Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h3>About The Narrative</h3>
Earnings conference calls are important sources that aid us in the identification of potential catalysts and drivers of stock returns. Every quarter we go through these transcripts and connect them with primary research with the objective of assessing on-ground reality against management commentary. 
The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland (AL IN)</a>.
We have separated the quotes to highlight Business Performance and Demand Environment, Consumer Behaviour and Profile, Commodity Inflation, Discounts &amp; Margins, Inventory, New Products / EV / Hybrid,  Exports, Outlook.

About The Narrative
Earnings conference calls are important sources that aid us in the identification of potential catalysts and drivers of stock returns. Every quarter we go through these transcripts and connect them with primary research with the objective of assessing on-ground reality against management commentary. 
The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN) / Eicher Motors (EIM IN) / Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) / Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) / Ashok Leyland (AL IN).
We have separated the quotes to highlight Business Performance and Demand Environment, Consumer Behaviour and Profile, Commodity Inflation, Discounts &amp; Margins, Inventory, New Products / EV / Hybrid,  Exports, Outlook.

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India 4Ws - Maruti, Eicher, Tata Motors, Mahindra, Ashok Leyland

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles / Equity Bottom-Up

strong recovery/ traction in JLR/India businesses from 3QFY22E onwards. We have lowered our FY22E/FY23E EPS estimate by PTL/8% to account for the lost sales due to the ongoing semiconductor shortage as well as higher competitive intensity in the CV business. We maintain our Buy rating with a TP of INR565/share (Sep'23E SoTP-based). Mix dilutes operating deleverage impact; working capital hurts cash flows Consolidated revenue/EBITDA grew by ~15%/-29% YoY in 2QFY22 to INR614b/INR40.5b (est. INR606b/INR42b).<div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

strong recovery/ traction in JLR/India businesses from 3QFY22E onwards. We have lowered our FY22E/FY23E EPS estimate by PTL/8% to account for the lost sales due to the ongoing semiconductor shortage as well as higher competitive intensity in the CV business. We maintain our Buy rating with a TP of INR565/share (Sep'23E SoTP-based). Mix dilutes operating deleverage impact; working capital hurts cash flows Consolidated revenue/EBITDA grew by ~15%/-29% YoY in 2QFY22 to INR614b/INR40.5b (est. INR606b/INR42b).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Below our estimate; JLR beat led by mix, India misses

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

In our view, Tata Motors’ Q2/21-22 results were weaker than expected due to the industrywide chip shortage which affected Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), the group's key profit generator. At the same time, Tata Motors India's performance exceeded expectations, with significantly improved volumes, revenue and profitability. Leverage and coverage ratios were little changed. Liquidity is adequate, especially for JLR, which has substantial cash and an undrawn credit facility.

  In our view, Tata Motors’ Q2/21-22 results were weaker than expected due to the industrywide chip shortage which affected Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), the group's key profit generator. At the same time, Tata Motors India's performance exceeded expectations, with significantly improved volumes, revenue and profitability. Leverage and coverage ratios were little changed. Liquidity is adequate, especially for JLR, which has substantial cash and an undrawn credit facility. 

Tata Motors - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2021-22 Results - Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

In this month’s "In-Focus" section, we discuss the crisis of confidence in the Chinese property sector. The current situation was precipitated by a series of events, beginning with the introduction of the Three Red Lines policy in 2020. We also provide an overview of recent bond defaults. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus" section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  In this month’s "In-Focus" section, we discuss the crisis of confidence in the Chinese property sector. The current situation was precipitated by a series of events, beginning with the introduction of the Three Red Lines policy in 2020. We also provide an overview of recent bond defaults.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus" section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Chinese Property - Crisis Of Confidence - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for October 2021 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for October 2021 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - October 2021 - Lucror Analytics

India

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited provides cars and commercial vehicles. The Company designs, manufactures, and sells fossil fuel and electric cars, as well as heavy, medium, and small commercial vehicles including trucks, tankers, vans, buses, ambulances, and mini-buses. Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles serves customers worldwide.

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Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV IN)

The Narrative | Q2 FY22 | India 4Ws - Maruti, Eicher, Tata Motors, Mahindra, Ashok Leyland

The edition focuses on key quotes from the earnings transcripts of Maruti Suzuki / Eicher Motors / Tata Motors Ltd / Mahindra & Mahindra / Ashok...

Pranav Bhavsar

Below our estimate; JLR beat led by mix, India misses

strong recovery/ traction in JLR/India businesses from 3QFY22E onwards. We have lowered our FY22E/FY23E EPS estimate by PTL/8% to account for the...

Motilal Oswal

Tata Motors - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2021-22 Results - Lucror Analytics

In our view, Tata Motors’ Q2/21-22 results were weaker than expected due to the industrywide chip shortage which affected Jaguar Land Rover...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Chinese Property - Crisis Of Confidence - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s "In-Focus" section, we discuss the crisis of confidence in the Chinese property sector. The current situation was precipitated by...

Lucror Analytics

Europe HY Trade Book - October 2021 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for October 2021 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

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