Specialist in Indian Banking and Economic Research

Hemindra Hazari

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for October 2016 was announced on the evening of December 9, 2016. As against the consensus expectation of 1% yoy growth, the IIP contracted by 1.9%. While the continuous collapse of capital goods production has been consistently highlighted by the analysts and media, the significance of the poor performance of the higher weightage consumer non-durable (staples) has been largely ignored. While capital goods tends to be glamourous as it is directly…

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for October 2016 was announced on the evening of December 9, 2016. As against the consensus expectation of 1% yoy growth, the IIP contracted by 1.9%. While the continuous collapse of capital goods production has been consistently highlighted by the analysts and media, the significance of the poor performance of the higher weightage consumer non-durable (staples) has been largely ignored. While capital goods tends to be glamourous as it is directly…

Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and substitute the notes with new INR500 and INR2000 notes. The move has been applauded by international observers who have for years condemned India's blind eye towards its 'black economy'. However, in India, the demonetization exercise has gained little popularity as the logistical challenges in replacing the ineffectual cash is significantly disrupting…

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and substitute the notes with new INR500 and INR2000 notes. The move has been applauded by international observers who have for years condemned India's blind eye towards its 'black economy'. However, in India, the demonetization exercise has gained little popularity as the logistical challenges in replacing the ineffectual cash is significantly disrupting…

Negative Impact of India's Demonetization Not to Be Underestimated

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 6.1% y-o-y in July 2016 compared to a 5.8% y-o-y rise in June 2016– the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a sharp rise in food prices, especially vegetables and pulses. Inflation has moved up since reaching a low of 4.9% y-o-y in March 2016 and has averaged 5.9% over the 3-month period ended July 2016.Meanwhile, at 6.1%, India’s CPI inflation lies beyond the RBI’s target band of 2-6%, this after two years of…

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 6.1% y-o-y in July 2016 compared to a 5.8% y-o-y rise in June 2016– the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a sharp rise in food prices, especially vegetables and pulses. Inflation has moved up since reaching a low of 4.9% y-o-y in March 2016 and has averaged 5.9% over the 3-month period ended July 2016.Meanwhile, at 6.1%, India’s CPI inflation lies beyond the RBI’s target band of 2-6%, this after two years of…

INDIA: Reserve Bank of India's Inflation Targeting Regime Fails to Curb Inflation

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 5.8% in June 2016, similar to the rise recorded in May 2016 – the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a significant rise in food prices, especially vegetables.Food prices increased 7.8% y-o-y in June 2016 compared to a 7.5% y-o-y rise in May 2016. The percentage point contribution of food &amp; beverages inflation to overall inflation increased from 3.4% in May 2016 to 3.5% in June 2016. This was largely due to a…

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 5.8% in June 2016, similar to the rise recorded in May 2016 – the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a significant rise in food prices, especially vegetables.Food prices increased 7.8% y-o-y in June 2016 compared to a 7.5% y-o-y rise in May 2016. The percentage point contribution of food &amp; beverages inflation to overall inflation increased from 3.4% in May 2016 to 3.5% in June 2016. This was largely due to a…

INDIA: CPI Inflation at 22 Month High – Rate Cut Unlikely

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation increased to 5.4% y-o-y in April 2016 compared to a 4.8% y-o-y rise in March 2016. Inflation was driven higher mainly by price increases in food and transportation.Food prices increased 6.3% y-o-y in April 2016, compared to a 5.2% y-o-y rise in March 2016. The contribution of food prices to overall inflation increased from 2.4% in March 2016 to 2.9% in April 2016. This was largely due to a sharp jump in vegetable prices that increased 5.0% y-o-y in April…

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation increased to 5.4% y-o-y in April 2016 compared to a 4.8% y-o-y rise in March 2016. Inflation was driven higher mainly by price increases in food and transportation.Food prices increased 6.3% y-o-y in April 2016, compared to a 5.2% y-o-y rise in March 2016. The contribution of food prices to overall inflation increased from 2.4% in March 2016 to 2.9% in April 2016. This was largely due to a sharp jump in vegetable prices that increased 5.0% y-o-y in April…

India: Consumer Price Index Inflation Back Above 5.0%

India

Tata Consumer Products Limited produces food and beverage products. The Company manufactures, sells, and exports tea, coffee, salt, oil, pulses, spices, and food products. Tata Consumer Products serves customers worldwide.

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Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN)

Bleak Future for Consumer Staples

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for October 2016 was announced on the evening of December 9, 2016. As against the consensus expectation of...

Hemindra Hazari

Negative Impact of India's Demonetization Not to Be Underestimated

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and...

Manu Bhaskaran

INDIA: Reserve Bank of India's Inflation Targeting Regime Fails to Curb Inflation

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 6.1% y-o-y in July 2016 compared to a 5.8% y-o-y rise in June 2016– the highest rate since August...

Rajan Govil

INDIA: CPI Inflation at 22 Month High – Rate Cut Unlikely

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 5.8% in June 2016, similar to the rise recorded in May 2016 – the highest rate since August 2014....

Rajan Govil

India: Consumer Price Index Inflation Back Above 5.0%

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation increased to 5.4% y-o-y in April 2016 compared to a 4.8% y-o-y rise in March 2016. Inflation was driven higher...

Rajan Govil

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