Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the EURO STOXX 50, as discussed April 18</li>
<li>Discussed last Thursday(4/18/24) how further downside may be limited with these indexes 4-5% off their highs, combined with ACWI-US testing gap support ($105) and the EURO STOXX50 testing 6-month uptrend. </li>
<li>So far, these supports have held strong, and Japan's TOPIX has also held strong above 2615 support -- with all producing strong bounces far this week.</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the EURO STOXX 50, as discussed April 18
Discussed last Thursday(4/18/24) how further downside may be limited with these indexes 4-5% off their highs, combined with ACWI-US testing gap support ($105) and the EURO STOXX50 testing 6-month uptrend. 
So far, these supports have held strong, and Japan's TOPIX has also held strong above 2615 support -- with all producing strong bounces far this week.


Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With US inflation figures higher than expectations, there is an increase in risk that the Fed's next move may be a hike.  Some HSI constituents are set to benefit.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK),</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> have significant USD net cash position and will be gainers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> have large China operations but they are net long on USD balance and this will make them beneficiaries.</li>
</ul>


With US inflation figures higher than expectations, there is an increase in risk that the Fed's next move may be a hike.  Some HSI constituents are set to benefit.

Orient Overseas International (316 HK), Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) have significant USD net cash position and will be gainers.

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) have large China operations but they are net long on USD balance and this will make them beneficiaries.


HK Strategy: What Are the Winners if US Hike Rates Instead of Cut?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 12th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), Zhaojin Mining (1818 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 12th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), Zhaojin Mining (1818 HK).


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Meituan, Zhaojin Mining

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 15th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Techtronic Ind, Zijin Mining, Innovent Bio, Kuaishou, Pacific Basin, Citic Sec, Link Reit, CKI.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 15th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Techtronic Ind, Zijin Mining, Innovent Bio, Kuaishou, Pacific Basin, Citic Sec, Link Reit, CKI.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Techtronic Ind, Zijin Mining, Innovent Bio, Kuaishou, Pacific Basin

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

Hong Kong

Techtronic Industries Company Limited designs, manufactures, and markets power tools, outdoor power equipment, accessories, hand tools, layout and measuring tools, and floorcare and appliances. The Company's products are used by consumers, professional, and industrial users in the home improvement, repair, and construction industries.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Techtronic Industries (669 HK)

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

Upgrading Europe to Overweight EURO $STOXX 50 $FEZ; Supports Holding on MSCI $ACWI, $ACWX, $EFA, and $EEM. Latest 4-6% pullback remains healthy...

Vermilion Research

HK Strategy: What Are the Winners if US Hike Rates Instead of Cut?

HSI constituents like Orient Overseas, Budweiser Brewing, Galaxy Entertainment, Sunny Optical, and Haier Smart Home are set to gain in case the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Meituan, Zhaojin Mining

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 12th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Meituan, Zhaojin...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Techtronic Ind, Zijin Mining, Innovent Bio, Kuaishou, Pacific Basin

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 15th and highlight short interest changes in Techtronic Ind, Zijin...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

Upgrading Europe to Overweight EURO $STOXX 50 $FEZ; Supports Holding on MSCI $ACWI, $ACWX, $EFA, and $EEM. Latest 4-6% pullback remains healthy...

Vermilion Research

HK Strategy: What Are the Winners if US Hike Rates Instead of Cut?

​HSI constituents like Orient Overseas, Budweiser Brewing, Galaxy Entertainment, Sunny Optical, and Haier Smart Home are set to gain in case the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Meituan, Zhaojin Mining

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 12th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Meituan, Zhaojin...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Techtronic Ind, Zijin Mining, Innovent Bio, Kuaishou, Pacific Basin

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 15th and highlight short interest changes in Techtronic Ind, Zijin...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI constituents like Orient Overseas, Budweiser Brewing, Galaxy Entertainment, Sunny Optical, and Haier Smart Home are set to gain in case the...