Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>EM equities remain long-term leadership despite giving up some ground over the last month to developed markets. Given the intact relative strength uptrend, we reiterate our overweight EM recommendation. Energy and Health Care stocks are outperforming and remain attractive. Technology is consolidating and we would use recent weakness as a buying opportunity. Today’s report includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.</p>

EM equities remain long-term leadership despite giving up some ground over the last month to developed markets. Given the intact relative strength uptrend, we reiterate our overweight EM recommendation. Energy and Health Care stocks are outperforming and remain attractive. Technology is consolidating and we would use recent weakness as a buying opportunity. Today’s report includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

EM Strategy: Overweight Technology, Energy, and Health Care.

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<p>In this report, we highlight how Russia has taken over from India as the largest overweight country holding among global emerging market fund managers.  Although still a key country position, India has witnessed a certain degree of investor flight after the election euphoria of 2014/15, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/768" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:768:1">Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/216" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17910" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17910:1">Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)</a> coming under pressure.  Opposing this is a renewed interest in Russia, with fund managers willing to allocate significantly more than the benchmark MSCI EM Index.  Key stocks have been <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/24142" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24142:1">Sberbank of Russia PJSC (SBER LI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/25278" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25278:1">X5 Retail Group NV (FIVE LI)</a></p>

In this report, we highlight how Russia has taken over from India as the largest overweight country holding among global emerging market fund managers.  Although still a key country position, India has witnessed a certain degree of investor flight after the election euphoria of 2014/15, with Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN), Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) and Lupin Ltd (LPC IN) coming under pressure.  Opposing this is a renewed interest in Russia, with fund managers willing to allocate significantly more than the benchmark MSCI EM Index.  Key stocks have been Sberbank of Russia PJSC (SBER LI) and X5 Retail Group NV (FIVE LI)

Russia Replaces India as Top EM Overweight

Russia

Tatneft PJSC explores for, produces, refines, and markets crude oil. The Company operates a chain of retail gasoline filling stations, and exports some of its petrochemical products to former Soviet Union countries and Europe.

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Tatneft PJSC (ATAD LI)

EM Strategy: Overweight Technology, Energy, and Health Care.

EM equities remain long-term leadership despite giving up some ground over the last month to developed markets. Given the intact relative strength...

Vermilion Research

Russia Replaces India as Top EM Overweight

In this report, we highlight how Russia has taken over from India as the largest overweight country holding among global emerging market fund...

Steven Holden

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