External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tencent reported 1Q23 financial results on 17 May.</li><li>Total revenue was up by 11% YoY to RMB150.0bn in 1Q23, in line with consensus/CMBI estimates of RMB146/148bn.</li><li>Non-IFRS operating income grew by 32% YoY to RMB48.4bn in 1Q23 and beat consensus estimate by 13%, boosted by the reaccelerating top-line growth, expanding GPM and operating leverage. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Tencent reported 1Q23 financial results on 17 May.Total revenue was up by 11% YoY to RMB150.0bn in 1Q23, in line with consensus/CMBI estimates of RMB146/148bn.Non-IFRS operating income grew by 32% YoY to RMB48.4bn in 1Q23 and beat consensus estimate by 13%, boosted by the reaccelerating top-line growth, expanding GPM and operating leverage. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent  (700 HK) – Solid Recovery Across All Business Lines

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s online game market revenue declined by 15% YoY but increased by 16% QoQ to RMB67.5bn in 1Q23, according to CNG.</li><li>We saw an early recovering sign in March 2023, with monthly game market revenue down by only 3% YoY (versus -23%/17% YoY in Feb/Jan), thanks to more quality game launches.</li><li>Looking ahead, we are positive that online game market revenue will recover to positive YoY growth in 2Q23E, supported by the normalisation of game license approval and the launch of highly-anticipated titles like Tencent’s Metal Slug: Awakening and miHoYo’s Honkai: Star Rail. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

China’s online game market revenue declined by 15% YoY but increased by 16% QoQ to RMB67.5bn in 1Q23, according to CNG.We saw an early recovering sign in March 2023, with monthly game market revenue down by only 3% YoY (versus -23%/17% YoY in Feb/Jan), thanks to more quality game launches.Looking ahead, we are positive that online game market revenue will recover to positive YoY growth in 2Q23E, supported by the normalisation of game license approval and the launch of highly-anticipated titles like Tencent’s Metal Slug: Awakening and miHoYo’s Honkai: Star Rail. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – 1Q23 online game market recap

<ul><li>Revenue of China’s online game market decreased by 23% YoY to RMB21.6bn in Feb 2023 per CNG, as new games were yet to make meaningful revenue contribution, and 2022 Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday fell in February whilst it took place in January in 2023, which led to a tougher comp.</li><li>Smoothing out CNY impact, 2M23 online games market revenue was down 20% YoY.</li><li>As game license approval resumed, many highly anticipated game titles are lined up for launch and will lead industry recovery from 2Q23 onwards, in our view. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Revenue of China’s online game market decreased by 23% YoY to RMB21.6bn in Feb 2023 per CNG, as new games were yet to make meaningful revenue contribution, and 2022 Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday fell in February whilst it took place in January in 2023, which led to a tougher comp.Smoothing out CNY impact, 2M23 online games market revenue was down 20% YoY.As game license approval resumed, many highly anticipated game titles are lined up for launch and will lead industry recovery from 2Q23 onwards, in our view. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – February online game market recap

<ul><li>Tencent reported 4Q22 results on 22 March: total revenue grew by 1% YoY to RMB145bn, inline with consensus/CMBI estimates.</li><li>FY22 total revenue declined 1% YoY to RMB554.6bn. Non-IFRS net income grew by 19% YoY to RMB29.7bn in 4Q22, versus consensus/CMBI estimate of RMB30.8/30.2bn.</li><li>The earnings growth was mainly due to enhanced operating efficiency and lowbase effect. Full-year non-IFRS net income was down 7% YoY to RMB115.6bn in FY22. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Tencent reported 4Q22 results on 22 March: total revenue grew by 1% YoY to RMB145bn, inline with consensus/CMBI estimates.FY22 total revenue declined 1% YoY to RMB554.6bn. Non-IFRS net income grew by 19% YoY to RMB29.7bn in 4Q22, versus consensus/CMBI estimate of RMB30.8/30.2bn.The earnings growth was mainly due to enhanced operating efficiency and lowbase effect. Full-year non-IFRS net income was down 7% YoY to RMB115.6bn in FY22. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent  (700 HK) – Steady ship and aim for sustainable growth

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We expect Tencent’s 4Q22E results to be largely inline with our previous forecasts, except slightly severe impact on ad and FBS businesses from opening-up in Dec 2022.</li><li>We slightly adjust FY22/4Q22E total revenue forecast down by 1/3%; but remain positive on the revenue recovery trajectory in FY23/24E, due to consumption recovery which should benefit Tencent’s consumer internet business, incremental contribution from Video Account monetization, and quality games pipeline.</li><li>We raise FY23/24E non-IFRS net income forecast by 1/2%, reflecting improved outlook of high-margin gaming and ad businesses, which should lead to better GPM in FY23/FY24E. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect Tencent’s 4Q22E results to be largely inline with our previous forecasts, except slightly severe impact on ad and FBS businesses from opening-up in Dec 2022.We slightly adjust FY22/4Q22E total revenue forecast down by 1/3%; but remain positive on the revenue recovery trajectory in FY23/24E, due to consumption recovery which should benefit Tencent’s consumer internet business, incremental contribution from Video Account monetization, and quality games pipeline.We raise FY23/24E non-IFRS net income forecast by 1/2%, reflecting improved outlook of high-margin gaming and ad businesses, which should lead to better GPM in FY23/FY24E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent  (700 HK) – What next to look forward to?

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Tencent (700 HK) – Solid Recovery Across All Business Lines

Tencent reported 1Q23 financial results on 17 May. Total revenue was up by 11% YoY to RMB150.0bn in 1Q23, in line with consensus/CMBI estimates of...

CMB International

China Internet – 1Q23 online game market recap

We saw an early recovering sign in March 2023, with monthly game market revenue down by only 3% YoY (versus -23%/17% YoY in Feb/Jan), thanks to...

CMB International

China Internet – February online game market recap

Revenue of China’s online game market decreased by 23% YoY to RMB21.6bn in Feb 2023 per CNG, as new games were yet to make meaningful revenue...

CMB International

Tencent (700 HK) – Steady ship and aim for sustainable growth

Tencent reported 4Q22 results on 22 March: total revenue grew by 1% YoY to RMB145bn, inline with consensus/CMBI estimates.

CMB International

Tencent (700 HK) – What next to look forward to?

We expect Tencent’s 4Q22E results to be largely inline with our previous forecasts, except slightly severe impact on ad and FBS businesses from...

CMB International

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