Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) is by far the most dominant stock holding among active EM investors.</li>
<li>TSMC is owned by 87.5% of EM funds with an average weight of 6.1%, it is also the largest portfolio holding for 64.5% of managers.  </li>
<li>Despite high levels of positioning, there are no obvious signs that managers are scaling back positions. The risk of not holding TSMC may be greater than playing the contrarian.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) is by far the most dominant stock holding among active EM investors.
TSMC is owned by 87.5% of EM funds with an average weight of 6.1%, it is also the largest portfolio holding for 64.5% of managers.  
Despite high levels of positioning, there are no obvious signs that managers are scaling back positions. The risk of not holding TSMC may be greater than playing the contrarian.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC is cutting its 2023E capex plans by 12% according to Taiwan's EDN. The company will also report earnings this Thursday.</li>
<li>TSMC suppliers ASML and Lam Research will also be reporting this week. Realtek will report this week as well.</li>
<li>Delta Thailand valuation still precarious relative to Delta Taiwan. Apple has continued to outperform the Quanta &amp; Pegatron pair.</li>
</ul>


TSMC is cutting its 2023E capex plans by 12% according to Taiwan's EDN. The company will also report earnings this Thursday.
TSMC suppliers ASML and Lam Research will also be reporting this week. Realtek will report this week as well.
Delta Thailand valuation still precarious relative to Delta Taiwan. Apple has continued to outperform the Quanta &amp; Pegatron pair.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Cutting Capex, Earnings This Week; Suppliers ASML & Lam Also Will Report

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (A) (300750 CH)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kimberly-clark-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2292:1" rel="noopener">Kimberly Clark (KMB US)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackberry-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25472:1" rel="noopener">BlackBerry Ltd (BB CN)</a></strong> </li>
<li>For the twenty-one weeks since inception ended 14 April the combined innovation portfolio was +3.6%, versus DJIA +0.4%, S&amp;P500 +4.3%, Nasdaq +8.8%, Russell2000 -3.7%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +6.2%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>For the same period the small cap innovation portfolio was up +5.9%, the mid cap portfolio was up +4.4% and the large cap portfolio was up +3.4%</li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are CATL (A) (300750 CH) , Kimberly Clark (KMB US) and BlackBerry Ltd (BB CN) 
For the twenty-one weeks since inception ended 14 April the combined innovation portfolio was +3.6%, versus DJIA +0.4%, S&amp;P500 +4.3%, Nasdaq +8.8%, Russell2000 -3.7%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF +6.2%, all in US$ terms
For the same period the small cap innovation portfolio was up +5.9%, the mid cap portfolio was up +4.4% and the large cap portfolio was up +3.4%


The Innovations Portfolios - Week Twenty One

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>Semiconductor revenues remain in a decline, although that decline has slowed.</li>
<li>Prices appear to have reached cost.  They should follow cost declines until a shortage returns.</li>
<li>The timing of the next shortage is still in question.</li>
</ul>


Semiconductor revenues remain in a decline, although that decline has slowed.
Prices appear to have reached cost.  They should follow cost declines until a shortage returns.
The timing of the next shortage is still in question.


Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

<ul>
<li>Q1 2023 revenue of ~US$16.7 billion was at the bottom end of the guided range </li>
<li>Despite the inauspicious start, Q1 revenue still represents sequential growth of 3.6% year on year.</li>
<li>TSMC's earnings commentary on April 20 next will set the stage for how recovery looks across the broader semiconductor industry</li>
</ul>


Q1 2023 revenue of ~US$16.7 billion was at the bottom end of the guided range 
Despite the inauspicious start, Q1 revenue still represents sequential growth of 3.6% year on year.
TSMC's earnings commentary on April 20 next will set the stage for how recovery looks across the broader semiconductor industry


Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

TSMC: Crowded Trade?

Active EM managers are heavily positioned in TSMC. It is the largest portfolio holding for 64.6% of the funds in our analysis. But is the risk of...

Steven Holden

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Cutting Capex, Earnings This Week; Suppliers ASML & Lam Also Will Report

Delta Thailand valuation still precarious relative to Delta Taiwan. Apple has continued to outperform the Quanta & Pegatron pair.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Innovations Portfolios - Week Twenty One

For the twenty-one weeks since inception ended 14 April the innovation small cap portfolio was up 5.9%, mid cap portfolio was up 4.4% and the large...

Pyari Menon

No Signs of a Chip Recovery

Has the chip downturn ended? No. Is there any sign that it's going to end soon? Again, no. This Insight provides concrete data points to...

Jim Handy

TSMC March Revenue Falls 10.9% MoM

Q1 2023 revenue of ~US$16.7 billion was at the bottom end of the guided range. Despite the inauspicious start, Q1 revenue still represents...

William Keating

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