Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Calmness returned to pockets of cross asset markets last week. </li><li>The long end of the US yield curve got off its highs, crude got back under USD 90 and equities are left as the only truly hurt asset with SPX dipping under 5k for the first time since Feb. </li><li>Month-to-date, Energy remains the only sector in green, underlining what we have been saying since the inception of this newsletter</li></ul>

Calmness returned to pockets of cross asset markets last week. The long end of the US yield curve got off its highs, crude got back under USD 90 and equities are left as the only truly hurt asset with SPX dipping under 5k for the first time since Feb. Month-to-date, Energy remains the only sector in green, underlining what we have been saying since the inception of this newsletter

Energy Cable: Inflation starting to bite equities

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst, Pennock Idea Hub

Cam Hui

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst

Pennock Idea Hub

We are creators of independent equity research. The Pennock Idea Hub team are veterans of the investment industry. Much of our team has spent their careers at Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets and Wood Gundy. We have taken every aspect of research back to the studs and returned to first principles. The Pennock Idea Hub marries the interests of the sell and buy side. 

We offer the best research for institutional investors by:

-Only publishing research from veteran analysts
-Eliminate the inherent conflicts of the traditional sell and buy side relationship
-Ensure our team is always accessible; collaboration with clients nurtures our collective success

Cross-Asset & Quantitative Research

Technical Analysis

Technology Select Sector SPDR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Nvidia blew the doors off Street expectations last week, but the market reacted with semiconductor stocks turning red on the day. Is the relief rally over?</li>
<li>We conclude from our review of technical conditions that while breadth indicators argue for a deeper correction, that day may not have arrived just yet.</li>
<li>Sentiment is too bearish and should put a floor on stock prices in the short term. The relief rally probably has further room to run.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia blew the doors off Street expectations last week, but the market reacted with semiconductor stocks turning red on the day. Is the relief rally over?
We conclude from our review of technical conditions that while breadth indicators argue for a deeper correction, that day may not have arrived just yet.
Sentiment is too bearish and should put a floor on stock prices in the short term. The relief rally probably has further room to run.


<ul>
<li>The adoption of AI promises to be highly disruptive and has to potential to improve profitability of companies that adopt the technology.</li>
<li>It faces regulatory hurdles and risk-pricing challenges as insurance companies learn to price AI risk, but those problems are a few years away.</li>
<li>In the near term, the technology rally appears extended and may need a breather.</li>
</ul>


The adoption of AI promises to be highly disruptive and has to potential to improve profitability of companies that adopt the technology.
It faces regulatory hurdles and risk-pricing challenges as insurance companies learn to price AI risk, but those problems are a few years away.
In the near term, the technology rally appears extended and may need a breather.


<ul>
<li>Can the AI frenzy, which appears to be in its early stages, carry the stock market to a new bull? An academic study indicates that's the wrong question to ask.</li>
<li>The right question is to determine whether we are in an equity bull so that AI stocks can take advantage of the bull trend. Breadth needs to broaden out.</li>
<li>The other and more conventional explanation of market structure is an unhealthy advance against a backdrop of a market that’s positioning for a recession.</li>
</ul>


Can the AI frenzy, which appears to be in its early stages, carry the stock market to a new bull? An academic study indicates that's the wrong question to ask.
The right question is to determine whether we are in an equity bull so that AI stocks can take advantage of the bull trend. Breadth needs to broaden out.
The other and more conventional explanation of market structure is an unhealthy advance against a backdrop of a market that’s positioning for a recession.


Can AI Stocks Lead the Market to a New Bull?

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Hi everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning / sentiment overview, which will be delivered to you right as firefighters have hopefully put out the fire at the old exchange building in Copenhagen..</li><li>Markets have started the week off where they left last week, with the USD wrecking ball continuing to prevail, posing headwinds for equity and fixed income markets as Fed pricing has more or less turned upside down lately.</li><li>We generally positioned for this repricing of USD fixed income, but were caught wrongfooted in a few trades along the way admittedly.</li></ul>

Hi everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning / sentiment overview, which will be delivered to you right as firefighters have hopefully put out the fire at the old exchange building in Copenhagen..Markets have started the week off where they left last week, with the USD wrecking ball continuing to prevail, posing headwinds for equity and fixed income markets as Fed pricing has more or less turned upside down lately.We generally positioned for this repricing of USD fixed income, but were caught wrongfooted in a few trades along the way admittedly.

Positioning Watch – Volatility Is Back, but Markets Still Lean into USD Duration.. God Knows Why..

United States

Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the performance of The Technology Select Sector Index. The ETF holds large and mid-cap technology stocks. Its largest investment allocation is in the United States. The ETF weights the holdings using a market capitalization methodology.

Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)

Energy Cable: Inflation starting to bite equities

Hi everyone and welcome to this week’s energy cable from a sunny and cold Copenhagen. If you haven’t yet, I’ll recommend that you read our update...

Steno Research

Is the Relief Rally Over?

Nvidia blew the doors off Street expectations last week, but the market reacted with semiconductor stocks turning red on the day. Is the relief...

Cam Hui

A Focus on AI and Technology Stocks

The adoption of AI promises to be highly disruptive and has to potential to improve profitability, bu faces regulatory hurdles and risk-pricing...

Cam Hui

Can AI Stocks Lead the Market to a New Bull?

Can the AI frenzy, which appears to be in its early stages, carry the stock market to a new bull? An academic study indicates that's the wrong...

Cam Hui

Positioning Watch – Volatility Is Back, but Markets Still Lean into USD Duration.. God Knows Why..

Hi everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning / sentiment overview, which will be delivered to you right as firefighters have hopefully...

Steno Research