Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>UMC Results This Week; Insight Into Supply/Demand Environment for More Mature Semiconductor Segments</li>
<li>Nvidia and TSMC Announce Partnership in Silicon Photonics Technology -- Will Enable More Energy-Efficient AI</li>
<li>TSMC 4Q24 Results Signal Multi-Year Market Share Gains; Margin Strength; Sustainable Industry Growth </li>
</ul>


UMC Results This Week; Insight Into Supply/Demand Environment for More Mature Semiconductor Segments
Nvidia and TSMC Announce Partnership in Silicon Photonics Technology -- Will Enable More Energy-Efficient AI
TSMC 4Q24 Results Signal Multi-Year Market Share Gains; Margin Strength; Sustainable Industry Growth 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: UMC Results Ahead; Nvidia & TSMC Partner for Silicon Photonics Technology

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>AI related demand accounted for ~15% of revenue in 2024, i.e. ~$13.5 billion. This is set to double to $27 billion in 2025</li>
<li>5 year growth CAGR of 20%, at the top end of the previously guided 15-20% range</li>
<li>On track for $100 billion revenue in 2025, and most likely, $200 billion by 2030</li>
</ul>


AI related demand accounted for ~15% of revenue in 2024, i.e. ~$13.5 billion. This is set to double to $27 billion in 2025
5 year growth CAGR of 20%, at the top end of the previously guided 15-20% range
On track for $100 billion revenue in 2025, and most likely, $200 billion by 2030


Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Revenue reached USD$26.88 billion (compared to guidance of 26.1-26.9 billion USD) / NTD$868.46 billion  (+14.3% QoQ, +38.8% YoY); Gross margin at 59%,within the guided range of 57-59%.</li>
<li>Revenue expected to be in the range of USD$25-25.8 billion (-5.5% QoQ) impacted by seasonal factors, offset by AI demand. Gross margin: 57-59%.   </li>
<li>AI revenue is expected to double in 2025. With the advancement of AI technologies, the company anticipates mid-40s CAGR for AI accelerators within a five-year period (2024-2029),</li>
</ul>


Revenue reached USD$26.88 billion (compared to guidance of 26.1-26.9 billion USD) / NTD$868.46 billion  (+14.3% QoQ, +38.8% YoY); Gross margin at 59%,within the guided range of 57-59%.
Revenue expected to be in the range of USD$25-25.8 billion (-5.5% QoQ) impacted by seasonal factors, offset by AI demand. Gross margin: 57-59%.   
AI revenue is expected to double in 2025. With the advancement of AI technologies, the company anticipates mid-40s CAGR for AI accelerators within a five-year period (2024-2029),


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q24 Results and 1Q25 Guidance; CoWoS Grows 45% CAGR; Setup of 10 Fabs WW.

<ul>
<li>TSMC 4Q24 Gross Margin Comes In At High End of Range; Profit +57% YoY</li>
<li>TSMC's Latest Strong Capex Guidance is Good News for Industry Sentiment</li>
<li>Long-Term Gross Margins -- Will Recently High Gross Margins Become a "New Normal"?</li>
</ul>


TSMC 4Q24 Gross Margin Comes In At High End of Range; Profit +57% YoY
TSMC's Latest Strong Capex Guidance is Good News for Industry Sentiment
Long-Term Gross Margins -- Will Recently High Gross Margins Become a "New Normal"?


TSMC 4Q24 Results Signal Multi-Year Market Share Gains; Margin Strength; Sustainable Industry Growth

<ul>
<li>TSMC Results Today; Arizona Production of 4nm Started, Yield on Par with Taiwan</li>
<li>TSMC Q424 Earnings Preview, 2025 Outlook &amp; Q125 Look Ahead </li>
<li>Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Convertible Sale; Delta Thailand Should Underperform Vs Parent Co </li>
</ul>


TSMC Results Today; Arizona Production of 4nm Started, Yield on Par with Taiwan
TSMC Q424 Earnings Preview, 2025 Outlook &amp; Q125 Look Ahead 
Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Convertible Sale; Delta Thailand Should Underperform Vs Parent Co 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Results; Earnings Preview; Delta Thailand Convertible

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: UMC Results Ahead; Nvidia & TSMC Partner for Silicon Photonics Technology

UMC will report results this week. Nvidia and TSMC partnership in silicon photonics to tackle AI's high energy problem.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC. The Juggernaut Accelerates!

AI related demand ~15% of revenue in 2024, i.e. ~$13.5 billion. This is set to double to $27 billion in 2025. 5 year growth CAGR 20%, >$100 billion...

William Keating

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q24 Results and 1Q25 Guidance; CoWoS Grows 45% CAGR; Setup of 10 Fabs WW.

Company's revenue exceeded guidance at USD$26.88 billion, with AI revenue expected to double by 2025 and mid-40s CAGR for AI accelerators in the...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Results; Earnings Preview; Delta Thailand Convertible

TSMC results to be released today, with reports that its Arizona production of 4nm chips is matching Taiwan's yield. Will Japan's Rapidus threaten...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

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Taiwan Tech Weekly: UMC Results Ahead; Nvidia & TSMC Partner for Silicon Photonics Technology

​UMC will report results this week. Nvidia and TSMC partnership in silicon photonics to tackle AI's high energy problem.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC. The Juggernaut Accelerates!

AI related demand ~15% of revenue in 2024, i.e. ~$13.5 billion. This is set to double to $27 billion in 2025. 5 year growth CAGR 20%, >$100 billion...

William Keating

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q24 Results and 1Q25 Guidance; CoWoS Grows 45% CAGR; Setup of 10 Fabs WW.

​Company's revenue exceeded guidance at USD$26.88 billion, with AI revenue expected to double by 2025 and mid-40s CAGR for AI accelerators in the...

Patrick Liao

TSMC 4Q24 Results Signal Multi-Year Market Share Gains; Margin Strength; Sustainable Industry Growth

​TSMC's strong 4Q24 performance and capex guidance suggest a positive outlook for the industry. We delve into key factors signaling why TSMC's...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Results; Earnings Preview; Delta Thailand Convertible

​TSMC results to be released today, with reports that its Arizona production of 4nm chips is matching Taiwan's yield. Will Japan's Rapidus threaten...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

UMC will report results this week. Nvidia and TSMC partnership in silicon photonics to tackle AI's high energy problem.

Company's revenue exceeded guidance at USD$26.88 billion, with AI revenue expected to double by 2025 and mid-40s CAGR for AI accelerators in the...

TSMC's strong 4Q24 performance and capex guidance suggest a positive outlook for the industry. We delve into key factors signaling why TSMC's...

TSMC results to be released today, with reports that its Arizona production of 4nm chips is matching Taiwan's yield. Will Japan's Rapidus threaten...