Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>We assume that Intel's current business model is unable to fully meet the manufacturing needs in that case.</li>
<li>As for the Intel Foundry Business, we believe that there is potential upside for growth.</li>
<li>If Intel was doing great in Wafer Manufacturing Business, then why does it have to consider splitting up?</li>
</ul>


We assume that Intel's current business model is unable to fully meet the manufacturing needs in that case.
As for the Intel Foundry Business, we believe that there is potential upside for growth.
If Intel was doing great in Wafer Manufacturing Business, then why does it have to consider splitting up?


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>'s revenue outlook for 1Q24F is expected to show a decline of around negative high single digits QoQ.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> aims to receive x86 CPU technology from TSMC 3nm in 1H24F.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> plans to utilize 3nm technology for manufacturing smartphone SoCs in 2H24F, which will narrow the gap with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a>.  </li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)'s revenue outlook for 1Q24F is expected to show a decline of around negative high single digits QoQ.

Intel Corp (INTC US) aims to receive x86 CPU technology from TSMC 3nm in 1H24F.

Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) plans to utilize 3nm technology for manufacturing smartphone SoCs in 2H24F, which will narrow the gap with Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US).  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results</li>
<li>Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade</li>
<li>Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining</li>
</ul>


PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results
Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 10.5% Premium -- Still a Good Level to Short the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: Trading at -1.1% Discount -- Uncompelling, Wait for Deeper Discount</li>
<li>ASE: 8.8% Premium -- Still Wait for Lower Levels Before Going Long</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 10.5% Premium -- Still a Good Level to Short the Spread
UMC: Trading at -1.1% Discount -- Uncompelling, Wait for Deeper Discount
ASE: 8.8% Premium -- Still Wait for Lower Levels Before Going Long


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>It's a greater chance that there will be an upward pickup in 2024F revenue for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a>, but the magnitude is hard to predict in 1H24.  </li>
<li>It is expected the revenue to decline by approximately -5% in 1Q24F.</li>
<li>However, the demand for CoWoS at a corporate level is expected to increase by about 10% in 2024F .</li>
</ul>


It's a greater chance that there will be an upward pickup in 2024F revenue for King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT), but the magnitude is hard to predict in 1H24.  
It is expected the revenue to decline by approximately -5% in 1Q24F.
However, the demand for CoWoS at a corporate level is expected to increase by about 10% in 2024F .


KYEC (2449.TT): The Revenue Outlook Will Be an Upward Pickup in 2024F.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?

Intel's current business model may not meet manufacturing needs, but there is potential for growth in the Intel Foundry Business, raising...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Spreads have generally risen along with the strong end of year...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KYEC (2449.TT): The Revenue Outlook Will Be an Upward Pickup in 2024F.

KYEC is projected to have a potentially positive growth in 2024, with a predicted decline in 1Q24F. However, there is expected to be an increase...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): If Intel Was Split Up, What Impact Will It Have on the Foundry Industry?

​Intel's current business model may not meet manufacturing needs, but there is potential for growth in the Intel Foundry Business, raising...

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

​TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Spreads have generally risen along with the strong end of year...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KYEC (2449.TT): The Revenue Outlook Will Be an Upward Pickup in 2024F.

​KYEC is projected to have a potentially positive growth in 2024, with a predicted decline in 1Q24F. However, there is expected to be an increase...

Patrick Liao

Intel's current business model may not meet manufacturing needs, but there is potential for growth in the Intel Foundry Business, raising...

TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

KYEC is projected to have a potentially positive growth in 2024, with a predicted decline in 1Q24F. However, there is expected to be an increase...