Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Tata Motors’ Q1/22-23 results continued to be weaker than expected as well as guided, mainly due to the weakness in Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), which more than offset Tata Motors India's reasonable performance. Gross leverage remained almost stable, given the small increase in debt and minimal decline in EBITDA. However, net leverage deteriorated significantly, due to the increase in net debt. Liquidity is adequate. The debt maturity profiles for both JLR and Tata Motors India are evenly spaced out. Despite management's consistent guidance and hints at an improvement in the situation, retail sales continued to be materially lower on a y-o-y basis (albeit relatively flat q-o-q). We expect the semiconductor shortage to persist for at least another 18 months. The industry will need to rebuild the chip and component supply chains, which could take time. Thus, we have a cautious view on management’s persistent optimism.

  Tata Motors’ Q1/22-23 results continued to be weaker than expected as well as guided, mainly due to the weakness in Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), which more than offset Tata Motors India's reasonable performance. Gross leverage remained almost stable, given the small increase in debt and minimal decline in EBITDA. However, net leverage deteriorated significantly, due to the increase in net debt. Liquidity is adequate. The debt maturity profiles for both JLR and Tata Motors India are evenly spaced out.   Despite management's consistent guidance and hints at an improvement in the situation, retail sales continued to be materially lower on a y-o-y basis (albeit relatively flat q-o-q). We expect the semiconductor shortage to persist for at least another 18 months. The industry will need to rebuild the chip and component supply chains, which could take time. Thus, we have a cautious view on management’s persistent optimism. 

Tata Motors - Earnings Flash - Q1 FY 2022-23 Results - Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-2036'>Central China Securities</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8205'>China South City</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-12763'>Tata Motors ADR</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Central China SecuritiesChina South CityTata Motors ADR

Morning Views Asia: Central China Securities, China South City, Tata Motors ADR

The Asia HY Trade Book for July 2022 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia (ex-Japan) HY and crossover credits.

  The Asia HY Trade Book for July 2022 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia (ex-Japan) HY and crossover credits. 

Asia HY Trade Book - July 2022 - Lucror Analytics

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>With green shoots in the underlying PV and CV segments, the Indian vehicle financing disbursals (FY22: ~US$ 42bn) is poised to ride a secular 15%+ CAGR over the next 4 years</li><li>New PV financing (US$ 20bn; +17% CAGR) is benefitting from rising premiumisation; yet remains thin on profitability due to elevated competitive intensity, especially in salaried class</li><li>Used car financing (US$ 4bn; +32% CAGR) is emerging as a sunrise sector, offering potential for high growth as well as high profitability (&gt;2% ROA), benefitting from rising formalisation and increasing finance penetration</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With green shoots in the underlying PV and CV segments, the Indian vehicle financing disbursals (FY22: ~US$ 42bn) is poised to ride a secular 15%+ CAGR over the next 4 yearsNew PV financing (US$ 20bn; +17% CAGR) is benefitting from rising premiumisation; yet remains thin on profitability due to elevated competitive intensity, especially in salaried classUsed car financing (US$ 4bn; +32% CAGR) is emerging as a sunrise sector, offering potential for high growth as well as high profitability (&gt;2% ROA), benefitting from rising formalisation and increasing finance penetrationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Vehicle Financing - Secular Opportunity Meets Cyclical Tailwinds

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Metropolis Healthcare Limited / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the December 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>SENSEX and BSE 100 could both see one index change each. There could be multiple ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 and BSE 500 indices.</li>
<li>There are several trading opportunities with interesting potential index flow dynamics.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, 200, and 500 Indices in the December 2022 Rebalance.
SENSEX and BSE 100 could both see one index change each. There could be multiple ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 and BSE 500 indices.
There are several trading opportunities with interesting potential index flow dynamics.


S&P BSE Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 2022: Some More Interesting LONG-SHORT Pairs

India

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited provides cars and commercial vehicles. The Company designs, manufactures, and sells fossil fuel and electric cars, as well as heavy, medium, and small commercial vehicles including trucks, tankers, vans, buses, ambulances, and mini-buses. Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV IN)

Tata Motors - Earnings Flash - Q1 FY 2022-23 Results - Lucror Analytics

Tata Motors’ Q1/22-23 results continued to be weaker than expected as well as guided, mainly due to the weakness in Jaguar Land Rover (JLR),...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Central China Securities, China South City, Tata Motors ADR

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Book - July 2022 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Book for July 2022 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features...

Lucror Analytics

Vehicle Financing - Secular Opportunity Meets Cyclical Tailwinds

With green shoots in the underlying PV and CV segments, the Indian vehicle financing disbursals (FY22: ~US$ 42bn) is poised to ride a secular 15%+...

HDFC Securities

S&P BSE Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 2022: Some More Interesting LONG-SHORT Pairs

Tata Motors Ltd could be added to SENSEX and Dr. Reddy's Laboratories could be deleted. Adani Total Gas could get deleted from BSE 100 for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)