to Silver Lake, raising questions about Intel Corp IFS clients.

TSMC's Arizona fab progress validates global replication model, strengthens ties with U.S. clients like Apple and Nvidia, anchoring long-term...

1Q15 slight increase in smartphone units, but end-demand likely remained flat. Expect a correction in 2H25 with overall flat 2025 YoY. Positives...