Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI ACWI index ACWI-US briefly fell below major support at $90.50-$91.50, though we do not consider it a "decisive" breakdown and we now see a false breakdown (bullish).</li>
<li>On MSCI ACWI (local currency), a false breakdown appears to already be in place, which is bullish as long as the index does not break to a new low.</li>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to hold above $36.50-$37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) remain above supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively. Pullback is likely over.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI ACWI index ACWI-US briefly fell below major support at $90.50-$91.50, though we do not consider it a "decisive" breakdown and we now see a false breakdown (bullish).
On MSCI ACWI (local currency), a false breakdown appears to already be in place, which is bullish as long as the index does not break to a new low.
MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to hold above $36.50-$37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) remain above supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively. Pullback is likely over.


Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>N. Chandrasekaran will complete his current term but not seek reappointment after 20 February 2027, ending a decade at Tata Sons.</li>
<li>His tenure moved Tata from repair and simplification toward coordinated bets across EVs, aviation, electronics, semiconductors, batteries, defence and digital platforms.</li>
<li>The next chairman inherits stronger operating companies, but must prove continuity and capital discipline across Tata’s cash-hungry, long-gestation new businesses.</li>
</ul>


N. Chandrasekaran will complete his current term but not seek reappointment after 20 February 2027, ending a decade at Tata Sons.
His tenure moved Tata from repair and simplification toward coordinated bets across EVs, aviation, electronics, semiconductors, batteries, defence and digital platforms.
The next chairman inherits stronger operating companies, but must prove continuity and capital discipline across Tata’s cash-hungry, long-gestation new businesses.


The Chandra Decade at Tata: From Balance-Sheet Repair to India’s New Industrial Stack

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd (8140044Z IN)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-agarwal-s-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43984:1" rel="noopener">Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd (8140044Z IN)</a> raised around US$350m in its India IPO in Jan 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Dr Agarwal’s Health Care is a healthcare/hospital chain in India providing eyecare services, including surgeries; consultations, diagnoses, non-surgical treatments; and sells opticals, contact lens, accessories and eyecare related pharmaceutical products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Dr Agarwal's Health Care Ltd (8140044Z IN) raised around US$350m in its India IPO in Jan 2025. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Dr Agarwal’s Health Care is a healthcare/hospital chain in India providing eyecare services, including surgeries; consultations, diagnoses, non-surgical treatments; and sells opticals, contact lens, accessories and eyecare related pharmaceutical products.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Dr Agarwal’s Health Care IPO Lockup - US$725m Lockup Release; PE Investors May Look to Cash Out

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Milky Mist Dairy Food / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight we discuss why <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/milky-mist-dairy-food-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45619:1" rel="noopener">Milky Mist Dairy Food Ltd (1023949D IN)</a> is different from its peers.</li>
<li>We discuss contours of the IPO and compare its valuation with peers in the industry.</li>
<li>Finally, we conclude by sharing our view on this IPO.</li>
</ul>


In this insight we discuss why Milky Mist Dairy Food Ltd (1023949D IN) is different from its peers.
We discuss contours of the IPO and compare its valuation with peers in the industry.
Finally, we conclude by sharing our view on this IPO.


Equity Bottom-Up

Tata Investment Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

Tata Investment Corporation (TATAINVE IN)

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss about the holdco structure of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-investment-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6308:1" rel="noopener">Tata Investment Corp (TICL IN)</a> </li>
<li>Further, we highlight how the holdco discount has burned away in recent years and what were the reasons.</li>
<li>Finally, we discuss about the implications that a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-sons-private-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25999:1" rel="noopener">Tata Sons Private Ltd (47588Z IN)</a> listing could have on the company.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss about the holdco structure of Tata Investment Corp (TICL IN) 
Further, we highlight how the holdco discount has burned away in recent years and what were the reasons.
Finally, we discuss about the implications that a Tata Sons Private Ltd (47588Z IN) listing could have on the company.


Holdco Series: Tata Investment Corporation Ltd- The Discount That Burned Away

India

Tata Consumer Products Limited produces food and beverage products. The Company manufactures, sells, and exports tea, coffee, salt, oil, pulses, spices, and food products. Tata Consumer Products serves customers worldwide.

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Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN)

Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...

Vermilion Research

The Chandra Decade at Tata: From Balance-Sheet Repair to India’s New Industrial Stack

N. Chandrasekaran will step down as Tata Sons chairman in 2027 after a decade of steering the company towards coordinated bets in various industries.

Nimish Maheshwari

Dr Agarwal’s Health Care IPO Lockup - US$725m Lockup Release; PE Investors May Look to Cash Out

TPG and Temasek are selling part of their stakes , around 11% of Dr Agarwal Health Care's existing share capital, to raise around US$183m, at a...

Akshat Shah

Milky Mist Dairy Food IPO - First Cut

Insight on Milky Mist Dairy Food Ltd's unique qualities, IPO details, valuation comparison with peers, and view on the IPO.

Sreemant Dudhoria

Holdco Series: Tata Investment Corporation Ltd- The Discount That Burned Away

Tata investment takes off. The Reserve Bank of India on August 6 retained Tata Sons in the Upper Layer NBFC list. To avoid a listing, Tata Sons...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

​The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...

Vermilion Research

The Chandra Decade at Tata: From Balance-Sheet Repair to India’s New Industrial Stack

​N. Chandrasekaran will step down as Tata Sons chairman in 2027 after a decade of steering the company towards coordinated bets in various industries.

Nimish Maheshwari

Dr Agarwal’s Health Care IPO Lockup - US$725m Lockup Release; PE Investors May Look to Cash Out

TPG and Temasek are selling part of their stakes , around 11% of Dr Agarwal Health Care's existing share capital, to raise around US$183m, at a...

Akshat Shah

Milky Mist Dairy Food IPO - First Cut

​Insight on Milky Mist Dairy Food Ltd's unique qualities, IPO details, valuation comparison with peers, and view on the IPO.

Sreemant Dudhoria

Holdco Series: Tata Investment Corporation Ltd- The Discount That Burned Away

Tata investment takes off. The Reserve Bank of India on August 6 retained Tata Sons in the Upper Layer NBFC list. To avoid a listing, Tata Sons...

Sreemant Dudhoria

The MSCI $ACWI briefly fell below our $90.50 support but quickly reclaimed, suggesting a false breakdown and the likely end to this pullback in...

N. Chandrasekaran will step down as Tata Sons chairman in 2027 after a decade of steering the company towards coordinated bets in various industries.

Insight on Milky Mist Dairy Food Ltd's unique qualities, IPO details, valuation comparison with peers, and view on the IPO.